Hazards Briefing for CA and Hispaniola
July 26, 2011
Miliaritiana Robjhon
miliaritiana.robjhon@noaa.gov
Tropical wave activity continues in the northwestern Caribbean
• 20% chance of
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hrs
• moving WNW at 10-15 mph
Wind vector anomalies
Past week This week
weakening of the anomalous westerly across the eastern Pacific reduced moisture influx across northern CA
Weekly rainfall totals This week
Past week
The reduction of rainfall since the past 7 days could indicate the start to the Canicula period.
7-day rainfall anomaly This week
Past week
30-day rainfall anomaly This week
Past week
30-day rainfall time series
Puerto Barrios, GT
Tegucigalpa, HN
30-day rainfall time series
Puerto Barrios, GT
Tegucigalpa, HN Gonaives, HT
Les Cayes, HT
Rainfall anomaly since July 1
Primera rainfall performance
Rainfall anomaly Percent average
WRSI & SWI: CA
July Dekad 1 July Dekad 2
WRSI & SWI: Hispaniola
July Dekad 1 July Dekad 2
NDVI across Haiti
Layer mean wind
H
7-day forecast
Reduced rainfall across the inland of CA and Hispaniola; however isolated convections are still expected in many areas
Proposed hazards outlooks