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Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook October 3

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Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook October 3 – October 9, 2013

Average rains were observed across Hispaniola.

During the last observation period, an increase in the quantity and distribution of precipitation was observed throughout Hispaniola. The heaviest rainfall amounts (>75mm) were received across the Centre and Nord-Est departments of Haiti, with favorable, more moderate amounts received across other parts of the country. Since the start of September, seasonal rainfall has remained well above average across the central and north eastern parts of Haiti, as many local areas have received nearly twice their normal accumulation for the month. According to the latest NDVI analysis, the poorest ground conditions are still seen across the Sud and Sud-est departments of southern Haiti, as well as, developing into the Port-Au-Prince region of the Ouest department. Despite the season long dryness in these areas, increased rains have led to an improvement to soil moisture conditions along many parts of the Grand-Anse and Sud-Est departments. For the upcoming week, a continued increase in late season precipitation is expected, with the heaviest rains (>50mm) forecast over southern Haiti. This should help provide some relief to drier than average ground conditions in the region.

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