Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook 03 June – 09 June 2021
Landslides have been reported across southern, western, and central areas of Guatemala
1)Heavy rainfall has triggered landslides across the department of Alta Verapaz, Baja Verapaz, Huehuetenango, San Marcos, Escuintla, Retalhuleu, Suchitepéquez, Quetzaltenango, Quiché, Sololá, Zacapa and Chiquimula in Guatemala. It also increased formation of lahars near Fuego and Santiaguito volcanoes.
2) An uneven rainfall distribution has led to abnormal dryness across southern Honduras and northwestern Nicaragua.
Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.
Significantly heavy rainfall remains likely over the Gulf of Honduras region, portions of Guatemala.
During the past 7 days, 100mm to 200mm of rainfall has been recorded over the southern, southwestern, and central areas of Guatemala which triggered landslides across several departments and lahars near Fuego and Santiaguito volcanoes. According to satellite rainfall estimates, 10mm to 25mm of rainfall has been recorded across Peten department of Guatemala, western and eastern Honduras, and central Nicaragua. Analysis of rainfall performance over the last 30 days depicts moisture deficit mainly concentrated across southern Honduras and northeastern Nicaragua which has led to a progressive deterioration of ground condition. Over the southeastern part of Guatemala, Jutiapa, Zacapa, Chiquimula and El Progreso departments has showing favorable rainfall condition in elevated areas while the low areas struggle to onset the rainy season pushing the farmers to be more patient.
During the coming outlook period, below normal rainfall is expected across Guatemala, Belize, Honduras and western Nicaragua. A seasonal rainfall is expected across eastern Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica and Panama.
Week 1 Rainfall Total Forecast and CMORPH climatology (mm) 02 June – 09 June 2021
Figure 1: Source NOAA / CPC
