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University of Groningen

Clinical and spinal radiographic outcome in axial spondyloarthritis

Maas, Fiona

IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from it. Please check the document version below.

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Publication date: 2017

Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database

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Maas, F. (2017). Clinical and spinal radiographic outcome in axial spondyloarthritis: Results from the GLAS cohort. Rijksuniversiteit Groningen.

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Chapter 8

Clinical risk factors for the presence

and development of vertebral fractures in

patients with ankylosing spondylitis

Fiona Maas Anneke Spoorenberg Boukje van der Slik Eveline van der Veer Elisabeth Brouwer Hendrika Bootsma Reinhard Bos Freke Wink Suzanne Arends

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ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate the prevalence and incidence of radiographic vertebral fractures

and the association with patient characteristics, clinical assessments, and medication use in a large prospective cohort of patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) in daily clinical practice.

Methods: Consecutive AS patients from the Groningen Leeuwarden AS (GLAS) cohort with

baseline and 2-year lateral radiographs of the thoracic and lumbar spine were included. Radiographs were scored for vertebral fractures by two readers according to the method of Genant et al. Differences in baseline characteristics were explored between patients with and without radiographic vertebral fractures.

Results: Of 292 included AS patients, 59 (20%) had radiographic vertebral fractures at

baseline, 15 (6%) developed new fractures and 7 (2%) showed an increase in severity of existing fractures during 2 years of follow-up. Most fractures were mild and located in the mid-thoracic and thoracolumbar region of the spine.

The presence of vertebral fractures was significantly associated with older age, higher BMI, longer smoking duration, larger occiput-to-wall distance, more spinal radiographic damage, and lower hip BMD. The development of new or progressive vertebral fractures was also associated with older age and low BMD. Patients using NSAIDs at baseline showed less prevalent and incident vertebral fractures.

Conclusions: In this large AS cohort in daily clinical practice, radiographic vertebral fractures

were frequently present in AS, especially in older patients with more advanced disease, low hip BMD, and a less healthy lifestyle. Interestingly, NSAID use was associated with a reduced vertebral fractures risk.

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8

INTRODUCTION

Vertebral fractures are the hallmark of bone fragility. These fractures can cause severe back pain, impaired spinal mobility, height loss, and disability [1]. In general, prevalent vertebral fractures have a strong predictive value for developing more vertebral or even non-vertebral fractures, also after adjustments for age and bone mineral density (BMD) [2-5].

In patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) characterized by chronic inflammation of the axial spine, the risk of clinical vertebral fractures is 2- to 8-fold increased as compared to non-AS subjects [6-8]. Previous studies in AS patients evaluating radiographic vertebral fractures reported prevalence rates ranging from 10 to 43% [9-20].

In daily clinical practice, under diagnosis of vertebral fractures is a well-known phenomenon mainly caused by asymptomatic vertebral fractures, more intensive or newly developed back pain misinterpreted as a flare of AS, or by difficulties in recognizing vertebral fractures on conventional radiographs [21-23]. Especially mild fractures in the mid-thoracic spine are difficult to distinguish from degenerative changes or natural variation [23,24].

For treating rheumatologists, it is important to know which AS patients have a high risk of prevalent vertebral fractures and which patients are likely to develop new fractures. Previous cross-sectional studies in AS patients with variable disease duration, disease activity, and treatment regimens have shown that male gender, older age, longer disease duration, current smoking, poor spinal mobility (especially kyphosis), more spinal radiographic damage, and low BMD are associated with prevalent vertebral fractures [9-11,15-18].

Limited longitudinal data are available concerning the development of new vertebral fractures in AS. Two longitudinal studies reported about the incidence of radiographic vertebral fractures in AS. An observational cohort study in 298 AS patients on different treatment regimens reported an incidence rate of vertebral fractures of 5% over 2 years and 14% over 4 years in the lumbar spine only [19]. In our previous study including 105 AS patients treated with tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α inhibitors, we found an incidence rate of 20% over 4 years in both the lumbar and thoracic spine [25].

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characteristics, clinical assessments, and medication use in a large prospective cohort of AS patients treated with and without TNF-α inhibitors in daily clinical practice. Additionally, we investigated whether radiographic vertebral fractures came to clinical attention.

METHODS

Included patients were all consecutive AS patients fulfilling the modified New York criteria enrolled in the Groningen Leeuwarden AS (GLAS) cohort between November 2004 and December 2012 with available lateral radiographs of the thoracic and lumbar spine at baseline and after 2 years of follow-up.

The GLAS cohort is an ongoing prospective longitudinal observational cohort study which is embedded in daily clinical practice [26]. Since November 2004, consecutive AS outpatients who started TNF-α blocking therapy because of active disease were included in this cohort. In 2009, this inclusion was extended to all consecutive axial SpA outpatients irrespective of treatment regimen.

The GLAS cohort was conducted according to the operative guidelines established by the Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) and the Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society (ASAS). Patient care was performed according to the ASAS consensus statement in which TNF-α blocking therapy was prescribed to patients with persistently high disease activity despite conventional treatment [27].The study was approved by the local ethics committees of the MCL and UMCG and all patients provided written informed consent.

Assessment of vertebral fractures

Baseline and 2-year lateral radiographs of the thoracic and lumbar spine were scored for vertebral fractures by two independent trained readers (FM and BS) in chronological time order according to the method of Genant et al. [28]. Readers were not aware of patient characteristics and patient information was removed from the radiographs to prevent reader bias. With the semiquantitative technique, the anterior, middle, and posterior heights of the 4th thoracic vertebra (Th4) to the 4th lumbar vertebra (L4) were assessed. Vertebrae were categorized into normal (<20% height reduction), mild (grade 1, ≥20-<25% height reduction), moderate (grade 2, ≥25-≤40% height reduction), or severe (grade 3, >40% height

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reduction) fractures. A prevalent vertebral fracture was defined as ≥20% reduction in any vertebral height (grade ≥1). Further, the shape of vertebral fractures (wedge, biconcave, crush) was recorded. Complications during the assessment of vertebral height due to new bone formation or erosions at the corners of the vertebral bodies were resolved by using a lengthened imaginary line that represents the original edge of the vertebral body. If this was not possible due to AS-related damage, for example complete ankylosis or large erosions, the vertebral body was scored as missing. Degenerative changes or abnormalities due to spondylodiscitis were not scored as vertebral fractures. In case of discrepancy between the two readers, vertebrae were reassessed by the same readers. In case discrepancy persisted after the reassessment, a third independent reader (AS) measured the vertebral heights. The score of the primary reader closest to the third reader was used.

Inter-observer reliability between the two readers for the presence of vertebral fractures was good with Cohen’s kappa’s of 0.69 (95% CI: 0-59-0.79) and 0.73 (95% CI: 0.64-0.84) at baseline and 2 years, respectively. The percentage of absolute agreement between readers was 89% and 90% at baseline and 2 years, respectively.

After 2 years of follow-up, a new vertebral fracture was scored if a patient developed a vertebral fracture in a vertebral body that was scored normal at baseline. Increase in severity of an existing fracture was also recorded.

In addition to the prevalence, incidence, location, and shape of vertebral fractures, medical records were reviewed in order to investigate whether a radiographic vertebral fracture was symptomatic and came to clinical attention (e.g. complaints of more or newly developed back pain associated with a vertebral fracture observed by the rheumatologist).

Bone-related outcome

Besides radiographic vertebral fractures, other bone-related outcomes such as AS-related excessive spinal bone formation, BMD and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHvitD) were assessed at baseline.

Spinal bone formation was assessed on lateral radiographs of the cervical and lumbar spine by the same readers using the modified Stoke AS Spinal Score (mSASSS, range 0-72) [29,30].

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BMD of the lumbar spine (anterior-posterior projection at L1-L4) and hip (total proximal femur) were assessed using DXA (Hologic QDR Delphi (MCL) or Hologic DQR Discovery (UMCG)). The NHANES reference database was used to calculate BMD T-scores (the number of standard deviations (SD) from the normal mean obtained from young healthy adults) and Z-scores (the number of SD from the normal mean corrected for age and gender). Definitions of the World Health Organization (WHO) were used to define osteopenia (T-score -1 to 2.5) and osteoporosis (T-score ≤-2.5). Definitions of the International Society for Clinical Densitometry (ISCD) were used to define low BMD (Z-score ≤-1) and very low BMD (Z-score ≤-2) [31].

Serum levels of 25OHvitD were measured by radio- or electrochemiluminescence immuno-assay [26]. Vitamin D deficiency was defined when 25OHvitD levels were lower than 50 nmol/L [32].

Patient characteristics

The following additional clinical data were collected at baseline: gender, age, duration of symptoms, time since diagnosis, HLA-B27 status, body mass index (BMI), smoking duration, history of extra-articular manifestations (inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), uveitis, psoriasis), use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs), systemic corticosteroids, anti-osteoporotic treatment (bisphosphonates, calcium/vitamin D supplements), and the start of TNF-α blocking therapy. Clinical assessments of disease activity (BASDAI, ASDAScrp), C-reactive protein (CRP), physical function (BASFI), spinal mobility (occiput-to-wall distance, chest expansion, lateral spinal flexion, modified Schober test), and health-related quality of life (ASQoL) were also assessed.

Statistical analysis

Descriptive statistics were used to describe the prevalence, incidence, localization, and shape of radiographic vertebral fractures. Results were expressed as number of patients (%), mean ± SD or median (IQR) for categorical, normally distributed and non-normally distributed data, respectively. Chi-square or Fisher’s Exact test, independent samples t-test, and Mann-Whitney U-test were used as appropriate to compare baseline characteristics of patients with and without prevalent or incident vertebral fractures. The proportion of patients with vertebral fractures at baseline was visualized after stratification for variables significantly associated with prevalent vertebral fractures. Multivariable (forward method) logistic regression analyses were used to investigate independent predictors for prevalent

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vertebral fractures. Finally, prevalent and incident fractures were stratified for AS patients who started TNF-α blocking therapy and who stayed on conventional treatment. P-values ≤0.05 were considered as statistically significant. Statistical analysis was performed with IBM SPSS Statistics 20 (SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA).

RESULTS

In total, 292 patients from the GLAS cohort had radiographs available at baseline and after 2 years of follow-up (Figure 1). These patients had comparable baseline characteristics as excluded patients, except for the use of NSAIDs (80% vs. 64%, p<0.001).

Of 292 included patients, 184 (63%) started TNF-α blocking therapy because of active disease at baseline. In addition to higher baseline disease activity as expected in AS patients starting TNF-α blocking therapy, these patients showed more often peripheral arthritis, worse spinal mobility, higher mSASSS, lower BMD, and they used more often DMARDs at baseline than patients who stayed on conventional treatment during follow-up (Supplementary Table S1).

Prevalence of vertebral fractures at baseline Severity

At baseline, a total of 89 radiographic vertebral fractures were found in 59 (20%) patients (1.5 fractures per patient). Of these fractures, 62 (70%) were defined as mild (grade 1), 25 (28%) as moderate (grade 2), and 2 (2%) as severe (grade 3) (Figure 2A). These severe fractures were found in two post-menopausal women with low BMD who also had two other vertebral fractures, but none of the fractures had come to clinical attention. Of the remaining 87 fractures, two were symptomatic of which one received clinical attention.

Location and shape

Most fractures were found in the mid-thoracic and thoracolumbar region of the spine and were wedge shaped (Figure 2B). Nine biconcave fractures were found in the thoracolumbar spine. No crush fractures were found.

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Figure 1. Flowchart of included AS patients.

Figure 2. Location, severity (A), and shape (B) of baseline vertebral fractures (VF) in the total AS study

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Clinical risk factors for prevalent vertebral fractures

Patients with radiographic vertebral fractures at baseline were significantly older, had higher BMI, longer smoking duration, larger occiput-to-wall distance, higher mSASSS, lower hip BMD T-scores, and used less often NSAIDs at baseline than patients without fractures (Table 1). As shown in Figure 3, the prevalence of vertebral fractures increased with age. At younger age (<40 years), about 10-15% of the patients had vertebral fractures of which most fractures were mild. At older age (≥40 years), the prevalence increased to approximately 30% and more moderate/severe fractures were found. The same pattern was observed for smoking duration and mSASSS (Figure 3). The highest prevalence of vertebral fractures was seen in patients with occiput-to-wall distance ≥10 cm (44%). In patients with a hip BMD T-score <-1, the proportion of patients with mild and moderate/severe fractures increased to 30%. In patients with BMI ≥25 kg/m2, the proportion of patients with mainly mild fractures was higher than in patients with BMI <25 kg/m2 (26% vs. 14%). Patients who did not use NSAIDs at baseline showed more mild and moderate/severe vertebral fractures than patients who did use NSAIDs at baseline (31% vs. 18%; Figure 4).

Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that larger occiput-to-wall distance was independently associated with a slightly increased risk (OR 1.07, 95% CI: 1.00-1.14) and the use of NSAIDs at baseline was independently associated with a reduced risk (OR 0.33, 95% CI: 0.14-0.76) of vertebral fractures at baseline.

Incidence of vertebral fractures after 2 years of follow-up Severity

After 2 years of follow-up, 15 (6%) patients developed 18 new radiographic vertebral fractures; 13 patients had one new fracture, 1 had two, and 1 had three new fractures. In total, 103 vertebral fractures were found after 2 years of follow-up. Five of 89 fractures found at baseline could not be scored at 2 years and one fracture found at 2 years could not be scored at baseline due to limited quality of the radiographs.

One patient developed a severe (grade 3) fracture at Th11. This was a postmenopausal woman with osteoporosis who already had a moderate baseline fracture at Th12. This severe fracture was the only newly diagnosed fracture accompanied with an increase of severe

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Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the AS study population, stratified for patients with or without

vertebral fractures at baseline.

Vertebral fracture†

Total group

n=292 Presentn=59 Absentn=233 p-value

Male 205 (70) 47 (80) 158 (68) 0.075 Age (yrs) 42.8 ± 12.5 46.3 ± 10.9 41.9 ± 12.7 0.016 Duration of symptoms (yrs) 16 (8-25) 16 (7-27) 15 (8-25) 0.798 Time since diagnosis (yrs) 6 (1-16) 5 (1-16) 6 (1-16) 0.750 HLA-B27+ 227 (82) 46 (81) 181 (82) 0.835 BMI (kg/m2) 26.5 ± 4.5 27.7 ± 4.3 26.2 ± 4.6 0.040 Smoking duration (yrs) 12 (0-25) 17 (0-29) 10 (0-23) 0.043 History of EAM’s 116 (40) 21 (36) 95 (41) 0.468 Peripheral arthritis 36 (12) 8 (14) 28 (12) 0.722 NSAID use 232 (80) 41 (70) 191 (82) 0.029 DMARD use 44 (15) 7 (12) 37 (16) 0.441 Systemic corticosteroid use¥ 5 (2) 1 (2) 4 (2) 1.000 Anti-osteoporotic treatment 40 (14) 11 (19) 29 (12) 0.216 Start TNF-α blocking therapy 184 (63) 39 (66) 145 (62) 0.582 BASDAI (range 0-10) 5.3 ± 2.2 5.4 ± 2.1 5.3 ± 2.2 0.648 ASDASCRP 3.3 ± 1.1 3.4 ± 1.0 3.3 ± 1.1 0.309 CRP (mg/L) 8 (2-18) 10 (2-22) 8 (2-17) 0.440 BASFI (range 0-10) 4.7 ± 2.5 5.0 ± 2.3 4.6 ± 2.5 0.292 Occiput-to-wall distance (cm) 2.0 (0.0-8.8) 8.0 (0.0-16.0) 0.0 (0.0-7.0) <0.001 Chest expansion (cm) 4.0 (2.5-5.5) 4.0 (2.5-6.0) 4.0 (2.4-5.0) 0.752 Lateral spinal flexion (cm) 10.0 (6.0-14.7) 7.8 (5.3-13.3) 10.3 (6.6-14.8) 0.105 Modified Schober test (cm) 3.2 (1.6-4.3) 2.5 (1.2-4.5) 3.4 (2.0-4.3) 0.052 25OHvitD (nmol/L) 56 (42-73) 58 (48-73) 55 (41-74) 0.691 25OhvitD <50 nmol/L 94 (37) 15 (31) 79 (39) 0.324 mSASSS (range 0-72) 4.5 (1.0-15.0) 7.9 (1.9-23.7) 3.5 (0.5-11.6) 0.008 BMD LS Z-score -0.4 (-1.4-0.6) -0.2 (-1.4-0.7) -0.4 (-1.4-0.6) 0.720 LS Z-score ≤-1 89 (35) 16 (30) 73 (36) 0.419 LS Z-score ≤-2 25 (10) 5 (9) 20 (10) 0.919 BMD LS T-score -0.7 (-1.7-0.3) -0.5 (-1.7-0.6) -0.7 (-1.7-0.3) 0.731 LS osteopenia 80 (31) 14 (26) 66 (33) 0.382 LS osteoporosis 18 (7) 5 (9) 13 (6) 0.448 BMD hip Z-score -0.2 (-0.8-0.5) -0.3 (-0.9-0.3) -0.2 (-0.8-0.5) 0.164 Hip Z-score ≤-1 50 (20) 12 (22) 38 (19) 0.618 Hip Z-score ≤-2 4 (2) 1 (2) 3 (2) 1.000 BMD hip T-score -0.5 (-1.1-0.2) -0.7 (-1.3-0.1) -0.4 (-1.0-0.3) 0.032 Hip osteopenia 63 (25) 16 (29) 47 (23) 0.373 Hip osteoporosis 5 (2) 2 (4) 3 (2) 0.291 Values are presented as number of patients (%), mean ± SD or median (IQR).

Defined as ≥20% reduction in vertebral height.

Abbreviations:AS: Ankylosing spondylitis; HLA: Human leukocyte antigen; BMI: Body mass index; EAM: Extra-articular manifestation; NSAID: Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug; DMARD: Disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug; TNF-α: Tumor necrosis factor-alpha; BASDAI: Bath AS disease activity index; ASDAS: AS disease activity score; CRP: C-reactive protein; BASFI: Bath AS functional index; 250HvitD: 25-hydroxy vitamin D; mSASSS: Modified Stoke AS spine score; BMD: Bone mineral density; LS: Lumbar spine.

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Figure 3. Proportion of AS patients with mild and moderate/severe vertebral fractures (VF) stratified for age, smoking duration, and spinal radiographic damage (mSASSS).

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In addition to the new fractures, 7 (2%) patients showed an increase in severity of 7 existing vertebral fractures. These fractures deteriorated from mild to moderate and also did not come to clinical attention.

Location and shape

The location of new vertebral fractures was comparable to the location of prevalent fractures. Seven of 18 new fractures had a biconcave shape and were found in the low thoracolumbar region of the spine. The remaining fractures were wedge shaped and were located in both the thoracic and lumbar spine. Th8 and Th12 were the most common locations for new fractures. An increase in severity was only observed in the thoracic spine.

Clinical risk factors for incident vertebral fractures

Patients with a new or deteriorated vertebral fracture were significantly older (mean age 49 vs. 42 years, p<0.05), had lower lumbar spine BMD (median T-score -1.2 vs. -0.6, p<0.05), showed more often low hip BMD (Z-score ≤-1 38% vs. 18%, p<0.05), and used less often NSAIDs at baseline (55% vs. 82%, p<0.01) than patients without a new or deteriorated fractures (Supplementary Table S2). An increase in severity was only observed in male patients.

TNF-α blocking therapy versus conventional treatment

Of the 184 AS patients who started treatment with TNF-α inhibitors because of active disease, 39 (21%) already had vertebral fractures at baseline, 9 (5%) developed new fractures, and 7 (4%) showed an increase in severity in existing fractures after 2 years of follow-up. Of the 9 patients with new fractures, 3 already had one or more moderate vertebral fractures at baseline.

Of the 108 AS patients who stayed on conventional treatment, 20 (19%) already had vertebral fractures at baseline, 6 (6%) developed new fractures, and no increase in severity was found after 2 years of follow-up. Of the 6 patients with new fractures, one patient already had a mild fracture at baseline.

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DISCUSSION

This large observational cohort study of AS patients with active and inactive disease on different treatment regimens showed that vertebral fractures were frequently observed on radiographs of the thoracic and lumbar spine. In our cohort, embedded in daily clinical practice, 20% of the patients showed radiographic vertebral fractures at baseline, 6% developed new radiographic vertebral fractures, and 2% showed an increase in severity of existing fractures during 2 years of follow-up.

Mild, wedge shaped, fractures were found most frequently in our study. Biconcave fractures were less common and no crush fractures were found. Most fractures were clustered in the mid-thoracic and thoracolumbar region of the spine, which is in accordance with previous studies in AS and axial SpA [16,18,33], in postmenopausal women [28], and in the general population aged ≥50 years [5,34,35]. It was interesting to see that wedge shaped fractures were found in the whole thoracic spine, whereas biconcave fractures were mainly observed in the thoracolumbar region of the spine. These findings are in line with the results from previous population-based studies in older subjects aged ≥50 years [5,35].

Especially in the mid and low-thoracic spine, mild fractures are often unreported by radiologists or rheumatologist due to difficulties in the discrimination between vertebral fractures and natural variation or degenerative changes [21,23]. There is still some disagreement about the clinical significance of mild fractures, although several studies in postmenopausal osteoporotic women have shown that the presence of mild fractures is associated with an increased risk of developing new vertebral fractures [36,37]. In our current study, 7 fractures deteriorated from mild to moderate during 2 years of follow-up. In addition, the majority of new fractures were mild. It has previously been implicated that vertebral deformities occurring within a period of 2 years are unlikely to be a result of degenerative changes or natural variation [38]. Therefore, our data underlines the clinical importance of mild vertebral fractures in AS since this may lead to the development of new fractures and to deterioration of already existing fractures.

Radiographic vertebral fractures could already be observed in 10-15% of the patients younger than 40 years. The proportion of patients with fractures increased to approximately 30% after

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were also associated with the development of new fractures. In addition to age and BMD, features of more advanced disease such as thoracic hyperkyphosis and presence of spinal radiographic damage were associated with the presence of vertebral fractures.

Based on the above findings, we hypothesized that most vertebral fractures are the result of poor bone quality in combination with biomechanical factors. In AS, decreased volumetric BMD and poor bone microarchitecture [36] can lead to slowly progressing collapse of vertebral bodies without major trauma. This probably explains why most fractures were asymptomatic and had a non-traumatic nature. Hyperkyphosis can be the result of vertebral fractures, but it can also be caused by fusion of the vertebrae due to bridging syndesmophytes and calcification of the ligaments in a fixed, forward-stooped posture [13]. This change in posture leads to an increased mechanical loading which results in a higher risk of vertebral fractures in the AS affected spine.

Associations between vertebral fractures and older age, thoracic hyperkyphosis, low BMD, and more spinal damage were also found in previous cross-sectional studies in AS patients with variable disease duration, disease activity, and treatment regimens [9-11,15-18]. An important new finding of our study is the association with lifestyle parameters such as longer smoking duration and higher BMI. We found that AS patients with a smoking duration of ≥20 years had a 2 times higher risk of having radiographic vertebral fractures than non-smokers and patients with shorter smoking duration. Only smoking status has previously been found to be associated with vertebral fractures in AS as well as in the general elderly population aged 50-80 years [17,39].

In our study population, more mild fractures were seen in overweight or obese patients (BMI ≥25 kg/m2). The association between higher BMI and radiographic vertebral bodies was also seen in elderly and in osteoporotic women [40,41]. In contrast, population-based studies reporting about clinical vertebral fractures in the elderly and the osteoporotic population have shown that a lower BMI is a risk factor for fractures [42]. In our study, only 4 patients had a BMI <18.5 kg/m2 and therefore we could not investigate the effect of low BMI on vertebral fractures. Our finding that mainly the proportion of mild fractures was increased in overweight or obese AS patients may support the hypothesis that a higher BMI can lead to compression fractures due to microcracks of the vertebral bodies as a result of sustained loading [43]. These fractures are visible on radiographs but may not come to clinical attention. On the other hand, we did not find that BMI was an independent risk factor for radiographic

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vertebral fractures. Other variables associated with overweight and obesity, such as more physical limitations and higher disease activity [44], may lead to less physical activity and worse bone quality.

Our most interesting finding was that the use of NSAIDs at baseline was independently associated with less prevalent and incident radiographic vertebral fractures. This implicates that NSAIDs may lower the risk of vertebral fractures in AS. A previous case-control study of 758 AS patients showed a decreased clinical fracture risk in AS patients taking NSAIDs after adjustments for several confounding variables, such as smoking, BMI, comorbidities and medication potentially associated with vertebral fractures [7]. Additionally, a large population-based study from Spain did not found an increased risk of clinical vertebral fractures in AS patients compared to controls without rheumatic diseases in those AS patients taking NSAIDs on a regular basis [8]. The effect of NSAIDs on bone has been investigated in multiple studies but the underlying pathophysiological mechanism on bone metabolism of these drugs is not clear [45].

In our cohort, the incidence of new vertebral fractures over 2 years was approximately the same between the 184 AS patients with active disease who started TNF-α blocking therapy (5%) and the 108 AS patients with inactive disease who stayed on conventional treatment (6%). In our previous study including 105 AS patients treated with TNF inhibitors, 21 (20%) developed new vertebral fractures over 4 years of which 7 (7%) developed new fractures during the first 2 years of follow-up [25]. Comparable results were found in a previous longitudinal cohort study in 298 AS patients on different treatment regimens [19]. In this study the incidence of radiographic vertebral fractures assessed on lumbar radiographs was 5% during 2 years and the use of TNF inhibitors was not significantly associated with the development of new fractures [19].

The major strength of our study was the large sample size of patients with active and inactive disease from an observational cohort study in daily clinical practice. The assessment of vertebral fractures was carefully conducted with intensive training resulting in good inter-observer agreement. Degenerative changes were, by definition, not scored as vertebral fractures. However, it remains difficult to assess vertebral fractures according to a very strict dichotomous variable. Disadvantages of a semi-quantitative scoring method

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is much attention to improve the detection of vertebral fractures, but investigators have not yet succeeded to develop a new algorithm that improves the reliability to discriminate between normal, mild, moderate and severe fractures [46,47].

Unfortunately, we have no data available about the history of falls, dietary calcium intake, and physical activity in order to relate these data to the presence and development of vertebral fractures in this AS cohort. Furthermore, it was not possible to evaluate the influence of different treatment strategies and to perform multivariable logistic regression analysis on the development of new vertebral fractures due to the small number of patients with new vertebral fractures during 2 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Our prospective longitudinal observational cohort study in daily clinical practice emphasizes that radiographic vertebral fractures are frequently occurring in AS. Vertebral fractures can easily be missed due to lack of symptoms or poor recognition on radiographs. Therefore, imaging is important during follow-up, especially in older AS patients with more advanced disease, low BMD, and a less healthy lifestyle including smoking and high BMI. Very interestingly, patients using NSAIDs at baseline showed less prevalent and incident radiographic vertebral fractures than patients without NSAID use. The influence of anti-inflammatory drugs (e.g. NSAIDs, TNF-α inhibitors), anti-osteoporotic treatment (e.g. calcium/ vitamin D supplements, bisphosphonates), and lifestyle changes (e.g. smoking cessation, body weight control, physical exercise) on the development of vertebral fractures in AS should be further investigated in a large study population with long-term follow-up.

KEY MESSAGES

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Radiographic vertebral fractures are frequently present in AS, especially in older patients with more advanced disease, low hip BMD, and a less healthy lifestyle.

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The development of new radiographic vertebral fractures and increase in severity of existing vertebral fractures can occur within a period of 2 years.

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NSAID use is associated with a reduced risk of radiographic vertebral fractures in patients with AS.

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SUPPLEMENTARY FILES

Supplementary Table S1. Baseline characteristics of AS patients who have or have not started TNF-α

blocking therapy.

TNF-α blocking therapy

group n=184 Conventional treatment group n=108 p-value

Male 130 (71) 75 (69) 0.828

Age (yrs) 42.5 ± 11.4 43.3 ± 14.1 0.616 Duration of symptoms (yrs) 16 (8-25) 14 (8-25) 0.806 Time since diagnosis (yrs) 7 (1-16) 5 (1-17) 0.608

HLA-B27+ 145 (81) 82 (83) 0.707

BMI (kg/m2) 26.8 ± 4.4 26.3 ± 4.7 0.359 Smoking duration (yrs) 13 (0-24) 10 (0-25) 0.322 History of EAM’s 70 (38) 46 (43) 0.443 Peripheral arthritis 34 (19) 2 (2) <0.001

NSAID use 151 (83) 81 (75) 0.124

DMARD use 35 (19) 9 (8) 0.014

Systemic corticosteroid use¥ 5 (3) 0 (0) 0.162 Anti-osteoporotic treatment 23 (13) 17 (16) 0.437 BASDAI (range 0-10) 6.1 ± 1.7 3.9 ± 2.3 <0.001 ASDASCRP 3.8 ± 0.8 2.4 ± 0.9 <0.001 CRP (mg/L) 13 (2-23) 4 (2-8) <0.001 BASFI (range 0-10) 5.6 ± 2.1 3.0 ± 2.2 <0.001 Occiput-to-wall distance (cm) 3.5 (0.0-10.1) 0.0 (0.0-5.0) 0.001 Chest expansion (cm) 3.0 (2.0-4.9) 5.0 (3.0-6.5) <0.001 Lateral spinal flexion (cm) 8.2 (5.3-11.6) 13.9 (8.9-17.6) <0.001 Modified Schober test (cm) 2.8 (1.3-4.0) 4.0 (3.0-4.9) <0.001 25OHvitD (nmol/L) 57 (40-72) 55 (45-75) 0.526 25OhvitD <50 nmol/L 57 (37) 37 (37) 0.954 mSASSS (range 0-72) 6.0 (1.0-18.2) 2.2 (0.5-8.8) 0.009 BMD LS Z-score -0.5 (-1.6-0.6) -0.3 (-1.0-0.9) 0.076 LS Z-score ≤-1 61 (38) 28 (30) 0.224 LS Z-score ≤-2 22 (14) 3 (3) 0.008 BMD LS T-score -0.8 (-1.8-0.3) -0.4 (-1.6-0.4) 0.149 LS osteopenia 52 (32) 28 (30) 0.742 LS osteoporosis 15 (9) 3 (3) 0.080 BMD hip Z-score -0.2 (-0.9-0.5) -0.2 (-0.7-0.5) 0.466 Hip Z-score ≤-1 38 (23) 12 (13) 0.053 Hip Z-score ≤-2 3 (2) 1 (1) 1.000 BMD hip T-score -0.5 (-1.1-0.2) -0.5 (-0.9-0.3) 0.484 Hip osteopenia 47 (29) 16 (17) 0.047 Hip osteoporosis 4 (2) 1 (1) 0.657 Values are presented as number of patients (%), mean ± SD or median (IQR).

Abbreviations: AS: Ankylosing spondylitis; TNF-α: Tumor necrosis factor-alpha; HLA: Human leukocyte antigen; BMI: Body

mass index; EAM: Extra-articular manifestation; NSAID: Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug; DMARD: Disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug; BASDAI: Bath AS disease activity index; ASDAS: AS disease activity score; CRP: C-reactive protein; BASFI: Bath AS functional index; 250HvitD: 25-hydroxy vitamin D; mSASSS: Modified Stoke AS spine score; BMD: Bone mineral density; LS: Lumbar spine.

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8

Supplementary Table S2. Baseline characteristics of patients with and without new vertebral fractures

and/or an increase in severity in present fractures.

Incident vertebral fractures Present

n=22 Absentn=270 p-value

Male 17 (77) 188 (70) 0.451

Age (yrs) 49.1 ± 11.3 42.3 ± 12.4 0.013 Duration of symptoms (yrs) 14 (9-26) 16 (8-25) 0.928 Time since diagnosis (yrs) 5 (2-15) 6 (1-16) 0.913

HLA-B27+ 15 (71) 212 (83) 0.208

BMI (kg/m2) 26.3 ± 4.0 26.5 ± 4.6 0.847 Smoking duration (yrs) 17 (5-30) 12 (0-24) 0.205 History of EAM’s 10 (46) 106 (39) 0.568 Peripheral arthritis 1 (5) 35 (13) 0.489

NSAID use 12 (55) 220 (82) 0.002

DMARD use 2 (9) 42 (16) 0.548

Systemic corticosteroid use 0 (0) 5 (2) 1.000 Anti-osteoporotic treatment 5 (23) 35 (13) 0.200 Start TNF-α blocking therapy 16 (73) 168 (62) 0.326 BASDAI (range 0-10) 5.9 ± 1.4 5.2 ± 2.2 0.147 ASDASCRP 3.6 ± 1.0 3.3 ± 1.1 0.156 CRP (mg/L) 12 (2-36) 8 (2-17) 0.382 BASFI (range 0-10) 5.3 (2.6-7.0) 4.7 (2.9-6.7) 0.732 Occiput-to-wall distance (cm) 4.3 (0.0-15.5) 2.0 (0.0-8.5) 0.099 Chest expansion (cm) 3.0 (1.5-5.0) 4.0 (2.5-5.5) 0.310 Lateral spinal flexion (cm) 8.3 (4.4-12.0) 10.0 (6.0-14.8) 0.162 Modified Schober test (cm) 2.5 (0.7-4.1) 3.2 (1.8-4.3) 0.189 25OhvitD (nmol/L) 54 (37-66) 56 (42-74) 0.376 25OhvitD <50 nmol/L 8 (40) 86 (37) 0.784 mSASSS (range 0-72) 7.8 (2.1-17.4) 4.0 (0.9-14.3) 0.214 BMD LS Z-score -0.8 (-1.8-0.0) -0.3 (-1.4-0.7) 0.116 LS Z-score ≤-1 9 (45) 80 (34) 0.324 LS Z-score ≤-2 3 (15) 22 (9) 0.427 BMD LS T-score -1.2 (-2.1- -0.3) -0.6 (-1.6-0.3) 0.043 LS osteopenia 9 (45) 71 (30) 0.171 LS osteoporosis 2 (10) 16 (7) 0.640 BMD hip Z-score -0.5 (-1.2-0.4) -0.2 (-0.8-0.5) 0.134 Hip Z-score ≤-1 8 (38) 42 (18) 0.024 Hip Z-score ≤-2 1 (5) 3 (1) 0.290 BMD hip T-score -0.5 (-2.0-0.3) -0.4 (-1.0-0.2) 0.130 Hip osteopenia 8 (38) 55 (23) 0.182 Hip osteoporosis 2 (10) 3 (1) 0.055 See Supplementary Table S1 for abbreviations.

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Part III

Influence of gender and BMI on disease

outcome and the development of a physical

activity questionnaire for axial SpA

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