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Climate Prediction Center’s Afghanistan Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET January 18 - 24, 2012

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Note: The Hazards outlook map is based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week), and assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity whose purpose is to provide objective information about food security conditions. Its views are not necessarily reflective of those of USAID or the U.S. Government. The FEWS NET weather hazards outlook process and products include participation by FEWS NET field and home offices, NOAA-CPC, USGS, USDA, NASA, and a number of other national and regional organizations in the countries concerned. Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-763-8000 x7566. Questions about the USAID FEWSNET activity may be directed to Gary Eilerts, USAID Program Manager for FEWSNET, 1-202- 219-0500 or geilerts@usaid.gov.

Climate Prediction Center’s Afghanistan Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET

January 18 - 24, 2012

Temperatures:

During early January, below normal temperatures persisted across the central highlands and northeast mountains with near average temperatures across the remainder of Afghanistan. Much below normal temperatures are forecast to affect the central highlands and northeast mountains. Across these areas of Afghanistan, negative temperatures anomalies greater than 8 degrees F can be expected. The coldest temperatures so far this winter can be expected from January 18-20. Minimum temperatures may fall below -30 degrees C in the central highlands, while freezing temperatures affect the lowlands of southern Afghanistan.

Precipitation

Although snow coverage remains across the higher elevations of central and northeast Afghanistan, snow depths are likely below average due to unseasonably dry weather during December and early January. A short- dryness polygon is posted where the unseasonably dry weather has been most extreme. Later this week, light to moderate snow is forecast to develop across central and southern Afghanistan.

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