• No results found

University of Groningen Global Value Chains and Economic Development Pahl, Stefan

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Share "University of Groningen Global Value Chains and Economic Development Pahl, Stefan"

Copied!
13
0
0

Bezig met laden.... (Bekijk nu de volledige tekst)

Hele tekst

(1)

Global Value Chains and Economic Development

Pahl, Stefan

DOI:

10.33612/diss.121326589

IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from it. Please check the document version below.

Document Version

Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record

Publication date: 2020

Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database

Citation for published version (APA):

Pahl, S. (2020). Global Value Chains and Economic Development. University of Groningen, SOM research school. https://doi.org/10.33612/diss.121326589

Copyright

Other than for strictly personal use, it is not permitted to download or to forward/distribute the text or part of it without the consent of the author(s) and/or copyright holder(s), unless the work is under an open content license (like Creative Commons).

Take-down policy

If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim.

Downloaded from the University of Groningen/UMCG research database (Pure): http://www.rug.nl/research/portal. For technical reasons the number of authors shown on this cover page is limited to 10 maximum.

(2)

233

6

References

Acemoglu, D., & Pischke, J. S. (1998). Why do new technologies complement skills? Direct technical change and wage inequality. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113, 1055-1089. Agence Nationale de la Statistique et de la Demographie (ANSD) (2013). Deuxieme Enquete de

Suivi de la Pauvrete au Senegal (ESPS-II 2011). Rapport definitive. Dakar, Senegal. Aichele, R., Felbermayr, G., & Heiland, I. (2016). Going deep: The trade and welfare effects of

TTIP revised (Ifo-Working Paper 219). Munich: Ifo Institute.

Allen, T., Arkolakis, C., & Takahashi, Y. (2019). Universal gravity. Forthcoming in Journal of

Political Economy.

Amiti, M., & Konings, J. (2007). Trade liberalization, intermediate inputs, and productivity: Evidence from Indonesia. American Economic Review, 97, 1611-1638.

Anderson, J. E., & Marcouiller, D. (2002). Insecurity and the pattern of trade: An empirical investigation. Review of Economics and Statistics, 84, 342-352.

Anderson, J. E., Larch, M., & Yotov, Y. V. (2018). GEPPML: General equilibrium analysis with PPML. The World Economy, 41, 2750-2782.

Antràs, P. (2019). Conceptual Aspects of Global Value Chains (NBER Working Paper 26539). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

Antràs, P., & Chor, D. (2013). Organizing the global value chain. Econometrica, 81, 2127-2204. Antràs, P., & De Gortari, A. (2019). On the geography of global value chains (NBER Working

Paper 23456). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

Arkolakis, C., Costinot, A., & Rodriguez-Clare, A. (2012). New trade models, same old gains?. American Economic Review, 102, 94-130.

Arvis, J. F. & Shepherd, B. (2013) The Poisson Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator: a Solution to the Adding Up Model in Gravity Models. Applied Economics Letters, 20, 515-519.

Arvis, J. F., Duval, Y., Shepherd, B., & Utoktham, C. (2013). Trade costs in the developing world:

1995–2010 (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 6309). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

Arvis, J. F., Saslavsky, D., Ojala, L., Shepherd, B., Busch, C., & Raj, A. (2014). Connecting to

Compete 2014: Trade Logistics in the Global Economy. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

ASIA KLEMS (2017). Asia KLEMS Growth and Productivity Accounts 2013 release. Asian Development Bank (ADB) (2018a). Bangladesh, Key Indicators. Available at:

https://data.adb.org/dataset/bangladesh-key-indicators

Asian Development Bank (ADB) (2018b). Supply and Use Tables, available at:

https://data.adb.org/search/field_tags/supply-and-use-tables-sut-141/type/dataset?sort_by=changed

Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes.

Econometrica, 66, 47-78.

Bai, J., & Perron, P. (2003). Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. Journal

of Applied Econometrics, 18, 1-22.

Bai, J., & Perron, P. (2006). Multiple structural change models: a simulation analysis. In Corbae, D., Durlauf, S. N. & Hansen, B. E. (Eds.): Econometric theory and practice: Frontiers of analysis and applied research (212-237). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Baier, S. L. & Bergstrand, J. H. (2007). Do Free Trade Agreements Actually Increase Members’ International Trade?. Journal of International Economics, 71, 72–95.

(3)

234

Baier, S. L., Yotov, Y. V., & Zylkin, T. (2019). On the widely differing effects of free trade agreements: Lessons from twenty years of trade integration. Journal of International Economics, 116, 206-226.

Baldwin, R. (2014). Trade and industrialization after globalization's second unbundling: How

building and joining a supply chain are different and why it matters. In Feenstra, R.C. & Tayler, A.M. (Eds.): Globalization in an age of crisis: Multilateral economic cooperation in the

twenty-first century (165-214). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Baldwin, R. (2016). The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

Baldwin, R., & Lopez-Gonzalez, J. (2015). Supply-chain trade: a portrait of global patterns and several testable hypotheses. The World Economy, 38, 1682-1721.

Baldwin, R., & Venables, A. J. (2013). Spiders and snakes: offshoring and agglomeration in the global economy. Journal of International Economics, 90, 245-254.

Barrientos, S., Knorringa, P., Evers, B., Visser, M., & Opondo, M. (2016). Shifting regional dynamics of global value chains: Implications for economic and social upgrading in African horticulture. Environment and Planning A, 48, 1266-1283.

Barro, R. J., & Lee, J. W. (2013). A new dataset of educational attainment in the world, 1950– 2010. Journal of Development Economics, 104, 184-198.

Bems, R., & Kikkawa, A. K. (2019). Measuring trade in value added with Firm-Level Data (National Bank of Belgium Working Paper 378). Brussels: National Bank of Belgium. Bems, R., Johnson, R. C., & Yi, K. M. (2011). Vertical linkages and the collapse of global

trade. American Economic Review, 101, 308-12.

Berg, A., Ostry, J. D., & Zettelmeyer, J. (2012). What makes growth sustained?. Journal of

Development Economics, 98, 149-166.

Bergstrand, J. H., Larch, M., & Yotov, Y. V. (2015). Economic integration agreements, border effects, and distance elasticities in the gravity equation. European Economic Review, 78, 307-327.

Bernard, A. B., & Fort, T. C. (2015). Factoryless goods producing firms. American Economic

Review, 105, 518-23.

Bernhardt, T., & Milberg, W. (2013). Does industrial upgrading generate employment and wage gains? In Bardhan, A., Kroll, C.A. & Jaffee, D.M. (Eds.): The Oxford Handbook of Offshoring and Global Employment (490-533). New York: Oxford University Press.

Bernhardt, T., & Pollak, R. (2016). Economic and social upgrading dynamics in global

manufacturing value chains: A comparative analysis. Environment and Planning A, 48, 1220-1243.

Besley, T., & Burgess, R. (2004). Can labor regulation hinder economic performance? Evidence from India. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119, 91-134.

Beverelli, C., Neumueller, S., & Teh, R. (2015). Export diversification effects of the WTO trade facilitation agreement. World Development, 76, 293-310.

Brakman, S., Garretsen, H., & Kohl, T. (2018). Consequences of Brexit and options for a ‘Global Britain’. Papers in Regional Science, 97, 55-72.

Brandt, L., Van Biesebroeck, J., Wang, L., & Zhang, Y. (2017). WTO Accession and Performance of Chinese Manufacturing Firms. American Economic Review, 107, 2784-2820.

Cali, M., Francois, J., Hollweg, C. H., Manchin, M., Oberdabernig, D. A., Rojas Romagosa, H. A., Rubinova, S., & Tomberger, P. (2016). The labor content of exports database (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 7615). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

(4)

235 Caliendo, L., & Parro, F. (2015). Estimates of the Trade and Welfare Effects of NAFTA. The

Review of Economic Studies, 82, 1-44.

Campos, N. F. & Nugent, J. B. (2018). The Dynamics of the Regulation of Labour in Developing and Developed Countries since 1960. In Campos, N. F., De Grauwe, P. & Ji, Y. (Eds.): The Political Economy of Structural Reforms in Europe (75-88). Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Carballo, J., Graziano, A., Schaur, G., & Martincus, C. (2014). The heterogeneous costs of

port-of-entry delays (IDB Working Paper Series IDB-WP 351). Washington, D.C.: Inter-American Development Bank.

Carballo, J., Graziano, A., Schaur, G., & Martincus, C. (2016). Endogenous Border Times.

Technical report (IDB Working Paper Series IDB-WP 702). Washington, D.C.: Inter-American Development Bank.

Central Statistical Agency of Ethiopia (2014). Analytical Report on the 2013 National Labour Force Survey. Central Statistical Agency of Ethiopia.

Chen, W., Los, B., & Timmer, M.P. (2018). Measuring the Returns to Intangibles: A Global Value Chain Approach. Forthcoming in Corrado, C., Miranda, J., Haskel, J. & Sichel, D. (Eds.): Measuring and Accounting for Innovation in the 21st Century. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Chenery, H. B., Robinson, S., & Syrquin, M. (1986). Industrialization and growth: a comparative

study. Washington D.C.: The World Bank.

Christ, N., & Ferrantino, M. J. (2011). Land transport for export: The effects of cost, time, and uncertainty in sub-Saharan Africa. World Development, 39, 1749-1759.

Coe, N.M., & Yeung, H. (2015) Global Production Networks: Theorizing Economic Development in

an Interconnected World. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Coe, N.M., Dicken, P., & Hess, M. (2008), Global production networks: realizing the potential,

Journal of Economic Geography, 8, 271–295.

Collier, P., & Venables, A. J. (2007). Rethinking trade preferences: how Africa can diversify its exports. The World Economy, 30, 1326-1345.

Constantinescu, C., Mattoo, A., & Ruta, M. (2019). Does vertical specialisation increase productivity?. The World Economy, 42, 2385-2402.

Costinot, A., & Rodríguez-Clare, A. (2014). Trade theory with numbers: Quantifying the

consequences of globalization. In Gopinath, G., Helpman, E. & Rogoff, K. (Eds.): Handbook of international economics, Vol. 4 (197-261). North-Holland: Elsevier.

Criscuolo, C., & Timmis, J. (2017). The Relationship Between Global Value Chains and Productivity. International Productivity Monitor, 32, 61-83.

Crozet, M., & Milet, E. (2017). The servitization of French manufacturing firms. In Fontagné, L. & Harrison, A. (Eds.): The Factory-Free Economy: Outsourcing, Servitization, and the Future of Industry (111-135). Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Dalle, D., Fossati, V., & Lavopa, F. (2013). Industrial policy and developmental space: The missing piece in the GVCs debate. Revista Argentina de Economía Internacional, 2, 3-14.

De Gortari, A. (2019). Disentangling global value chains (NBER Working Paper 25858). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

De Vries, G. J., Erumban, A. A., Timmer, M. P., Voskoboynikov, I., & Wu, H. X. (2012). Deconstructing the BRICs: Structural transformation and aggregate productivity growth. Journal of Comparative Economics, 40, 211-227.

De Vries, G., Timmer, M., & de Vries, K. (2015). Structural transformation in Africa: Static gains, dynamic losses. Journal of Development Studies, 51, 674-688.

(5)

236

Dedrick, J., Kraemer, K. L., & Linden, G. (2010). Who profits from innovation in global value chains?: a study of the iPod and notebook PCs. Industrial and corporate change, 19, 81-116. Del Prete, D., Giovannetti, G., & Marvasi, E. (2017). Global value chains participation and

productivity gains for North African firms. Review of World Economics, 153, 675-701.

Del Prete, D., Giovannetti, G., & Marvasi, E. (2018). Global value chains: New evidence for North Africa. International economics, 153, 42-54.

Department of Statistics Malaysia (2018). Employed persons by industry, age group and sex, Malaysia. Department of Statistics Malaysia.

Diagne, A., Cabral, F.J., Cissé, F., & Robilliard, A. (2011). Country Study: Assessing

Development Strategies to Achieve the MDGs in the Republic of Senegal. United Nations Department for Social and Economic Affairs.

http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/capacity/output_sam.shtml

Diao, X., Fang, P., Magalhaes, E., Pahl, S., & Silver, J. (2019). Cities and Rural Transformation: A Spatial Analysis of Rural Youth Livelihoods in Ghana. In Mueller, V. & Thurlow, J. (Eds.): Youth and Jobs in Rural Africa: Beyond Stylized Facts (172-204). Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Diao, X., Harttgen, K., & McMillan, M. (2017). The Changing Structure of Africa’s Economies. The World Bank Economic Review, 31, 412–433.

Diao, X., Kweka, J., & McMillan, M. (2018a). Small firms, structural change and labor productivity growth in Africa: Evidence from Tanzania. World Development, 105, 400-415.

Diao, X., Magalhaes, E. & McMillan, M. (2018b). Understanding the Role of Rural Non-Farm Enterprises in Africa’s Economic Transformation: Evidence from Tanzania. Journal of Development Studies, 54, 833-855.

Dietzenbacher, E., & Los, B. (1998). Structural decomposition techniques: sense and sensitivity.

Economic Systems Research, 10, 307-324.

Dietzenbacher, E., Los, B., Stehrer, R., Timmer, M. P., & de Vries, G. J. (2013). The construction of world input–output tables in the WIOD project, Economic Systems Research, 25, 71-98. Dixit, A. K., & Grossman, G. M. (1982). Trade and protection with multistage production. The

Review of Economic Studies, 49, 583-594.

Djankov, S., Freund, C., & Pham, C. S. (2010). Trading on time. The Review of Economics and

Statistics, 92, 166-173.

Duan, Y., Dietzenbacher, E., Jiang, X., Chen, X., & Yang, C. (2018). Why has China’s vertical specialization declined?. Economic Systems Research, 30, 178-200.

Dudenhöffer, F. (2005). Wie viel Deutschland steckt im Porsche?. ifo Schnelldienst, 58, 3-5. Eaton, J., & Kortum, S. (2002). Technology, geography, and trade. Econometrica, 70, 1741-1779. Egger, P., & Larch, M. (2008). Interdependent Preferential Trade Agreement Memberships: An

Empirical Analysis. Journal of International Economics, 76, 384–399.

Ethiopian Development Research Institute (2009). Ethiopia: Input Output Table & Social Accounting Matrix. Ethiopian Development Research Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Eurostat (2008). Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables. Eurostat Methodologies

and Working Papers.

Fally, T. (2015) Structural Gravity and Fixed Effects. Journal of International Economics, 97, 76-85. Feenstra, R. C. (1998). Integration of trade and disintegration of production in the global economy.

(6)

237 Feenstra, R. C., & Hanson, G. H. (2005). Ownership and control in outsourcing to China:

Estimating the property-rights theory of the firm. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120, 729-761.

Feenstra, R. C., Inklaar, R., & Timmer, M. P. (2015). The next generation of the Penn World Table. American Economic Review, 105, 3150-82.

Feenstra, R. C., Lipsey, R. E., Deng, H., Ma, A. C., & Mo, H. (2005). World trade flows: 1962-2000 (NBER Working Paper 11040). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. Feenstra, R., & Ma, H. (2014). Trade facilitation and the extensive margin of exports. Japanese

Economic Review, 65, 158–177.

Felipe, J., Mehta, A. & Rhee, C. (2019), Manufacturing matters…but it’s the jobs that count,

Cambridge Journal of Economics, 43, 139–168

Fernandes, A. M., Hillberry, R., & Alcántara, A. N. (2015). Trade Effects of Customs Reform :

Evidence from Albania (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 7210). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

Formai, S., & Vergara Caffarelli, F. (2016). Quantifying the productivity effects of global sourcing (Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 1075). Rome: Bank of Italy.

Foster-McGregor, N., Isaksson, A., & Kaulich, F. (2014). Importing, exporting and performance in sub-Saharan African manufacturing firms. Review of World Economics, 150, 309.

Foster-McGregor, N., Kaulich, F., & Stehrer, R. (2015). Global value chains in Africa (UNU-MERIT Working Paper 24). Maastricht: UNU-(UNU-MERIT.

Fraser Institute (2015). Economic Freedom of the World: 2015 Annual Report. Available here: www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/economic-freedom-of-the-world-2015-annual-report. Freund, C., & Rocha, N. (2011). What constrains Africa's exports?. The World Bank Economic

Review, 25, 361-386.

Gaulier, G., & Zignago, S. (2010). BACI: international trade database at the product-level (the

1994-2007 version) (CEPII Working Paper 2010-23). Paris: Centre d’Etudes Prospectives et

d’Informations Internationales.

Gaulier, G., Sztulman, A., & Ünal-Kesenci, D. (2019). Are global value chains receding? The jury

is still out. Key findings from the analysis of deflated world trade in parts and components (CEPII Working Paper 2019-01). Paris: Centre d’Etudes Prospectives et d’Informations Internationales.

General Statistics Office of Vietnam (2018). Annual employed population and annual employed population at 15 years of age and above by kinds of economic activity, items and year. Available at: https://www.gso.gov.vn/default_en.aspx?tabid=774

Gereffi, G. (1994). The Organization of Buyer-Driven Global Commodity Chains: How US Retailers Shape Overseas Production Networks. In Gereffi, G. & Korzeniewicz, M. (Eds.): Commodity chains and global capitalism (95-122). London: Praeger.

Gereffi, G. (1999). International Trade and Industrial Upgrading in the Apparel Commodity Chain,

Journal of International Economics, 48, 37-70.

Gereffi, G. (2014). Global value chains in a post-Washington Consensus world. Review of

International Political Economy, 21, 9-37.

Gereffi, G., & Frederick, S. (2010). The global apparel value chain, trade and the crisis: challenges

and opportunities for developing countries (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5281). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

(7)

238

Gereffi, G., & Sturgeon, T. J. (2013). Global value chains and industrial policy: the role of emerging economies. In Elms, D. K. & Low, P. (Eds.): Global value chains in a changing world (329-360). Geneva: WTO Publications.

Gereffi, G., Humphrey, J., & Sturgeon, T. (2005). The governance of global value chains. Review

of International Political Economy , 12, 78–104.

Guvenen, F., Mataloni, R.J., Rassier, D.G., & Ruhl, K.J. (2017). Offshore Profit Shifting and

Domestic Productivity Measurement (NBER Working Paper 23324). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

Haraguchi, N., Cheng, C. F. C., & Smeets, E. (2017). The importance of manufacturing in economic development: Has this changed? World Development, 93, 293–315.

Hausmann, R., Hwang, J., & Rodrik, D. (2007). What you export matters. Journal of Economic

Growth, 12, 1-25.

Havranek, T., & Irsova, Z. (2011). Estimating vertical spillovers from FDI: Why results vary and what the true effect is. Journal of International Economics, 85, 234-244.

Hayakawa, K., Laksanapanyakul, N., & Yoshimi, T (2019). How Does Import Processing Time Impact Export Patterns?. The World Economy, 42, 2070-2088.

Head, K., & Mayer, T. (2014). Gravity equations: Workhorse, toolkit, and cookbook. In Gopinath, G., Helpman, E. & Rogoff, K. (Eds.): Handbook of international economics, Vol. 4 (131-195). North-Holland: Elsevier.

Heckman, J., & Pages, C. (2004). Law and employment: Lessons from Latin America and the

Caribbean. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.

Heid, B., Larch, M., & Yotov, Y. (2017). Estimating the Effects of Non-discriminatory Trade

Policies within Structural Gravity Models (CESifo Working Paper No. 6735). Munich: CESifo group.

Hillberry, R., & Zhang, X. (2018). Policy and performance in customs: Evaluating the trade facilitation agreement. Review of International Economics, 26, 438-480.

Hirschman, A. O. (1958). The Strategy of Economic Development. New Haven: Yale University Press.

Hobday, M. (1995). East Asian latecomer firms: learning the technology of electronics. World

Development, 23, 1171-1193.

Hoekman, B., & Nicita, A. (2011). Trade Policy, Trade Costs, and Developing Country Trade. World

Development, 39, 2069-2079.

Hornok, C., & Koren, M. (2015). Per-shipment costs and the lumpiness of international trade.

Review of Economics and Statistics, 97, 525-530.

Hummels, D. (2001). Time as a trade barrier. Purdue University.

Hummels, D., & Schaur, G. (2013). Time as a trade barrier. American Economic Review, 103, 2935-59.

Hummels, D., Ishii, J., & Yi, K. M. (2001). The nature and growth of vertical specialization in world trade. Journal of International Economics, 54, 75-96.

Humphrey, J., & Schmitz, H. (2002). How does insertion in global value chains affect upgrading in industrial clusters?. Regional studies, 36, 1017-1027.

Imbs, J., & Wacziarg, R. (2003). Stages of diversification. American Economic Review, 93, 63-86. International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2018). International Financial Statistics Database.

Iršová, Z., & Havránek, T. (2013). Determinants of horizontal spillovers from FDI: Evidence from a large meta-analysis. World Development, 42, 1-15.

(8)

239 Ivarsson, I., & Alvstam, C. G. (2010). Upgrading in global value-chains: a case study of

technology-learning among IKEA-suppliers in China and Southeast Asia. Journal of Economic Geography, 11, 731-752.

Jäger, K. (2017). EU KLEMS Growth and Productivity Accounts 2017 release - Description of Methodology and General Notes.

Javorcik, B. S. (2014). Does FDI bring good jobs to host countries?. The World Bank Research

Observer, 30, 74-94.

Johnson, R. C. (2014). Five facts about value-added exports and implications for macroeconomics and trade research. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28, 119-42.

Johnson, R. C. (2018). Measuring global value chains. Annual Review of Economics, 10, 207-236. Johnson, R. C., & Moxnes, A. (2019). GVCs and Trade Elasticities with Multistage

Production (NBER Working Paper 26018). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

Johnson, R. C., & Noguera, G. (2012). Accounting for intermediates: Production sharing and trade in value added. Journal of International Economics, 86, 224-236.

Johnson, R. C., & Noguera, G. (2017). A portrait of trade in value added over four decades. Review

of Economics and Statistics, 99, 896-911.

Kaplinsky, R. (2000). Globalisation and unequalisation: What can be learned from value chain analysis?. Journal of Development Studies, 37, 117-146.

Kaplinsky, R., & Farooki, M. (2010). What are the Implications for Global Value Chains when the

Market Shifts from the North to the South? (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5205). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

Kar, S., Pritchett, L., Raihan, S., & Sen, K. (2013). Looking for a break: Identifying transitions in growth regimes. Journal of Macroeconomics, 38, 151-166.

Kee, H. L., & Tang, H. (2016). Domestic value added in exports: theory and firm evidence from China. American Economic Review, 106, 1402-36.

Kelle, M. (2013). Crossing industry borders: German manufacturers as services exporters. The World

Economy, 36, 1494-1515.

Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (2015). Kenya Facts and Figures 2015. Available at: https://www.knbs.or.ke/download/kenya-facts-2015/

Kiringai, J., Thurlow, J., & Wanjala, B. (2006). A 2003 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for Kenya.

Kohl, T. (2019). The Belt and Road Initiative’s effect on supply-chain trade: evidence from structural gravity equations. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 12, 77-104.

Koopman, R., Wang, Z., & Wei, S. J. (2012). Estimating domestic content in exports when processing trade is pervasive. Journal of Development Economics, 99, 178-189.

Koopman, R., Wang, Z., & Wei, S. J. (2014). Tracing value-added and double counting in gross exports. American Economic Review, 104, 459-94.

Kummritz, V. (2016). Do Global Value Chains Cause Industrial Development? (Centre for Trade and Economic Integration, Working Paper 01-2016). Geneva: The Graduate Institute. Kummritz, V., Taglioni, D., & Winkler, D. (2017). Economic upgrading through global value

chain participation: which policies increase the value added gains? (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 8007). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

(9)

240

Kuznets, S. (1971). Economic Growth of Nations: Total Output and Production Structure. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

La Porta, R., & Shleifer, A. (2008). The Unofficial Economy and Economic Development.

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 47, 275–352.

Laget, E., Osnago, A., Rocha, N., & Ruta, M. (2018). Deep trade agreements and global value

chains. (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 8491). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

Lavopa, A., & Szirmai, A. (2018). Structural modernisation and development traps. An empirical approach. World Development, 112, 59-73.

Lee, W. (2019). Services liberalization and global value chain participation: New evidence for heterogeneous effects by income level and provisions. Review of International Economics, 27, 888-915.

Lenzen, M., Moran, D., Kanemoto, K., & Geschke, A. (2013). Building Eora: a global multi-region input–output database at high country and sector resolution. Economic Systems Research, 25, 20-49.

Lenzen, M., Wood, R., & Gallego, B. (2007). Some comments on the GRAS method. Economic

Systems Research, 19, 461-465.

Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. The Manchester

School, 22, 139-191.

Lind, J. T., & Mehlum, H. (2010). With or without U? The appropriate test for a U‐shaped relationship. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 72, 109-118.

Lipsey, R. E. (2010). Measuring the location of production in a world of intangible productive assets, FDI, and intrafirm trade. Review of Income and Wealth, 56, S99-S110.

Lopez-Gonzalez, J. (2016). Using Foreign Factors to Enhance Domestic Export Performance: A

Focus on Southeast Asia (OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 191). Paris: OECD Publishing.

Los, B. & Timmer, M. P. (2018). Indicators of Bilateral trade dependence: A Unified Framework. Draft prepared for CRIW Conference on The Challenges of Globalization in the Measurement of National Accounts, 9/10 March 2018.

Los, B., Timmer, M. P., & de Vries, G. J. (2016). Tracing value-added and double counting in gross exports: comment. American Economic Review, 106, 1958-66.

Los, B., Timmer, M. P., & de Vries, G. J. (2015). How global are global value chains? A new approach to measure international fragmentation. Journal of Regional Science, 55, 66-92. Marti, L., Puertas, R., & García, L. (2014). Relevance of trade facilitation in emerging countries'

exports. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 23, 202-222. Martin, J., Mejean, I., & Parenti, M. (2019). Relationship stickiness and economic uncertainty.

mimeo

Martincus, C., Carballo, J., & Graziano, A. (2015). Customs. Journal of International Economics, 96, 119–137.

Martinez-Zarzoso, I., & Marquez-Ramos, L. (2008). The Effect of Trade Facilitation on Sectoral Trade. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 8, 1-44.

Mayer, T., & Zignago, S. (2011). Notes on CEPII’s distances measures: The GeoDist database (CEPII Working Paper 2011-25). Paris: Centre d’Etudes Prospectives et d’Informations Internationales.

McCallum, J. (1995). National borders matter: Canada-US regional trade patterns. The American

(10)

241 McMillan, M., Rodrik, D., & Verduzco-Gallo, Í. (2014). Globalization, structural change, and

productivity growth, with an update on Africa. World Development, 63, 11-32.

Milberg, W., Jiang, X., & Gereffi, G. (2014). Industrial policy in the era of vertically specialised industrialization. In Salazar-Xirinachs, J; Nübler, I; Kozul-Wright, R (Eds.). Transforming economies: making industrial policy work for growth, jobs and development (151-180). Geneva: International Labour Organization.

Miller, R. E., & Blair P. D. (2009). Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press

Miroudot, S., & Cadestin. C. (2017). Services In Global Value Chains: From Inputs to

Value-Creating Activities (OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 197). Paris: OECD Publishing.

Moïsé, E., & Sorescu, S. (2013). Trade facilitation indicators: The potential impact of trade

facilitation on developing countries' trade (OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 144). Paris: OECD Publishing.

Moïsé, E., & Sorescu, S. (2015). Contribution of trade facilitation measures to the operation of

supply chains (OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 181). Paris: OECD Publishing.

Moreno-Monroy, A. I., Pieters, J., & Erumban, A. A. (2014). Formal sector subcontracting and informal sector employment in Indian manufacturing. IZA Journal of Labor & Development, 3, 22.

Narayanan, B., & Walmsley, T.L. (2008). Global trade, assistance, and production: the GTAP 7 data base. Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University.

Newfarmer, R., Page, J., & Tarp, F. (Eds.). (2019). Industries without Smokestacks:

Industrialization in Africa Reconsidered. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Oberhofer, H., Pfaffermayr, M., & Sellner, R. (2018). Revisiting Time as a Trade Barrier: Evidence from a Panel Structural Gravity Model (CESifo Working Paper 7426). Munich: CESifo group.

OECD (2015). OECD Inter-Country Input-Output (ICIO) Tables, 2015 edition. OECD (2017). Trade in Employment database.

OECD (2018). OECD Inter-Country Input-Output (ICIO) Tables, 2018 edition.

Okafor, L. E., Bhattacharya, M., & Bloch, H. (2017). Imported Intermediates, Absorptive Capacity and Productivity: Evidence from Ghanaian Manufacturing Firms. The World Economy, 40, 369–392.

Page, J. (2012). Can Africa Industrialise?. Journal of African Economies, 21(suppl_2), ii86-ii124. Pahl, S., & Timmer, M. P. (2019a). Do Global Value Chains Enhance Economic Upgrading? A

Long View. Forthcoming in Journal of Development Studies.

Pahl, S., & Timmer, M. P. (2019b). Patterns of vertical specialisation in trade: long-run evidence for 91 countries. Review of World Economics, 155, 459–486.

Pahl, S., Timmer, M. P., Gouma, R., & Woltjer, J. P. (2019). Jobs in Global Value Chains: New

Evidence for Four African Countries in International Perspective (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 8953). Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Persson, M. (2013). Trade facilitation and the extensive margin. The Journal of International Trade

& Economic Development, 22, 658–693.

Piermartini, R., & Yotov, Y. V. (2016). Estimating Trade Policy Effects with Structural Gravity (CESifo Working Paper 6009). Munich: CESifo group.

Pietrobelli, C., & Rabellotti, R. (2011). Global value chains meet innovation systems: are there learning opportunities for developing countries?. World Development, 39, 1261-1269.

(11)

242

Portugal-Perez, A., & Wilson, J. S. (2012). Export performance and trade facilitation reform: Hard and soft infrastructure. World Development, 40, 1295-1307.

Prebish, R. (1950). The Economic Development of Latin America and Its Principal Problems. New York: UN Commision for Latin America.

Pritchett, L., Sen, K., Kar, S., & Raihan, S. (2016). Trillions gained and lost: Estimating the magnitude of growth episodes. Economic Modelling, 55, 279-291.

Psacharopoulos, G. (1994). Returns to investment in education: A global update. World

Development, 22, 1325-1343.

Raikes, P., Jensen, M. F., & Ponte, S. (2000). Global Commodity Chain Analysis and the French Filière Approach: Comparison and Critique. Economy and Society, 29, 390-417.

Ramasamy, B., & Yeung, M. (2019). China's One Belt One Road Initiative: The Impact of Trade Facilitation versus Physical Infrastructure on Exports. The World Economy, 42, 1673-1694. Randriamamonjy, J., & Thurlow. J. (2016). 2013 Social Accounting Matrix for Kenya: A Nexus

Project SAM.

Rauch, J. E. (1999). Networks versus markets in international trade. Journal of International

Economics, 48, 7-35.

Reijnders, L. S. M., Timmer, M. P., & Ye, X. (2016). Offshoring, Biased Technical Change and

Labour Demand: New Evidence from Global Value Chains (GGDC Research memorandum 164). Groningen: Groningen Growth and Development Centre.

Reijnders, L. S., & de Vries, G. J. (2018). Technology, offshoring and the rise of non-routine jobs. Journal of Development Economics, 135, 412-432.

Rodrik, D. (2013). Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing. The Quarterly Journal of

Economics, 128, 165–204.

Rodrik, D. (2014). The past, present, and future of economic growth. Challenge, 57, 5-39. Rodrik, D. (2016). Premature deindustrialization. Journal of Economic Growth, 21, 1-33. Rodrik, D. (2018). New Technologies, Global Value Chains, and Developing Economies (NBER

Working Paper 25164). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

Rodrik, D., & Sabel, C. (2019). Building a good jobs economy (Working Paper). Cambridge, MA: Harvard University.

Sen, K. (2019). What Explains the Job Creating Potential of Industrialisation in the Developing World?. Journal of Development Studies, 55, 1565-1583.

Silva, J. S., & Tenreyro, S. (2006). The log of gravity. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 88, 641-658.

Singer, H. W. (1950). The Distribution of Gains between Investing and Borrowing Countries. American Economic Review, 40, 473-485.

Sinn, H. W. (2006). The pathological export boom and the bazaar effect: how to solve the German puzzle. The World Economy, 29, 1157-1175.

Statistics South Africa (2017). Input-output tables for South Africa, 2013 and 2014. Report number 04-04-02. Pretoria: Statistics South Africa.

Statistics South Africa (2018). Quarterly Labour Force Survey. Quarter 3: 2018. Statistical release P0211. Pretoria, Statistics South Africa.

Strange, R., & Humphrey, J. (2019). What lies between market and hierarchy? Insights from internalization theory and global value chain theory. Journal of International Business Studies, 50, 1401-1413.

(12)

243 Sturgeon, T. J., & Gereffi, G. (2009). Measuring success in the global economy: international trade,

industrial upgrading, and business function outsourcing in global value chains: an essay in memory of Sanjaya Lall. Transnational Corporations, 18, 1-36.

Szirmai, A., & Verspagen, B. (2015). Manufacturing and economic growth in developing countries, 1950–2005. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 34, 46-59.

Taglioni, D., & Winkler, D. (2016). Making global value chains work for development. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

Timmer M. P., Miroudot, S., & De Vries, G. (2019). Functional specialization in trade. Journal of

Economic Geography, 19, 1-30.

Timmer, M. P., & de Vries, G. J. (2009). Structural change and growth accelerations in Asia and Latin America: a new sectoral dataset. Cliometrica, 3, 165-190.

Timmer, M. P., & Ye, X. (2018). Productivity and Technical Change in Global Value Chains. In Lovell, K., Grifell, E. & Sickles, R. (Eds.): Oxford Handbook on Productivity. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Timmer, M. P., de Vries, G. J., & de Vries, K. (2015a). Patterns of Structural Change in

Developing Countries. In J. Weiss, & Tribe, M. (Eds.): Routledge Handbook of Industry and Development (65-83). London: Routledge.

Timmer, M. P., Dietzenbacher, E., Los, B., Stehrer, R., & Vries, G. J. (2015b). An illustrated user guide to the world input–output database: the case of global automotive production. Review of International Economics, 23, 575-605.

Timmer, M. P., Los, B., Stehrer, R., & De Vries, G. J. (2013). Fragmentation, incomes and jobs: an analysis of European competitiveness. Economic policy, 28, 613-661.

UN COMTRADE (2018). UN Comtrade Database. Available at: https://comtrade.un.org/.

UNCTAD (2013), Global Value Chains and Development: Investment and Value Added Trade in the

Global Economy. Geneva: United Nations Commission for Trade and Development.

United Nation Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) (2018a). Global Value Chains and

Industrial Development. Lessons from China, South-East and South Asia. Vienna: United Nations Industrial Development Organization. Available here:

https://www.unido.org/sites/default/files/files/2018-06/EBOOK_GVC.pdf

United Nation Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) (2016). INDSTAT2, Industrial

Statistics Database.

United Nation Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) (2018b). INDSTAT, Industrial

Statistics Database.

United Nations (UN) (2015a). Classification files. United Nations Statistics Division.

United Nations (UN) (2015b). National Accounts Estimates of Main Aggregates, United Nations Statistics Division.

United Nations (UN) (2015c). National Accounts Official Country Data, United Nations Statistics Division.

United Nations (UN) (2018a). National Accounts Estimates of Main Aggregates, United Nations Statistics Division.

United Nations (UN) (2018b). National Accounts Official Country Data, United Nations Statistics Division.

Vandenbussche, H., Connell Garcia, W., & Simons, W. (2019). Global value chains, trade shocks

(13)

244

Wad, P. (2009). The automobile industry of Southeast Asia: Malaysia and Thailand. Journal of the

Asia Pacific Economy, 14, 172-193.

Wang, Z., Wei, S. J., Yu, X., & Zhu, K. (2017). Measures of participation in global value chains

and global business cycles (NBER Working Paper 23222). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

Wood, A., & Berge, K. (1997). Exporting manufactures: human resources, natural resources, and trade policy. Journal of Development Studies, 34, 35-59.

World Bank (2017). Global Value Chain Development Report 2017. Measuring and Analyzing the

Impact of GVCs on Economic Development. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

World Bank (2018a). World Bank Doing Business indicators. World Bank (2018b). World Development Indicators.

World Bank (2020). World Development Report 2020: Trading for Development in the Age of

Global Value Chains. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

World Trade Organization (2015).World trade report 2015. Geneva: World Trade Organization. Wu, H. X., & Ito, K. (2015). Reconstructing China's Supply-Use and Input-Output Tables in Time

Series. (RIETI Discussion Papers 15-E-004). Tokyo: RIETI.

Yeats, A. J. (1998). Just How Big Is Global Production Sharing? (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 1871). Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.

Yi, K. M. (2003). Can vertical specialization explain the growth of world trade?. Journal of Political

Economy, 111, 52-102.

Yi, K. M. (2010). Can multistage production explain the home bias in trade?. American Economic

Review, 100, 364-93.

Yotov, Y. V., Piermartini, R., Monteiro, J.-A., & Larch, M. (2016). An Advanced Guide to Trade

Referenties

GERELATEERDE DOCUMENTEN

During that time, however, you got me excited about research: I enjoyed teaching from both of you on growth, value chains and development and was motivated by

The goal of this thesis is to contribute to the discussions on structural change and long- run development by providing systematic, cross-country evidence on the generation of value

We track vertical specialisation in trade through the share of domestic value added in gross exports, which we refer to as the VAX-D ratio.. 3 We focus on the exports of

For outcome measurement, we measure all manufacturing value added and employment in a country that is generated in the production for exports, not only in the exporting industry,

We need to obtain at least one official input-output table, time series of exports, imports, value added, and gross output by industry, as well as totals of the final

Sectoral value added thus derives from exports by the sector itself (direct effect), from indirect exports via other sectors of the same country and from linkages into

Men zou echter kunnen betogen dat productie binnen een MWK niet noodzakelijkerwijs een aanjager is van banengroei omdat bedrijven in MWK’s geneigd

13 For the remaining 26 countries, we construct a benchmark matrix using country-specific information on exports, imports and sectoral gross output and value