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Update (6/11/2019)

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Update (6/11/2019)

 Upon Brad’s request, the zero climo area of LSR3 on the probability forecast maps is masked out.

 With the help of Mingyue, the beginning and ending dates of week 2 are automated.

 There was very active severe weather over the U.S. during the second half of May . The evolution of week-2 forecast for LSR3 is quite consistent with the evolution of daily LSR3 observations.

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Mask out zero climo area

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Maximum 75th PCTL 50th PCTL

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Daily OBS: LSR3 Animation of LSR3 Daily OBS (05/18/19–05/24/2019) and Week-2 FCST

Above-normal

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