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The USAID MFEWS Weather

Hazards Impacts Assessment for Central America July 8 – July 14, 2010

ƒ After the passage of Tropical Storm Alex in late June, another tropical wave may bring additional flooding to many coastal areas in Honduras, Nicaragua and El Salvador.

1). Increased winds and moisture from the Pacific and Caribbean

associated with another tropical wave in the Gulf of Honduras will likely bring heavy rains and possible flooding across portions of El

Salvador, Nicaragua and Honduras.

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MFEWS is a USAID-funded activity whose purpose is to provide objective information about food security conditions. Its views are not necessarily reflective of those of USAID or the U.S. Government. The MFEWS weather hazards assessment process and products include participation by MFEWS field and home offices, NOAA-CPC, USGS, USDA, NASA, and a number of other national and regional organizations in the countries such as, INETER of Nicaragua, Meteorological Service of Honduras, IMN of Costa Rica, INSIVUMEH of Guatemala, ETESA of Panama, NMS of Belize and SNET of El Salvador. Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-763-8000 x7566. Questions about the USAID MFEWS activity may be directed to Gary Eilerts, USAID Program Manager for MFEWS, 1-202-219-0500 or geilerts@usaid.gov.

Many areas in the Honduras and El Salvador may not see relief to heavy rainfall.

After Tropical Storm Alex passed across the northern tier of Central America in late June, the development of another tropical wave was observed in the Gulf of Honduras during the last several days. This new wave produced significantly heavy rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras region, with the highest inland rainfall (> 100mm) observed across many coastal areas of northeastern Honduras. This recent rainfall may have exacerbated flooding from Tropical Storm Alex along the northern Honduras coastline. Towards the south, excessive amounts of rainfall between 75-150mm were observed in parts of eastern Costa Rica and Panama during the last week.

Although this new tropical wave is expected to move northward into the Gulf of Mexico, increased Pacific winds and moisture associated with this wave will likely bring high amounts (>100mm) of rainfall into portions of El Salvador, western Honduras, and eastern Nicaragua during the early portion of the observation period. Elsewhere, heavy amounts of rainfall are also expected across many parts of Costa Rica and Panama.

Seven-Day Precipitation Forecast (mm) May July 6th – July 13th, 2010

Figure 1: Source NOAA / CPC

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