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Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook June 16 - 22, 2016

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Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook June 16 - 22, 2016

Temperatures:

Above-normal temperatures were observed across much of the region from June 5 to 11, with the largest positive anomalies of 5 to 7 degrees C across southern Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and northern Afghanistan. The hottest temperatures were observed across western Afghanistan along with Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan where maximum temperatures ranged from 40 to 47 degrees C. During the next week, seasonal temperatures are predicted across most of Central Asia.

Precipitation

Widespread showers and thundershowers affected the northern half of northern Kazakhstan from June 5 to 11 with many locations in north-central Kazakhstan receiving more than 25 mm. The rainfall since late May ended the short-term dryness that had previously developed across northern Kazakhstan. The CPC unified gauge analysis depicts 30-day precipitation surpluses across nearly the entire region.

Scattered showers and thundershowers (locally more than 25 mm) are forecast to continue throughout Central Asia during the next week with the most widespread rainfall across northern Kazakhstan.

Note: The Hazards outlook map is based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week), and assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.

Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

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