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(1)

Market analysis and merger

interdepencies in the light of the new recommendation

Johan Keetelaar, Director ACM, The Netherlands

ECTA Regulatory Conference, 18 – 20 November 2014

(2)

2014 in NL: two merger cases and a new market analysis (3a)

• 1st merger case: LGI – Ziggo (EC)

• 2nd merger case: KPN – Reggefiber (ACM)

• Market analysis market 3a (ACM)

• October: EC approves LGI-Ziggo subject to conditions (Pay TV, OTT)

• October: ACM approves KPN-Reggefiber without conditions

• October: ACM consultation market analyis 3a starts, taking into account these merger cases

(3)

Three retail markets

• Revised Recommendation: start with analysis of problems on retail markets.

• ACM considers following retail markets:

1. broadband internet access (including bundles) 2. business connectivity services

3. fixed telephony (PSTN, Dual and Multiple connections and calls).

• Conclusion retail markets (absent regulation):

• risk of single SMP of KPN on business connectivity services and fixed telephony

• risk of joint SMP of KPN and UPC/Ziggo on broadband internet access.

(4)

Wholesale market analysis

• Competition problems on retail level justify analysis of new market 3a.

• New market 3a corresponds with old market 4. Main change is inclusion of virtual unbundled local access (VULA) in market 3a.

• Relevant market for LLU defined by ACM:

• unbundled copper access (MDF/SDF) and Fiber-to-the-Home (ODF FttH)

• VULA on the copper and FttH network part of the relevant market.

(5)

VULA on cable networks?

• Is VULA on cable networks possible, based on three VULA- criteria of Commission?

• Several forms of access are possible on cable networks.

 However, these forms are not a substitute for LLU because:

 less possibilities to deliver guaranteed capacities (business services)

 less possibilities to differentiate for alternative operators compared to LLU.

• Hence, ACM concludes that cable access is not part of the LLU market - new market 3a.

(6)

Obligations

• ACM concludes that KPN has SMP on the market for wholesale local access.

• ACM continues access regulation (MDF and ODF FttH)

– Research by NERA shows there is a business case for FttH-unbundling in the Netherlands.

– Proven in practice as currently Vodafone is unbundling.

• For the first time ACM imposes VULA. SDF-obligation lifted.

• Main goals: consumer choice and stimulation of investments in network upgrades and fiber.

• Third parties, like Tele2, Vodafone and Euronet (Online), can compete with KPN and UPC/Ziggo as a result of access

regulation, leading to more innovation and lower prices for consumers and businesses.

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