• No results found

Weekly Meeting 07Jul2017

N/A
N/A
Info
Downloaden
Protected

Academic year: 2022

Share "Weekly Meeting 07Jul2017"

Copied!
6
0
0

Bezig met laden.... (Bekijk nu de volledige tekst)

Download het nu ( 6 pagina )

Hele tekst

(1)

Weekly Meeting 07Jul2017

 Co-variability between SCP and LSR

o SVD analysis: CFSR SCP vs. LSR (hail, tornado, wind) o Daily data, 1996–2012

 Linear regression model for forecasting LSR o Using GEFS predicted SCP as a predictor o Forecasts for MAM

o Forecast skill assessed based cross-validation o Anomaly correlation

o Hit rate (3 categories, 33% each)

1

(2)

2

Co-variability: SCP vs. Hail

(3)

3

Co-variability: SCP vs. Tornado

(4)

4

Co-variability: SCP vs. Wind

(5)

5

Correlation: Predicted SCP vs. LSR

(6)

6

Forecast Skill Cross-validation

Referenties

Download het nu ( PPTX - 6 pagina - 257.34 KB )

GERELATEERDE DOCUMENTEN

DONOR MEETING

Management • The program of Road Fund implementation will be developed with the support of RST in Road Agency. Program for Road

Weekly Meeting 28Jul2017

 The correlation (GEFS SCP, OBS LSR) can be increased by averaging both SCP and LSR anomalies in a larger domain prior to calculating the correlation.  The skill for forecasting

Weekly Meeting 18Aug2017 Forecast SW (LSR3) with the linear regression model o Using 5

[r]

Weekly Meeting 01Sep2017 Forecast SW (LSR) with the linear regression model o Using 5

[r]

Weekly Meeting 03Oct2017 Examined hybrid model forecasts for three major severe weather events

The standard deviation of the forecasted LSR3 anomalies is much smaller than the observed for both weeks 1 and 2.2. The forecasted LSR3 anomalies

Weekly Meeting 20OCT2017

[r]

Weekly Meeting 17NOV2017

[r]

Weekly Meeting 08Juin2018

90 days