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Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook June 9 - 15, 2016

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Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook June 9 - 15, 2016

Temperatures:

Above-normal temperatures persisted across southern Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Afghanistan from May 29 to June 4, while below-normal temperatures prevailed across northern Kazakhstan. The hottest temperatures were observed across western Afghanistan along with Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan where maximum temperatures reached 40 degrees C.

Abnormal heat is posted for parts of southern Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and adjacent areas of Afghanistan where maximum temperatures are forecast to average more than 6 degrees C above-normal and also exceed 40 degrees C.

Precipitation

Scattered showers and thundershowers affected much of Central Asia from May 29 to June 4 with isolated rainfall amounts exceeding 25 mm. The rainfall during the past couple of weeks alleviated most of the short-term dryness across northern Kazakhstan. The CPC unified gauge analysis depicts 30-day precipitation surpluses across southern Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan.

Scattered showers and thundershowers (locally more than 25 mm) are forecast to continue throughout Central Asia during the next week with the most widespread rainfall across western and northern Kazakhstan.

Note: The Hazards outlook map is based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week), and assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.

Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

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