Hele tekst
nicholas.novella@noaa.gov nicholas.novella@noaa.gov
From Aug 10 – Aug 16, 2010
Puerto Barrios= 55mm
Puerto Lempira= 116mm
Santa Rosa= 83mm
Esperanza= 95mm Amapala= 95mm
OLR Anomaly July, 2010 OLR Anomaly Aug1-14, 2010
700mb RH Anomaly Aug 1-14, 2010 700mb RH Anomaly Aug1-7, 2010
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-warm SST’s and weak shear environment - Expected to continue moving west by Friday when it will be off the northern Nicaragua coast. -Track: too early to tell, could impact
- Final track will depend on the strength of Paula as steering currents break down by Wednesday -Paula could wander east of the Northern. Yucatan
Central America still suppressed although velocity potential anomalies pattern is more incoherent than last week.. MJO forecast to weaken
*** While current AC similar to a typical fall La Nina pattern, there are differences in downstream
Models predict La Nina continues through Spring 2011 before a potential return to ENSO neutral. conditions ( -0.5 to 0.5 °C anomalies) by
Central America & Hispaniola Briefing Central America & Hispaniola Briefing. 15
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• Continued moderate/locally heavy rain across northern Central America. • Potential increase in rain across drier than average portions
