Table 1. EViews Output Summary
Dependent Variable: P Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 06/24/07 Time: 19:40 Sample: 1999 2005
Cross-sections included: 74
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 512
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 37.51111 17.16705 2.185065 0.0293 ABCF 0.008230 0.010357 0.794650 0.4272 GIOV 0.011159 0.005618 1.986264 0.0475 CE 0.075878 0.008511 8.915723 0.0000 TSEC 0.202686 0.071650 2.828831 0.0049 O -23.94485 13.83409 -1.730858 0.0841 TOI -11.29294 5.552929 -2.033690 0.0425
R-squared 0.401257 Mean dependent var 77.43636
Adjusted R-squared 0.394143 S.D. dependent var 199.9089 S.E. of regression 155.6028 Akaike info criterion 12.94607 Sum squared resid 12227170 Schwarz criterion 13.00401
Log likelihood -3307.193 F-statistic 56.40550
Durbin-Watson stat 0.355159 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
(a)
Dependent Variable: P Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 06/24/07 Time: 19:17 Sample (adjusted): 2000 2005 Cross-sections included: 74
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 437 Convergence achieved after 7 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
AR(1) 1.281984 0.029717 43.13919 0.0000
R-squared 0.870534 Mean dependent var 86.39899
Adjusted R-squared 0.868421 S.D. dependent var 213.8442 S.E. of regression 77.56936 Akaike info criterion 11.55836 Sum squared resid 2581295. Schwarz criterion 11.63305
Log likelihood -2517.501 F-statistic 412.0869
Durbin-Watson stat 1.886897 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Inverted AR Roots 1.28
Estimated AR process is nonstationary
(b) with AR(1) added
Dependent Variable: P Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 06/24/07 Time: 19:21 Sample (adjusted): 2001 2005 Cross-sections included: 74
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 363 Convergence achieved after 8 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -44.54806 28.87584 -1.542745 0.1238 ABCF 0.025428 0.004624 5.499323 0.0000 GIOV -0.002292 0.001871 -1.225062 0.2214 CE 0.030312 0.004544 6.670340 0.0000 TSEC 0.258131 0.036693 7.034856 0.0000 O -2.304932 7.505404 -0.307103 0.7589 TOI 8.833084 9.634423 0.916825 0.3599 AR(1) 1.180137 0.059287 19.90565 0.0000 AR(2) 0.131871 0.075289 1.751517 0.0807
R-squared 0.893539 Mean dependent var 93.62848
Adjusted R-squared 0.891133 S.D. dependent var 225.2501 S.E. of regression 74.32135 Akaike info criterion 11.47915 Sum squared resid 1955377. Schwarz criterion 11.57571
Log likelihood -2074.467 F-statistic 371.3937
Durbin-Watson stat 1.529693 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Inverted AR Roots 1.28 -.10
Estimated AR process is nonstationary
(c) with AR(1), AR(2) added
Cross-sections included: 73
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 289 Convergence achieved after 7 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -41.82439 20.72982 -2.017595 0.0446 ABCF 0.020588 0.003976 5.178018 0.0000 GIOV -0.002264 0.001736 -1.303523 0.1935 CE 0.032704 0.003519 9.294991 0.0000 TSEC 0.264741 0.039560 6.692141 0.0000 O -3.175361 6.642389 -0.478045 0.6330 TOI 9.568168 6.934401 1.379812 0.1687 AR(1) 1.463003 0.073171 19.99419 0.0000 AR(2) -0.536366 0.098076 -5.468904 0.0000 AR(3) 0.546322 0.079199 6.898073 0.0000
R-squared 0.917660 Mean dependent var 104.1404
Adjusted R-squared 0.915003 S.D. dependent var 242.9538 S.E. of regression 70.83116 Akaike info criterion 11.39246 Sum squared resid 1399758. Schwarz criterion 11.51933
Log likelihood -1636.211 F-statistic 345.4859
Durbin-Watson stat 2.341710 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Inverted AR Roots 1.36 .05-.63i .05+.63i
Estimated AR process is nonstationary
(d) with AR(1), AR(2) and AR(3) added
Dependent Variable: P
Method: Panel EGLS (Period SUR) Date: 06/30/07 Time: 17:37 Sample: 1999 2005
Cross-sections included: 74
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 512 Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix
Period SUR (PCSE) standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected) Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -5.326142 10.28357 -0.517927 0.6047 ABCF 0.014888 0.003360 4.430188 0.0000 GIOV 0.006127 0.001536 3.987460 0.0001 CE 0.049041 0.003018 16.24824 0.0000 TSEC 0.256558 0.040800 6.288249 0.0000 O -2.017798 5.727694 -0.352288 0.7248 TOI 0.708875 3.420738 0.207229 0.8359 Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.521207 Mean dependent var 0.329726
S.E. of regression 0.887188 Sum squared resid 397.4871 Durbin-Watson stat 1.939913
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.354222 Mean dependent var 77.43636
Sum squared resid 13187673 Durbin-Watson stat 0.289326 (e)
with Period SUR
Table 2. Causality Tests
Pairwise Granger Causality Tests Date: 06/30/07 Time: 18:16 Sample: 1999 2005
Lags: 2
Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Probability
ABCF does not Granger Cause P 363 5.61925 0.00395**
P does not Granger Cause ABCF 2.31236 0.10050
GIOV does not Granger Cause P 363 13.5976 2.0E-06**
P does not Granger Cause GIOV 13.3494 2.6E-06**
CE does not Granger Cause P 363 6.20682 0.00224**
P does not Granger Cause CE 5.55847 0.00419**
TSEC does not Granger Cause P 363 10.3166 4.4E-05**
P does not Granger Cause TSEC 0.33762 0.71369
O does not Granger Cause P 364 0.02866 0.97175
P does not Granger Cause O 0.01896 0.98122
TOI does not Granger Cause P 364 0.57460 0.56344
P does not Granger Cause TOI 0.02515 0.97517
GIOV does not Granger Cause ABCF 363 2.96192 0.05299
ABCF does not Granger Cause GIOV 91.6441 7.3E-33**
CE does not Granger Cause ABCF 363 4.05552 0.01813*
ABCF does not Granger Cause CE 9.95838 6.2E-05**
TSEC does not Granger Cause ABCF 363 1.59070 0.20522
ABCF does not Granger Cause TSEC 0.13606 0.87284
O does not Granger Cause ABCF 363 0.68999 0.50225
ABCF does not Granger Cause O 5.66286 0.00379**
TOI does not Granger Cause ABCF 363 0.75589 0.47034
ABCF does not Granger Cause TOI 0.52839 0.59001
CE does not Granger Cause GIOV 363 6.34402 0.00196**
TSEC does not Granger Cause GIOV 363 2.13665 0.11955
GIOV does not Granger Cause TSEC 1.22360 0.29540
O does not Granger Cause GIOV 363 6.74196 0.00134**
GIOV does not Granger Cause O 1.12942 0.32437
TOI does not Granger Cause GIOV 363 0.21601 0.80584
GIOV does not Granger Cause TOI 0.31395 0.73076
TSEC does not Granger Cause CE 363 2.46642 0.08633
CE does not Granger Cause TSEC 0.64234 0.52667
O does not Granger Cause CE 363 0.10991 0.89594
CE does not Granger Cause O 1.13246 0.32339
TOI does not Granger Cause CE 363 0.20561 0.81424
CE does not Granger Cause TOI 0.03565 0.96498
O does not Granger Cause TSEC 363 2.13079 0.12025
TSEC does not Granger Cause O 0.04087 0.95996
TOI does not Granger Cause TSEC 363 0.04346 0.95748
TSEC does not Granger Cause TOI 0.00045 0.99955
TOI does not Granger Cause O 370 0.00000 1.00000
O does not Granger Cause TOI 4.1E-14 1.00000
* indicates significance at the 5 percent level ** indicates significance at the 1 percent level
Bold variable: significant variable according to column 1 of table 5 and 6, with significant outcome of Pairwise Granger Causality Tests
Table 3. Correlation Summary
P ABCF GIOV CE TSEC O TOI
P 1.000000 0.495853 0.474605 0.613352 0.237069 -0.003390 0.000674 ABCF 0.495853 1.000000 0.693925 0.758649 0.198235 0.069629 0.211960 GIOV 0.474605 0.693925 1.000000 0.673285 0.183984 0.103287 0.095795 CE 0.613352 0.758649 0.673285 1.000000 0.225671 0.077303 0.103457 TSEC 0.237069 0.198235 0.183984 0.225671 1.000000 0.042409 0.014783 O -0.003390 0.069629 0.103287 0.077303 0.042409 1.000000 -0.000701 TOI 0.000674 0.211960 0.095795 0.103457 0.014783 -0.000701 1.000000
(a) Correlation matrix
C ABCF GIOV CE TSEC O TOI
TSEC -0.046865 -2.29E-05 -1.14E-05 -6.16E-05 0.005134 -0.022633 0.006518 O -93.14429 0.001267 -0.005208 -0.001342 -0.022633 191.3820 0.687997 TOI -74.64791 -0.011991 0.001436 0.003253 0.006518 0.687997 30.83502
(b) Coefficient Covariance Matrix
C ABCF GIOV CE TSEC O TOI
C 105.7519 -0.002346 0.001259 -0.002231 -0.011808 -16.50909 -29.43877 ABCF -0.002346 1.13E-05 -2.43E-06 -3.87E-06 -1.13E-05 0.002779 -0.001051 GIOV 0.001259 -2.43E-06 2.36E-06 2.80E-07 -1.96E-06 -0.001293 0.000230 CE -0.002231 -3.87E-06 2.80E-07 9.11E-06 -1.70E-05 -0.001570 -5.72E-05 TSEC -0.011808 -1.13E-05 -1.96E-06 -1.70E-05 0.001665 -0.007144 0.001112 O -16.50909 0.002779 -0.001293 -0.001570 -0.007144 32.80648 -0.240401 TOI -29.43877 -0.001051 0.000230 -5.72E-05 0.001112 -0.240401 11.70145
(c) Coefficient Covariance Matrix with Period SUR
Table 4. Calculation for Table 7 in the paper:
Ownership-DOE
For domestic owned firms in type I industry, where O=1 and TOI =1
P =37.51+ (-2.18) x 1 + (12.39) x 1 + ACV + e = 47.72 + ACV
For domestic owned firms in type II industry, where O=1 and TOI =2
P =37.51+ (-2.18) x 1 + (12.39) x 2 + ACV + e = 60.11 + ACV
For domestic owned firms in type III industry, where O=1 and TOI =3
P =37.51+ (-2.18) x 1 + (12.39) x 3 + ACV + e = 72.5 + ACV
For domestic owned firms in type IV industry, where O=1 and TOI =4
P =37.51+ (-2.18) x 1 + (12.39) x 4 + ACV + e = 84.89 + ACV
Ownership-FOF
For foreign owned firms in type I industry, where O=0 and TOI =1
P =37.51+ (-2.18) x 0 + (12.39) x 1+ ACV + e = 49.9 + ACV
For foreign owned firms in type II industry, where O=0 and TOI =2
For foreign owned firms in type III industry, where O=0 and TOI =3
P =37.51+ (-2.18) x 0 + (12.39) x 3+ ACV + e = 74.68 + ACV
For foreign owned firms in type IV industry, where O=0 and TOI =4
P =37.51+ (-2.18) x 0 + (12.39) x 4+ ACV + e = 87.07 + ACV
Figure 1. Residual Test Results Summary
10 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000
Series: Standardized Residuals Sample 1999 2005 Observations 512 Mean -2.53e-14 Median -8.684489 Maximum 2298.833 Minimum -563.2900 Std. Dev. 154.6865 Skewness 8.462446 Kurtosis 112.1044 Jarque-Bera 260058.1 Probability 0.000000
(a)
1
0 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 -400 -200 0 200 400 600
Series: Standardized Residuals Sample 2000 2005 Observations 437 Mean 7.32e-09 Median -5.116424 Maximum 746.8509 Minimum -481.9203 Std. Dev. 76.94415 Skewness 2.757077 Kurtosis 41.75522 Jarque-Bera 27901.96 Probability 0.000000
(b) with AR(1) included
0 40 80 120 160 200 240 -400 -200 0 200 400 600
Series: Standardized Residuals Sample 2001 2005 Observations 363 Mean -1.17e-10 Median -4.073003 Maximum 662.0365 Minimum -417.1684 Std. Dev. 73.49553 Skewness 1.413723 Kurtosis 30.78793 Jarque-Bera 11799.97 Probability 0.000000
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 -375 -250 -125 0 125 250 375 500
Series: Standardized Residuals Sample 2002 2005 Observations 289 Mean 6.13e-10 Median -5.533483 Maximum 513.6903 Minimum -367.1180 Std. Dev. 69.71563 Skewness 1.619816 Kurtosis 20.56441 Jarque-Bera 3841.334 Probability 0.000000
(d) with AR(1), AR (2), AR(3) included
0 40 80 120 160 200 240 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8
Series: Standardized Residuals Sample 1999 2005 Observations 512 Mean 0.053422 Median 0.017684 Maximum 8.303761 Minimum -4.285909 Std. Dev. 0.880342 Skewness 2.575779 Kurtosis 27.31770 Jarque-Bera 13181.63 Probability 0.000000
Figure 2. Residual Test Results Summary
2-1000
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50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
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(a)
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51 100 150 200 250 300 350 401 450 500
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(b) with AR(1)
-1000 0 1000 2000 3000 -1000 0 1000 2000 3000 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500Residual Actual Fitted