Table of contents:
Table 1: VIF analysis Added Value FIRE sector ... - 2 -
Table 2: Correlation between Total Value of Traded Stocks and Market Capitalization (added
value FIRE sector)... - 2 -
Table 3: VIF Value Added FIRE sector after removal Market Capitalization... - 2 -
Table 4: VIF analysis Manufacturing Wages... - 3 -
Table 5: Correlation between Total Value of Traded Stocks and Market Capitalization
(manufacturing wages)... - 3 -
Table 6: VIF analysis Manufacturing Wages after removal Market Capitalization... - 3 -
Table 7: VIF analysis Unemployment Ratio... - 4 -
Table 8: Correlation between Total Value of Traded Stocks and Market Capitalization
(Unemployment Ratio)... - 4 -
Table 9: VIF analysis Unemployment Ratio after removal Market Capitalization... - 4 -
Table 10: Durbin-Watson autocorrelation test Value Added FIRE-sector... - 5 -
Output 1: Regression Value Added FIRE-sector with autocorrelation (2 years lag) ... - 5 -
Output 2: Regression Value Added FIRE-sector with autocorrelation and fixed country effects
(2 years lag)... - 7 -
Output 3: Regression Value Added FIRE-sector without autocorrelation and fixed period effects
(2 years lag)... - 8 -
Table 11: Durbin-Watson autocorrelation test Manufacturing Wages... - 8 -
Output 4: Regression Manufacturing Wages with autocorrelation, no fixed effects (2 year lag) . -
10 -
Output 5: Regression Manufacturing Wages with autocorrelation, fixed country effects (2 year
lag)... - 11 -
Output 6: Regression Manufacturing Wages, no autocorrelation, fixed period effects (2 year
lag)... - 12 -
Table 12: Durbin-Watson autocorrelation test Unemployment Ratio... - 12 -
Table 1: VIF analysis Added Value FIRE sector
Model Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance VIF
(Constant)
Market liberalization ,390 2,564
Standard deviation of
exchange rate ,641 1,561
Total banking Claims
on the economy ,674 1,483
Total value of traded
stocks ,123 8,159 Lending Rates ,569 1,757 Privatization ,483 2,070 Market capitalization ,130 7,703 Renting Price of appartment ,340 2,945 Asset share of Foreign Banks ,621 1,611
a Dependent Variable: Value added of FIRE-sector
Table 2: Correlation between Total Value of Traded Stocks and Market
Capitalization (added value FIRE sector)
Total value of traded stocks capitalization Market
Pearson Correlation 1 ,879(**)
Sig. (2-tailed) ,000
Total value of traded stocks N 61 61 Pearson Correlation ,879(**) 1 Sig. (2-tailed) ,000 Market capitalization N 61 61
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Table 3: VIF Value Added FIRE sector after removal Market Capitalization
Model Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance VIF
(Constant)
Market liberalization ,475 2,104
Standard deviation of
exchange rate ,659 1,518
Total banking Claims
on the economy ,675 1,482
Total value of traded
stocks ,363 2,758 Lending Rates ,616 1,623 Privatization ,506 1,977 Renting Price of appartment ,340 2,945 Asset share of Foreign Banks ,699 1,431
Table 4: VIF analysis Manufacturing Wages
Model Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance VIF
(Constant)
Market liberalization ,314 3,180
Standard deviation of
exchange rate ,456 2,194
Total banking Claims
on the economy ,464 2,157
Total value of traded
stocks ,099 10,114 Lending Rates ,511 1,955 Privatization ,438 2,285 Market capitalization ,137 7,286 Renting Price of appartment ,218 4,583 Asset share of Foreign Banks ,512 1,954
a Dependent Variable: Manufacturing wages
Table 5: Correlation between Total Value of Traded Stocks and Market
Capitalization (manufacturing wages)
Total value of traded stocks capitalization Market
Pearson Correlation 1 ,843(**)
Sig. (2-tailed) ,000
Total value of traded stocks N 48 48 Pearson Correlation ,843(**) 1 Sig. (2-tailed) ,000 Market capitalization N 48 48
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Table 6: VIF analysis Manufacturing Wages after removal Market Capitalization
Model Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance VIF
(Constant)
Market liberalization ,315 3,177
Standard deviation of
exchange rate ,571 1,750
Total banking Claims
on the economy ,477 2,097
Total value of traded
stocks ,298 3,361 Lending Rates ,550 1,819 Privatization ,442 2,263 Asset share of Foreign Banks ,544 1,838 Renting Price of appartment ,249 4,017
Table 7: VIF analysis Unemployment Ratio
Model Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance VIF
(Constant)
Market liberalization ,430 2,326
Standard deviation of
exchange rate ,650 1,537
Total banking Claims on
the economy ,648 1,543
Total value of traded
stocks ,117 8,516
Lending Rates ,579 1,728
Asset share of Foreign
Banks ,594 1,683
Renting Price of
appartment ,350 2,858
Market capitalization ,128 7,784
Privatization ,462 2,166
a Dependent Variable: Unemployment rate
Table 8: Correlation between Total Value of Traded Stocks and Market
Capitalization (Unemployment Ratio)
Total value of traded stocks capitalization Market
Pearson Correlation 1 ,888(**)
Sig. (2-tailed) ,000
Total value of traded stocks N 63 63 Pearson Correlation ,888(**) 1 Sig. (2-tailed) ,000 Market capitalization N 63 63
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Table 9: VIF analysis Unemployment Ratio after removal Market Capitalization
Model Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance VIF 1 (Constant) Market liberalization ,508 1,970 Standard deviation of exchange rate ,672 1,488 Total banking Claims on the economy ,649 1,541 Total value of traded stocks ,345 2,897 Lending Rates ,627 1,595 Privatization ,478 2,094 Renting Price of appartment ,350 2,856 Asset share of Foreign Banks ,644 1,553
Table 10: Durbin-Watson autocorrelation test Value Added FIRE-sector
Durbin-Watson Statistic Lower Critical Value Upper Critical Value Autocorrelation? For positive autocorrelati on 2.476 1.441 1.647 No For negative autocorrelati on 1.524 1.441 1.647 InconclusiveCritical values for N=100+ (1% significance)
Output 1: Regression Value Added FIRE-sector with autocorrelation (2 years lag)
Dependent Variable: VALUE_ADDED_OF_FIRE_SECT Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 13:49 Sample: 1 107
Cross-sections included: 16
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 91
White period standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected) Convergence not achieved after 500 iterations
Output 2: Regression Value Added FIRE-sector with autocorrelation and fixed
country effects (2 years lag)
Dependent Variable: VALUE_ADDED_OF_FIRE_SECT Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 13:53 Sample: 1 107
Cross-sections included: 16
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 107
White period standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. TOTAL_VALUE_OF_TRADED_ST -0.092749 0.033352 -2.780960 0.0067 TOTAL_BANKING_CLAIMS_ON_ 0.014456 0.027375 0.528063 0.5988 STANDARD_DEVIATION_OF_EX 0.111500 0.031981 3.486496 0.0008 PRIVATIZATION 0.003030 0.027555 0.109976 0.9127 MARKET_LIBERALIZATION -0.058689 0.047075 -1.246710 0.2159 LENDING_RATES -0.102347 0.042617 -2.401532 0.0185 C 1.049256 0.126843 8.272071 0.0000 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
Output 3: Regression Value Added FIRE-sector without autocorrelation and fixed
period effects (2 years lag)
Dependent Variable: VALUE_ADDED_OF_FIRE_SECT Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 13:53 Sample: 1 107
Cross-sections included: 16
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 107
White period standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. TOTAL_VALUE_OF_TRADED_ST -0.123616 0.037261 -3.317540 0.0013 TOTAL_BANKING_CLAIMS_ON_ -0.065783 0.029363 -2.240313 0.0275 STANDARD_DEVIATION_OF_EX 0.118400 0.035748 3.312085 0.0013 PRIVATIZATION 0.033445 0.014289 2.340707 0.0214 MARKET_LIBERALIZATION -0.042823 0.040183 -1.065689 0.2894 LENDING_RATES -0.035322 0.043835 -0.805790 0.4225 C 1.256389 0.169928 7.393662 0.0000 Effects Specification Period fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.414310 Mean dependent var 0.943746 Adjusted R-squared 0.317768 S.D. dependent var 0.193555 S.E. of regression 0.159872 Akaike info criterion -0.691796 Sum squared resid 2.325861 Schwarz criterion -0.292121 Log likelihood 53.01109 F-statistic 4.291485 Durbin-Watson stat 2.380898 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000006
Table 11: Durbin-Watson autocorrelation test Manufacturing Wages
Durbin-Watson
Statistic
Lower
Value
Upper
Value
Autocorrelation?
For positive
autocorrelat
ion
1.649
1.283
1.604
No
For
negative
autocorrelat
ion
2.351
1.283
1.604
No
Output 4: Regression Manufacturing Wages with autocorrelation, no fixed effects
(2 year lag)
Dependent Variable: MANUFACTURING_WAGES Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 14:02 Sample: 1 64
Cross-sections included: 12
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 50
White period standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected) Convergence achieved after 9 iterations
Output 5: Regression Manufacturing Wages with autocorrelation, fixed country
effects (2 year lag)
Dependent Variable: MANUFACTURING_WAGES Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 14:03 Sample: 1 64
Cross-sections included: 12
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 50
White period standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected) Convergence not achieved after 500 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LENDING_RATES -0.055378 0.023854 -2.321605 0.0270 MARKET_LIBERALIZATION -0.036031 0.016417 -2.194651 0.0358 PRIVATIZATION -0.013729 0.007824 -1.754791 0.0892 STANDARD_DEVIATION_OF_EX -0.028950 0.041355 -0.700036 0.4891 TOTAL_BANKING_CLAIMS_ON_ 0.014976 0.014879 1.006546 0.3219 TOTAL_VALUE_OF_TRADED_ST -0.047738 0.014489 -3.294829 0.0025 C 2.066789 0.060423 34.20547 0.0000 AR(1) -0.267921 0.153294 -1.747760 0.0904 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
Output 6: Regression Manufacturing Wages, no autocorrelation, fixed period
effects (2 year lag)
Dependent Variable: MANUFACTURING_WAGES Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 14:05 Sample: 1 64
Cross-sections included: 14
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 64
White period standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LENDING_RATES -0.064180 0.029438 -2.180171 0.0341 MARKET_LIBERALIZATION -0.038341 0.024932 -1.537812 0.1305 PRIVATIZATION -0.007712 0.006487 -1.188852 0.2402 STANDARD_DEVIATION_OF_EX 0.017864 0.030153 0.592454 0.5563 TOTAL_BANKING_CLAIMS_ON_ 6.67E-05 0.018713 0.003563 0.9972 TOTAL_VALUE_OF_TRADED_ST -0.042400 0.013899 -3.050616 0.0037 C 2.141178 0.081667 26.21826 0.0000 Effects Specification Period fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.429834 Mean dependent var 2.010321 Adjusted R-squared 0.266929 S.D. dependent var 0.072148 S.E. of regression 0.061772 Akaike info criterion -2.529033 Sum squared resid 0.186976 Schwarz criterion -2.023045 Log likelihood 95.92905 F-statistic 2.638562 Durbin-Watson stat 1.676284 Prob(F-statistic) 0.006181
Table 12: Durbin-Watson autocorrelation test Unemployment Ratio
Durbin-Watson Statistic
Lower Value Upper Value Autocorrelation?
For positive autocorrelati on 2.190 1.441 1.647 No For negative autocorrelati on 1.817 1.441 1.647 No
Output 7: Regression Unemployment Ratio, no autocorrelation, period fixed
effects (1 year lag)
Dependent Variable: UNEMPLOYMENT_RATE Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 14:15 Sample: 1 108
Cross-sections included: 16
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 108
White diagonal standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. TOTAL_VALUE_OF_TRADED_ST -0.045393 0.033216 -1.366579 0.1751 TOTAL_BANKING_CLAIMS_ON_ 0.015913 0.033745 0.471548 0.6384 STANDARD_DEVIATION_OF_EX -0.132388 0.035238 -3.756981 0.0003 MARKET_LIBERALIZATION -0.018643 0.046909 -0.397432 0.6920 PRIVATIZATION -0.002161 0.018648 -0.115871 0.9080 LENDING_RATES 0.025313 0.061761 0.409851 0.6829 C 0.829177 0.151197 5.484087 0.0000 Effects Specification Period fixed (dummy variables)
Output 8: Regression Unemployment Ratio, autocorrelation, country fixed effects
(1 year lag)
Dependent Variable: UNEMPLOYMENT_RATE Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/06/07 Time: 14:17 Sample: 1 108
Cross-sections included: 16
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 92
White period standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected) Convergence achieved after 15 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. TOTAL_VALUE_OF_TRADED_ST -0.045960 0.028947 -1.587748 0.1169 TOTAL_BANKING_CLAIMS_ON_ -0.230812 0.033376 -6.915403 0.0000 STANDARD_DEVIATION_OF_EX 0.119248 0.052484 2.272064 0.0262 MARKET_LIBERALIZATION -0.256112 0.046299 -5.531691 0.0000 PRIVATIZATION 0.027133 0.020368 1.332107 0.1872 LENDING_RATES 0.549879 0.159328 3.451247 0.0010 C 1.116341 0.178026 6.270657 0.0000 AR(1) -0.268376 0.048551 -5.527743 0.0000 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)