Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook June 18 – 25, 2015
Temperatures:
Above-normal temperatures (1 to 5 degrees C) continued across most of Central Asia from June 7 - 13. Maximum temperatures exceeded 40 degrees C across the lowlands of western Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, while maximum temperatures ranged from 24 to 30 degrees C in northern Kazakhstan. Above-normal temperatures are likely to persist with the largest anomalies (4 to 10 degrees C) across northwest Kazakhstan. Maximum temperatures are expected to exceed 35 degrees C across the region which would be the hottest temperatures of the summer.
Precipitation
Based on the CPC unified analysis, precipitation has averaged at or above- normal during the past 60 days across the region. The relatively wet pattern continued during early June with showers and thundershowers resulting in locally more than 25 mm of rainfall across northern and central Kazakhstan.
Heavy rain associated with Tropical Cyclone Ashobaa in the Arabian Sea remained south of Pakistan.
During the next week, scattered showers and thundershowers are expected across northeast Kazakhstan with seasonal dryness likely across most of Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan.
Note: The Hazards outlook map is based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week), and assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.
Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.
