COMPARISON OF CLINICAL AND
IMMUNOLOGICAL RESPONSES TO
ZIDOVUDINE (AZT) AND TENOFOVIR (TDF) –
CONTAINING ARV REGIMENS IN PATIENTS
TAKING HAART AT ROMA HEALTH SERVICE
AREA OF LESOTHO.
BY
ADEBANJO ADEFOLARIN BABAFEMI
ADEBANJO ADEFOLARIN BABAFEMI
STUDENT NUMBER 15249484
Thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements
for the degree
M Med (Family Medicine)
At
Stellenbosch University
August 2010
DECLARATION
I, Adefolarin Babafemi ADEBANJO, hereby declare that the work which I hereby submit as partial fulfilment for the degree MMed (Family
Medicine), on which this thesis is based, is original (except where
acknowledgements indicate otherwise) and that neither the whole work nor any part of it has been submitted, or is being submitted, for another degree at this or any other university.
ABSTRACT
Objective: The objective of this retrospective cohort study is to assess
whether demographic and anthropometric parameters, laboratory tests, co-morbidity, co-infection, treatment regimen, IRIS and adherence to treatment predict the expected response to HAART and differences if any, in the pattern of response as measured by CD4 count, weight gain and haemoglobin levels in two cohorts of patients in Roma, The Kingdom of Lesotho.
Method: Data were collected randomly from a computerised database of the
Antiretroviral Centre of the hospital and two cohorts of 151 subjects in each of the two arms of the study were identified from hospital records from January 2008. Each of these subjects was followed up over a period of 12 months with data obtained for at least 2 visits within the 12 month span. Data were obtained at baseline, 3 months and also at 6 and 12 months marks. Data on characteristics were compared between the two arms. Variables that may be potential confounders were identified and univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were carried out to establish differences independent of confounding factors for the combined endpoints as well as for each endpoint separately.
Results: In all 302 patients had their records analysed and comparison of
clinical and immunological response patterns in patients taking AZT and TDF-containing ART regimens and the possible prediction of which the regimen would be better and within which population. Despite the perceived mismatch between two NRTIs it can be concluded from the results of this study that, overall, the inclusion of AZT in treatment regimen showed a modest protective effect over the TDF counterpart as measured by the endpoints of the discriminative powers of the Receiver Operating Curves of the explanatory variables being 66% 77% and 66% for CD4, Haemoglobin
and Weight respectively, and 63% 70% and 65% for the same variables in the AZT and TDF arms of the study respectively.
Conclusion: In a population of HIV patients on treatment in resource-limited
settings AZT-containing regimens appear to show a slight improvement over the TDF-containing ones.
Table of contents
CHAPTER
...11
Study design influences...22
MOTIVATIONANDAIMOFTHESTUDY...24
CHAPTER 2...25
METHODS...25
Setting...25
This study was conducted in a district hospital in Roma, a semi-urban region of The Kingdom of Lesotho...25
Study design...25
Inclusion criteria...25
Exclusion criteria...25
Patient selection and sampling frame...26
Measurement of covariates...26
Data analysis...28
CHAPTER 3...29
RESULTSOF STUDY...29
Conditional logistic regression analysis...37
CHAPTER 4...46
DISCUSSION...46
Possible limitations of the study...47
Bias and Confounding...49
REFERENCES...52
ADDENDUM 1...58
List of tables
Table 3.1 Patient demographics for the AZT cohort at baseline.
Table 3.2 Patient demographics for the TDF cohort at baseline. Table 3.3 Other considerations on the AZT cohort.
Table 3.4 Other considerations on the TDF cohort.
Table 3.5 Univariate predictors of CD4 response at 12 months of therapy (AZT)
Table 3.6 Univariate predictors of weight response at 12 months of therapy (AZT)
Table 3.7 Univariate predictors of haemoglobin response at 12 months of therapy (AZT)
Table 3.8 Univariate predictors of CD4 response at 12 months of therapy (TDF)
Table 3.9 Univariate predictors of weight response at 12 months of therapy (TDF)
Table 3.10 Univariate predictors of haemoglobin response at 12 months of therapy (TDF)
Table 3.11 Adjusted Odds Ratios for retained variables for CD4 (AZT) Table 3.12 Adjusted Odds Ratios for retained variables for haemoglobin (AZT)
Table 3.13 Adjusted Odds Ratios for retained variables for weight (AZT) Table 3.14 Adjusted Odds Ratios for retained variables for CD4 (TDF) Table 3.15 Adjusted Odds Ratios for retained variables for weight (TDF) Table 3.16 Adjusted Odds Ratios for retained variables for haemoglobin (TDF)
List of figures
Figure 3.1 ROC curve for AZT CD4 Figure 3.2 ROC for AZT haemoglobin Figure 3.3 ROC for AZT weight
Figure 3.4 ROC for TDF CD4 Figure 3.5 ROC for TDF weight
Abbreviations
ACTG AIDS Clinical Trial Group
AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome
ANC Antenatal Care
ARV Antiretroviral
AZT Zidovudine
CEO Chief Executive Officer
ddC Zalcitabine
d4T Stavudine
DNA Deoxyribonucleic Acid
EDTA Ethylenediamine Tetraacetic Acid
HAART Highly Active Antiretroviral Agents
HIV Human Immune Deficiency Virus
HLTV Human T-Lymphotrophic Virus
IRIS Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome
LAV Lymphadenopathy-Associated Virus
MTCT Mother-To-Child Transmission
NGO Non-Governmental Organization
NNRTI Non-Nucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitor
NRTI Nucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitor
OIP Opportunistic Infection Prophylaxis
PCP Pneumocystis Pneumonia
RNA Ribonucleic Acid
TDF Tenofovir
UNAIDS United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS
VCT Voluntary Counselling and Testing
WHO World Health Organization
Background
The burden that the HIV/AIDS pandemic has put on economies of countries particularly on the developing countries in sub-Saharan Africa as well as on infected and affected people necessitated the development of various interventions of which antiretroviral agents are principal. Worst hit countries of the world are still grappling with effective coverage of their various sub regions and have developed several programs to scale up the supply of antiretroviral agents, manage complications effectively and train various staff to perform these functions. However, it is not just enough to have indiscriminate roll-out of these agents to eligible individuals and have efforts made at ensuring proper adherence and adequate follow-up. Needless to say, similar efforts are needed to predict the possible outcomes of therapy prior to its commencement in eligible individuals, to determine the factors that drive response in some patients while similar responses are not seen in others. This will tend to improve overall outcome of patients placed on antiretroviral agents.
This study will look at an HIV cohort in a district hospital in Roma, a semi-urban region of Lesotho.
retrovirusAIDShumans immune system virus[1,2]
blood semen vaginal fluid pre-ejaculate breast milk unprotected sexual intercourse birth developed world
pandemic As of January 2006 Joint United Nations Programme on
HIV/AIDS World Health Organization December
1
1981 pandemics[3]Africa economic
growth[4]Africa orphans[5]Antiretroviral mortality morbidity[6]
human immune system helper T cells macrophages dendritic cells apoptosis CD8 cytotoxic lymphocytes cell-mediated immunity AIDS (Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome)[7]
June 5 1981 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) Pneumocystis carinii Pneumocystis jiroveciiLos Angeles[8]Gay-Related Immune Deficiency
Luc Montagnier Pasteur Institute France[9]Robert Gallo United States[10]President
Mitterrand President Reagan[2]
Lentivirus[11]Retroviridae[12] [13] RNA viruses genome DNA reverse
transcriptase integrase transcribed latent
Cameroon chimpanzees twentieth century[14] [15] Sooty Mangabey
Guinea-Bissau Gabon Cameroon[16]West Africa[16]
Democratic Republic of Congo[17]
[19]
[20]The Times[21]
Tom CurtisRolling StoneOPV AIDS hypothesis Belgian Congo Hilary Koprowski polio vaccine[22]libel Edward HooperThe
Riverpolio vaccine chimpanzee simian immunodeficiency virus[23] [24]
[3] [3]
Sub-Saharan Africa[3]South & South East Asia Asia[25]life expectancy[26]
World Bank[27]
HAART[28]
vaccine post-exposure prophylaxis[29] [30] [31] anti-retroviral nucleoside analogue
reverse transcriptase inhibitors protease inhibitor non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor[32]viral load[33]
[34,35][36]morbidity[31,37,38][39]median[40] [41] [42,43,44] lipodystrophy dyslipidaemia insulin
resistance cardiovascular birth defects[45,46]
[47,37][48][49]
it is the thinking of most lay people and
especially HIV-infected persons that once
antiretroviral agents have been commenced
then a patient is on his way to full recovery.
Unfortunately, health workers in the field of
HIV/AIDS who sometimes inappropriately
initiate patients on treatment sometimes
echo this sentiment. Despite good measures
of community based motivation and
extensive education on the concept of
antiretroviral agents, there still remains that
erroneous impression that whatever time a
patient is started on therapy and regardless
of duration or extent of illness, the patient
was bound to recover fully. We want to know
who will respond and who wouldn't. In
addition this type of study has never been
done in this part of the country. Aim: To
study the response pattern and the
differences in response to antiretrovirals in
the 2 cohorts over a 12 month period.
Objectives: To assess whether
anthropometric parameters, laboratory tests,
co-morbidity or co-infection with
opportunistic agents, treatment regimen,
IRIS and adherence predict response to
HAART as measured by CD4 count, weight
gain and functional status over a time period
of one year.
semi-urban region of The Kingdom of Lesotho
Retrospective Cohort Study Design.
Patients with CD 4 count of > 200 cellsPatients not initiated on treatment within the study periodDefaulters of treatment (did not participate in treatment for at least 6 months).Patient selection and sampling frameSample of patients consists of a cohort of 302 adult subjects initiated on antiretroviral therapy from January 2008. Subjects in this study are essentially cases detected in the out-patient department, those detected on in-out-patient basis and those identified during routine community-based screening exercises. The subjects selected for the study were divided into two arms each representing a separate group of the study based on the HAART regimen they were placed.Identification of casesSubjects in the cohorts qualified as cases if they were eligible and already started on HAART as at the time the study began and continued on treatment regardless of hospital admission or therapy for co-morbidities during the period from January 2008 to January 2009 as confirmed by hospital (PHC)claims data. Patients were identified as defaulters of treatment if they did not have at least two follow up visits during the course of this study and were not eligible to become cases. Also excluded from the study were patients who were lost to follow up. The ART center database was used to identify patients who died or defaulted during this period.Measurement of covariatesThe following data was retrieved from the membership, authorisation for medicine and hospitalisation claims databases for each of the cases:Demographic covariatesAge (measured on the 1st of January 2008 in years)Gender (male or female) Covariates indicating opportunistic infections conditionsThese covariate data regarded as input variables for the purposes of this study were determined from chronic medication authorisations and database and are non-mutually exclusive (0 = condition not registered; 1 =
0. 00 0. 25 0. 50 0. 75 1. 00 S en si tiv ity 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1 - Specificity
0. 00 0. 25 0. 50 0. 75 1. 00 S en si tiv ity 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1 - Specificity
0. 00 0. 25 0. 50 0. 75 1. 00 S en si tiv ity 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1 - Specificity
0. 00 0. 25 0. 50 0. 75 1. 00 S en si tiv ity 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1 - Specificity
0. 00 0. 25 0. 50 0. 75 1. 00 S en si tiv ity 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1 - Specificity
0. 00 0. 25 0. 50 0. 75 1. 00 S en si tiv ity 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1 - Specificity
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is a
that causes acquired immunodeficiency
syndrome (), a condition in in which the
begins to fail, leading to life-threatening
opportunistic infections. Previous names for
the include human T-lymphotropic virus-III
(HTLV-III), lymphadenopathy-associated virus
(LAV), or AIDS-associated retrovirus (ARV).
Infection with HIV occurs by the transfer
of , , , , or . Within these bodily fluids, HIV is
present as both free virus particles and virus
within infected immune cells. The three
major routes of transmission are ,
contaminated needles, and transmission
from an infected mother to her baby during
pregnancy or at , or through breast milk.
Screening of blood products for HIV in the
has largely eliminated transmission through
blood transfusions or infected blood products
in these countries.HIV infection in humans is
now in certain geographic areas . , the
(UNAIDS) and the (WHO) estimate that AIDS
has killed more than 25 million people since
it was first recognized on , , making it one of
the most destructive in recorded history. In
2005 alone, AIDS claimed an estimated 2.4–
3.3 million lives, of which more than 570,000
were children. It is estimated that about
0.6% of the world's living population is
infected with HIV. A third of these deaths are
occurring in sub-Saharan, retarding and
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