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Update (4/9/2019)

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Update (4/9/2019)

 The forecast skill for week-2 severe weather (LSR3) with the SVD-based hybrid model is higher that that with the simple linear regression model over the eastern and central US.

 The forecast with the SVD-based hybrid model is implemented in the experimental real-time forecast for week-2 severe weather.

 The week-2 forecasts of LSR3 using the SVD-based hybrid model is consistent with those using the linear regression model, but the magnitude of predicted week-2 SLR3 is slightly larger.

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Anomaly Correlation Skill for Week-2 LSR3 Cross-validated over

MAM 1996–2012

Linear Regression Model (5o×5o)

SVD-based Forecast (5o×5o)

Improved skill

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Linear regression model

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SVD-based hybrid model

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