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Statistical modelling of repeated and multivariate survival data

Wintrebert, C.M.A.

Citation

Wintrebert, C. M. A. (2007, March 7). Statistical modelling of repeated and multivariate

survival data. Department Medical Statistics and bio informatics, Faculty of Medicine /

Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC), Leiden University. Retrieved from

https://hdl.handle.net/1887/11456

Version: Corrected Publisher’s Version

License: Licence agreement concerning inclusion of doctoral thesis in the

Institutional Repository of the University of Leiden

Downloaded from: https://hdl.handle.net/1887/11456

Note: To cite this publication please use the final published version (if applicable).

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S TATISTICAL M ODELLING

OF

R EPEATED AND M ULTIVARIATE

S URVIVAL D ATA

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De uitgave van dit proefschrift werd financieel ondersteund door de afdeling Medische Statistiek van het Leids Universitair Medisch Centrum.

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Statistical Modelling

of

Repeated and Multivariate

Survival Data

P

ROEFSCHRIFT

ter verkrijging van

de graad van Doctor aan de Universiteit Leiden,

op gezag van de Rector Magnificus prof. mr. P. F. van der Heijden, volgens besluit van het College voor Promoties

te verdedigen op woensdag 7 maart 2007 klokke 15:00 uur

door

Claire Marie Antoinette Wintrebert

geboren te Montpellier, Frankrijk, in 1973

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P ROMOTIECOMMISSIE

PROMOTORES: Prof. dr. J. C. van Houwelingen Prof. dr. A. H. Zwinderman

·Amsterdam Medical Centre, Amsterdan REFERENT: Prof. dr. D. Commenges

·Universiteit van Bordeaux II, Frankrijk OVERIGE LEDEN: Prof. dr. J. N. Kok

Dr. H. Putter

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Contents

1 Introduction: Survival Analysis and Frailty Models 1

1.1 Introduction: survival analysis . . . 1

1.1.1 Probability tools . . . 1

1.1.2 Censored and truncated data . . . 2

1.1.3 Common estimators of the survival function . . . 2

1.1.4 Cox-regression model . . . 3

1.1.5 Martingale Residuals and counting process approach . . . 4

1.2 Frailty models . . . 5

1.2.1 Introduction . . . 5

1.2.2 Univariate frailty models . . . 5

1.2.3 Multivariate frailty models . . . 7

1.3 Introduction of the next chapters: Outline of the thesis . . . 10

2 Centre-effect on Survival after Bone Marrow Transplantation: Application of Time-dependent Frailty Models 11 2.1 Introduction . . . 12

2.2 Methods . . . 13

2.2.1 The data set . . . 13

2.2.2 Models . . . 14

2.2.3 Unconditional hazard functions . . . 19

2.2.4 Dependence structure . . . 19

2.3 Analysis of the CML data . . . 20

2.4 Concluding Remarks . . . 25

3 Joint Modelling of Breeding and Survival in the Kittiwake Using Frailty Models 29 3.1 Introduction . . . 30

3.2 Material and Methods . . . 32

3.2.1 The data set . . . 32

3.2.2 Methods . . . 32

3.3 Results . . . 37

3.3.1 Description of the sample . . . 37

3.3.2 Survival . . . 38

3.3.3 Breeding attempts . . . 39 v

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Contents

3.3.4 The joint model . . . 39

3.4 Discussion . . . 41

4 Assessing Genetic Effects in Survival Data by Correlating Martingale Re- siduals with an Application to Age at Onset of Huntington Disease 47 4.1 Introduction . . . 48

4.2 Methods . . . 49

4.2.1 Data structure . . . 49

4.2.2 Score test on martingale residuals . . . 49

4.2.3 Estimation of the correlation for individuals with same genetic distance . . . 51

4.3 Data set and results . . . 52

4.3.1 Data set and first analysis . . . 52

4.3.2 Results of score tests . . . 55

4.3.3 Estimation of correlation . . . 56

4.4 Concluding remarks . . . 56

5 Estimation of the Correlation Between Processes With Frailties: Cardiac, Cerebral and Peripheral Atherosclerosis 61 5.1 Introduction . . . 62

5.2 Data . . . 62

5.3 Model . . . 63

5.4 Results . . . 66

5.5 Concluding remarks . . . 68

6 Marginal Survival Curve Estimates in Unbalanced Grouped Failure Time Data 73 6.1 Introduction . . . 74

6.2 Methods . . . 74

6.2.1 Weighted Model . . . 75

6.2.2 Mixed-effects model . . . 77

6.2.3 Simulations . . . 78

6.3 Results . . . 80

6.4 Concluding Remarks . . . 82

7 General Summary 89

Samenvatting:

Statistisch Modelleren van Herhaalde en Multivariate Overlevingsgegevens 93

Bibliography 97

vi

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Contents

Curriculum Vitae 105

vii

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Contents

viii

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