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Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook June 1 - 7, 2017

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Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook June 1 - 7, 2017

Temperatures:

During late May, temperatures averaged above-normal across much of Central Asia, with positive anomalies ranging between 3-12 degrees Celsius. The largest warm anomalies were observed throughout the southern parts of Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan and low-lying areas of northern Afghanistan.

During the upcoming week, near to above-normal temperatures are forecast to continue and an abnormal heat is posted over the central portions of the region, where maximum temperature is forecast to exceed 40 degrees Celsius.

Precipitation

From May 23-29, light to locally moderate rain fell over northern Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, while little to no rainfall was recorded elsewhere. Although negative rainfall anomalies persisted across north-central Afghanistan over the past ninety days, recent vegetation indices showed near neutral conditions across the area. For next week, drier weather pattern is expected to continue over much of Central Asia, except northern Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan, where light to locally moderate (up to 50 mm) shower is possible.

Note: The Hazards outlook map is based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week), and assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.

Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

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