Central America and Central America and
Hispaniola Hazards Hispaniola Hazards
Briefing Briefing
18 May 2021
Miliaritiana Robjhon
miliaritiana.robjhon@noaa.gov
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ENSO-neutral
conditions are present
~67% chance to continue during JJA Updated by CPC/IRI on 13 May 2021
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Atlantic & Eastern Pacific Climatology
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th, and the Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th to
November 30th. The Atlantic basin includes the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of
Mexico. The Eastern Pacific basin extends to 140°W.
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Rainfall Guidance, CAM and Caribbean: North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) (01 – 08 May 2021 IC)
The forecasts call for a slight to moderate tilt in the odds to favor below- average rainfall over much of Central
America during Jun – Aug 2021 .
Individual model forecasts can be found here:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/i nternational/nmme/nmme.shtml
Sand shade indicates indicate dry climatological mask. White areas show where no one class is dominant: either all terciles are under 36%, or both A and B are over 36% (http://
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/NMME_PR OB_descr.html
).
