Central America & Hispaniola Briefing Central America & Hispaniola Briefing
14 September 2010
nicholas.novella@noaa.gov nicholas.novella@noaa.gov
From: Aug 7 – Sep 6, 2010
San Jose= 118 mm Choluteca= 201 mm
Tegucigalpa= 97 mm
Hurricane: “IGOR”
- Category 4
- Min SFC P = 945mb
- Sustained winds ~ 135mph (115kts)
- General trend (48hrs) – stabilized as Cat 4, well defined eye.
-Track shifting NW -> N in next 48-72hrs much like many Atlantic cyclones this year -Will encounter weak shear low probs for weakening on near-term
- Not expected to pose any threat to Hispaniola or CA.
Invest Area 92L
- 70 % chance of becoming tropical cyclone - become better organized this morning - warm SST’s, partial UL anticyclone, and weak shear environment
- though center of low expected to pass Yucatan/N Belize, peripheral convective banding is expected to produce locally heavy rains along Pacific rim of CA in the next 3-5 days.
-Poses risk for landslides in higher terrain.
