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Hazards Briefing for CA and Hispaniola July 26, 2011

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Hazards Briefing for CA and Hispaniola

July 26, 2011

Miliaritiana Robjhon

miliaritiana.robjhon@noaa.gov

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Tropical wave activity continues in the northwestern Caribbean

• 20% chance of

becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hrs

• moving WNW at 10-15 mph

(3)

Wind vector anomalies

Past week This week

weakening of the anomalous westerly across the eastern Pacific reduced moisture influx across northern CA

(4)

Weekly rainfall totals This week

Past week

The reduction of rainfall since the past 7 days could indicate the start to the Canicula period.

(5)

7-day rainfall anomaly This week

Past week

(6)

30-day rainfall anomaly This week

Past week

(7)

30-day rainfall time series

Puerto Barrios, GT

Tegucigalpa, HN

(8)

30-day rainfall time series

Puerto Barrios, GT

Tegucigalpa, HN Gonaives, HT

Les Cayes, HT

(9)

Rainfall anomaly since July 1

(10)

Primera rainfall performance

Rainfall anomaly Percent average

(11)
(12)

WRSI & SWI: CA

July Dekad 1 July Dekad 2

(13)

WRSI & SWI: Hispaniola

July Dekad 1 July Dekad 2

(14)

NDVI across Haiti

(15)

Layer mean wind

H

(16)

7-day forecast

Reduced rainfall across the inland of CA and Hispaniola; however isolated convections are still expected in many areas

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Proposed hazards outlooks

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