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– August 22, 2012 Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET August 16

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FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity whose purpose is to provide objective information about food security conditions. Its views are not necessarily reflective of those of USAID or the U.S. Government. The FEWS NET weather hazards outlook process and products include participation by FEWS NET field and home offices, NOAA-CPC, USGS, USDA, NASA, and a number of other national and regional organizations in the countries concerned. Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-763-8000 x7566. Questions about the USAID FEWSNET activity may be directed to Gary Eilerts, USAID Program Manager for FEWSNET, 1-202- 219-0500 or geilerts@usaid.gov.

Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET

August 16 – August 22, 2012

Average to below-average amounts of precipitation are expected over Haiti during the next week.

During the last seven days, an increase in precipitation was observed throughout the Caribbean associated with the passage of Hurricane Ernesto. In Haiti, the highest weekly precipitation accumulations (>50mm) were received in the southern and central departments of the country, with lesser amounts observed in the north. While the increased rains and moisture are expected to benefit the development of local crops, decreased rainfall along the northern coastline of Haiti and the Dominican Republic will prolong ongoing moisture deficits. Since the beginning of June, erratic and poorly distributed rainfall has resulted moisture deficits ranging between 50 to 75 percent of normal for the Artibonite, Nord and Nord-Est departments of Haiti. For the upcoming outlook period, light to moderate precipitation accumulations (20 – 50 mm) are expected across the island; with the potential for the heaviest (> 50 mm) rainfall amounts forecast over southern Haiti and central Dominican Republic during the next seven days.

No significant tropical activity is expected to impact Hispaniola during the earlier portion of the outlook period.

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