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MONTHLY CLIMATE REVIEW May 2014

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MONTHLY CLIMATE REVIEW May 2014

Cyclone Hellen (Mozambique Channel)

(2)

CONTENTS

*Tropics

-ENSO [Neutral]

-MJO

*Extra-tropics

*Verification of MAM & May 2014 Outlooks

*Drought

*Selected Weather Events

*Outlooks (June & JJA 2014 & MDO)

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I. The Tropics

(4)

LATEST MONTHLY INDICES

(5)

LATEST MONTHLY INDICES

(6)

850-hPa Wind

(7)
(8)

200-hPa Wind

(9)
(10)
(11)

SST & Anomalies Subsurface

200m 200m

(12)
(13)

Upper-Ocean Heat Content

SST Anomalies

0.6C

(14)

SSTA Predictions for Nino 3.4 Region

NMME & inputs

CPC Consolidation CFSv2

CPC/IRI

(15)
(16)

II. The Extra-Tropics

(17)

Northern Hemisphere

500-hPa SLP

(18)

Southern Hemisphere

500-hPa SLP

(19)

Global Temperatures

(20)

Global Precipitation

(21)

Precipitation

(22)

Hawaiian Rainfall (May 2014)

Special thanks to Pingping &

Mingyue for these plots!

Mean precipitation derived from CPC Unified Daily gauge

analysis

Used raw analysis at 0.125deg lat/lon

resolution

Orographic effects of Hawaiian Rainfall best represented

in Oahu

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Hawaiian Rainfall (May 2014)

Total (inches) Departure (inches)

Prelim data from NWSFO Honolulu, HI (Monthly Weather Summary)

Lihue

2.81

Honolulu

3.35

Hilo

7.41

Lihue

+0.74

Hilo

-0.71

Kahului

+0.29

Honolulu

+2.73

Kahului

1.03

Kona

1.43 -0.57

Kona

Molokai

4.51 +3.40

Molokai

(24)

III. Verification of MAM & May 2014

Outlooks

(25)
(26)
(27)
(28)
(29)

IV. Drought

(30)

April 29

DROUGHT MONITOR

June 3

(31)

Monthly-Average Stream flow

for the month of year CPC Soil Moisture Anomaly

APRIL 2014 MAY 2014

(32)

V. Selected Weather Events

(33)

Severe Weather

Tornadoes Hail Straight-line

Winds

MAY 2014 APRIL 2014

(34)

Alaska Wildfire

(Soldotna, western Kenai Peninsula)

Thanks to Scott Handel for pointing me to high-resolution satellite imagery at the:

NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory (www.nnvl.noaa.gov)

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http://www.ktuu.com/image/view/-/26090048/highRes/2/-/10pl6eyz/-/20140520---Funny-River- Fire-Expands--Tyonek-Fire-Threatens-Beluga.jpg

Alaska Wildfire

(Soldotna, western Kenai Peninsula)

(36)

Hurricane Amanda (eastern Pacific) 5/25/2014

Jalisco State, Mexico

* 932-hPa * 155 mph (1-min sustained) = high end Cat 4 * Strongest May e-Pac hurricane?

(37)

Balkans Flooding (mid-May 2014) May 7

May 19

Suomi NPP satellite’s VIIRS instrument

(38)

http://www.tropmet.res.in/~kolli/MOL/Monsoon/year2014/week-may1.gif Week ending on

5/21

Week ending on 5/28

Week ending on 6/4

RAINFALL NORMAL DEPARTURE

INDIAN MONSOON

(39)

VI. Outlooks for June & JJA 2014 & MDO

(40)

TEMP

TEMP PRCP

PRCP

(41)
(42)

MONSOON FORECASTER

Stay Thirsty,

My

Friends

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