FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity whose purpose is to provide objective information about food security conditions. Its views are not necessarily reflective of those of USAID or the U.S. Government. The FEWS NET weather hazards outlook process and products include participation by FEWS NET field and home offices, NOAA-CPC, USGS, USDA, NASA, and a number of other national and regional organizations in the countries concerned. Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-763-8000 x7566. Questions about the USAID FEWSNET activity may be directed to Gary Eilerts, USAID Program Manager for FEWSNET, 1-202- 219-0500 or geilerts@usaid.gov.
Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET
August 30 – September 5, 2012
Heavy rains received in the south, with some relief to dryness in northern Haiti after the passage of Tropical Storm Isaac.
During the last seven days, a significant increase in precipitation associated with the passage of Tropical Storm Isaac was observed throughout Hispaniola. The heaviest rains were received along the southern Hispaniola coastline, with precipitation accumulations exceeding 100mm over many local areas in southern Haiti. These rains have resulted in damages to infrastructure, displacement of local populations, and a number of fatalities in southeastern Haiti. There remains much concern about river runoff from the higher elevations which may trigger flooding in the south. In northern Haiti, rainfall was more moderate during the last week, which is expected to help relieve moisture deficits from below- average rains during the season. Model forecasts show a more seasonable distribution of rainfall for the upcoming outlook period; however the potential for above-average rainfall remains for many local areas affected by Isaac. There is a slight risk for the development of another tropical disturbance in the Caribbean during the later portion of the outlook period.
