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Central America & Hispaniola Briefing Central America & Hispaniola Briefing

2 August 2011

Tom.DiLiberto@noaa.gov Tom.DiLiberto@noaa.gov

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This Week:

Past Week:

TRMM Rainfall

TRMM

Rainfall

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From July 26 – August 1, 2011

Puerto Lempira = 91.3 mm Puerto Barrios = 173.8 mm (113 mm in one day)

Ilopango/San Salvador = 99.5 mm San Jose

= 27.5 mm

La Esperanza= 84.7 mm

David = 157.5 mm

(4)

This Week:

Past Week:

TRMM Weekly

Anomalies

Heavy rain across much of Haiti.

Average rainfall observed across Central America

(5)

This Week:

Past Week:

TRMM 30-day

Anomalies

Rainfall surpluses continue over

much of Haiti

Widespread surpluses over Central America.

(6)
(7)

TRMM Primera Season Anomalies

Anomaly (mm)

Percent

Normal

(%)

(8)
(9)
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Dekadal WRSI: CA

2

nd

dekad of July

3

rd

dekad of July

• Decrease in conditions across much of northern Central America

• Less rain during 3rd dekad of July, associated with Canicula

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Dekadal Soil Water Index: CA

• Continued Stress and Wilting values over Honduras and Nicaragua

• Decreasing SWI values over Guatemala associated with Canicula.

2

nd

dekad of July

3

rd

dekad of July

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Dekadal WRSI and SWI: Haiti

• Dryness continues across northwestern Haiti.

2

nd

dekad of July 3

rd

dekad of July

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NDVI across Haiti

(14)
(15)

Eastern Pacific Storms

Eugene

973 hPa Central Pressure 100 mph winds

(16)

Tropical Storm Emily

-

Tropical Storm Warnings issued for Hispaniola and Puerto Rico

-1007 hPa central pressure; 35 knot winds

-Remains poorly organized even though convection has been deep -Dry air to the north and west could hinder development

-NHC has Emily impacting Hispaniola Wednesday into Thursday

(17)

Tropical Storm Emily

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(19)

Moderate rain expected over Central America. Localized areas could receive heavy downpours in Guatemala

Impact of Tropical Storm Emily could cause flooding over parts of the Dominican Republic

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Referenties

GERELATEERDE DOCUMENTEN

- though center of low expected to pass Yucatan/N Belize, peripheral convective banding is expected to produce locally heavy rains along Pacific rim of CA in the next 3-5

-warm SST’s and weak shear environment - Expected to continue moving west by Friday when it will be off the northern Nicaragua coast. -Track: too early to tell, could impact

- Final track will depend on the strength of Paula as steering currents break down by Wednesday -Paula could wander east of the Northern. Yucatan

Central America still suppressed although velocity potential anomalies pattern is more incoherent than last week.. MJO forecast to weaken

*** While current AC similar to a typical fall La Nina pattern, there are differences in downstream

Models predict La Nina continues through Spring 2011 before a potential return to ENSO neutral. conditions ( -0.5 to 0.5 °C anomalies) by

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