Hele tekst
Tom.DiLiberto@noaa.gov Tom.DiLiberto@noaa.gov
Puerto Barrios – 43.3 mm
Tela – 166.7 (139.8 mm in one day) Roatan – 142.1 (82 mm in one day)
La Ceiba – 364.9 mm February 11: 84.5 mm February 12: 57.6 mm February 13: 219.7 mm
TelaLa Ceiba
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- though center of low expected to pass Yucatan/N Belize, peripheral convective banding is expected to produce locally heavy rains along Pacific rim of CA in the next 3-5
-warm SST’s and weak shear environment - Expected to continue moving west by Friday when it will be off the northern Nicaragua coast. -Track: too early to tell, could impact
- Final track will depend on the strength of Paula as steering currents break down by Wednesday -Paula could wander east of the Northern. Yucatan
Central America still suppressed although velocity potential anomalies pattern is more incoherent than last week.. MJO forecast to weaken
*** While current AC similar to a typical fall La Nina pattern, there are differences in downstream
Models predict La Nina continues through Spring 2011 before a potential return to ENSO neutral. conditions ( -0.5 to 0.5 °C anomalies) by
Central America & Hispaniola Briefing Central America & Hispaniola Briefing. 22
• Continued moderate/locally heavy rain across northern Central America. • Potential increase in rain across drier than average portions
