Hazards Briefing for CA and Hispaniola
July 19, 2011
Miliaritiana Robjhon
miliaritiana.robjhon@noaa.gov
Active Tropical Cyclone Activity in Eastern Pacific
Above-average SST across CA
Tropical Storm DORA
• At 900 UTC, located 485 km south of Puerto Angel, Mexico (11.4N 95.9W)
• Max sustained winds 100 km h-1
• Moving west northwest at 26 km h-1
• Expected to intensify to Hurricane later today
• To weaken into a post-remnant low during the end of this week
Wind vector anomalies during the past week
850 hPa 200 hPa
Atmospheric patterns – Jul 1 – 16, 2011
Sea-level pressure anomaly Wind vector anomaly
700 hPa relative humidity anomaly
Precipitable water anomaly
Weekly rainfall totals This week
Past week
GFS 7-day forecast verification
Flores 38.8mm Huehuetenango
31.2mm Puerto Barrios 33.8mm
102.0mm San Jose 96.4mm
Ilopango
67.2mm La Union 88.0mm
Santa Rosa de Copan 150.6mm
54.2mm
7-day rainfall anomaly This week
Past week
30-day rainfall anomaly
This week’s 30-day anomaly Coban, Guatemala
San Salvador, El Salvador
Gonaives, Haiti
Rainfall anomaly since July 1
Primera rainfall performance
WRSI & SWI: CA
July Dekad 1 July 13, 2011
WRSI & SWI: Hispaniola
July Dekad 1 July 13
7-day forecast
