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Floods of the Past - Design for the Future Historic largest floods of the Lower Rhine valley and delta

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Tiel

Bonn Wesel

Rhenen

Arnhem

Lobith Zutphen Deventer

Doesburg

Nijmegen

Emmerich

Duisburg

Düsseldorf

Koeln (Cologne)

0 30 60 90 km

Floods of the Past - Design for the Future Historic largest floods of the Lower Rhine valley and delta

Waal

Issel

IJssel

Netherlands

Nederland / Niederlande

Germany

Nordrhein-Westfalen

Lippe

Ruhr

Sieg

Nederrijn

Meu se

Niederrhein

Project Area & Cases

1926 (normalized) 1809 (pre normalization) 1374 (medieval dikes) 785 (pre-embankment)

Input / Methods

Output / Results

Reconstructions

Modelling

Discharge Wave Simulations for largest known events

Q-Andernach-Bonn ==> Q-Koeln-Duesseldorf ==> Q-Wesel-Lobith Input to recurrence time estimations

and also

Discharge-division between branches and flood areas Historic waves over modern landscape and vice versa

Quantifying human impact on Lower Rhine flood propagation

ongoing research project Utrecht University & University of Twente (2016-2020)

Water level and flood extent markers Floodplain past elevation and land use Channel past position and depth

Choices of grid and numeric scheme Repeated runs: stochastics, sensitivity case-by-case model-by-model comparison Data-Simulation confrontations

K.M. Cohen - B. van der Meulen - A. Bomers - R.M.J. Schielen - S.J.M.H. Hulscher - H. Middelkoop

Rhine Rhein Rijn

for 785 and 1374 cases - Vd Meulen et al. (in prep)

A) Identify anthropogenic features B) Buffer and remove C) Interpolate

Removed area – selected by – interpolated by Linear features – land use / infrastructure data – IDW

Non-linear features – trend surface method, aided by geomorphological data – void fill Active zone – geological data, aided by LiDAR – IDW between points River – historical geographical data, aided by geological data and LiDAR – Topo to Raster, constrained by geological data

1926 AD case - Bomers et al. 2019 Schematization, gridding, simulation, analysis

today

c. 800 AD human alteration and river migration

Stakeholders / User committee Academic advisors

Research Group Grant

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