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Subsidence in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: Impact of groundwater extraction

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1 Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, The Netherlands

2 Department of Subsurface and Groundwater Systems, Deltares Research Institute, Utrecht, The Netherlands

3 Division of Water Resources Planning and Investigation for the South of Vietnam (DWRPIS), Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam

Interbed

Subsidence Confined aquifer

Unconfined aquifer

water table

Creep

Ripening Oxidation

Consolidation

Creep

Isostasy Consolidation

Creep

Consolidation

T otal

Subsidence

S hallow

D eep

DRIVERS OF SUBSIDENCE

Colourcode:

Loading Artificial lowering

of groundwater table

Fluid extraction Tectonics &

Isostasy

Process Natural driver Antropogenic driver

Natural loading Infrastruc tur e Buildings Lar ge construc tions Drainage of sur fac e wat er Gr oundwat er Ear th crust dynamics

H ydr ocarbons

Aquitard

Aquitard

Bedrock Consolidation

Seismicity Autocompaction

Boundary shallow/deep

w w w

waaaatttteeerrrr tttttaaaabbbblllleeee

C C C Cr r r r re e e ee e e e e

R R R R

Ri i i ip p p pe e e e en n n ni i i i in n n ng g g g g O

O O O

Ox x x x xi i i id d d d da a a at t t t ti i io o o on n n n

C C C C

Co o o o on n n n ns s s so o o o ol l l l li i i id d d d da a a at t t t ti i i io o o o on n n n C

C C C

Cr r r re e e e ee e e e ep p p p C

C C

Co o o on n n ns s s so o o ol l l li id d d da a a at t ti i i io o o o on n n n A

A A A

Au u u u ut t t t to o o oc c c co o o o om m m m mp p p p pa a a ac c c c ct t t ti i i io o o on n n n n

U U U U

Un n n n nc c c co o o o on n n nfi fi fi fi fin n n ne e e ed d d d d C

C C C

Cr r r r re e e e ee e e ep p p p

A A A A A A A A A A

Aq q q q q q q q q qu u u u u u u u u u u u ui i i i i i i i i it t t t t t t t t ta a a a a a a a a ar r r r r r r r r rd d d d d d d d d d

B B B B B B B B B

Booooooooooooouuuuuuuuunnnnnnnnnndddddddddddaaaaaaaaaarrrrrrrrryyyyyyyyyy yyy

A A A A A A

Aq q q q q q qu u u u u u u ui i i i i i i i it t t t t ta a a a a ar r r r rd d d d d d d C

C C Cr r r re e e ee e e e d

d d

d a a a aq q q q qu u u u ui i i if f f f fe e e e e

Subsidence Colourcode: Process Natural driver Antropogenic driver

y y y y C

C C C

Co o o o on n n n nfi fi fi fi fin n n n ne e e e ed d d d d a a a a aq q q q qu u u u ui i i i if f f f fe e e e er r r r C C C Cr r r r re e e e ee e e e ep p p p

s s s

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C C C C

Co o o o on n n ns s s so o o ol l l li i i id d d da a a a at t t ti i i i i

A A A A A A A

Aq q q q q q q q q q qu u u u u u u u ui i i i i i i i i it t t t t t t t t ta a a a a a a a a ar r r r r r r rd d d d d d d d d p

p p p p p p p e e e er r r r C

C C C

Co o o o on n n n ns s s s so o o ol l l li i i id d d d da a a a at t t ti i i io o o o on n n n n

I I I I I I I I I

Innnnnnnnntttttttttteeeeeeeerrrrrrrrbbbbbbbbbbeeeeeeeeedddddddddd

i i io o o o on n n n n

Interbed

Subsidence Confined aquifer

Unconfined aquifer

water table

S S

Se e e e eis s s sm m m m mi i i ic c c ci it t t t ty y y y C

C C C

Co o o o on n n ns s s s so o o o oli i i id d d d da a a at t t ti i i io o o o on n n n n S

S S S

Se e e e ei i i is s s s sm m m m mi i i i ic c c ci i it t t t ty y y y y Creep

Ripening Oxidation

I I

Is s s so o o os s s s st t t ta a a a as s s sy y y y Consolidation

Creep

Isostasy Consolidation

Creep

Consolidation

T otal

Subsidence

S hallow

D eep

PROCESSES OF SUBSIDENCE

Colourcode:

Loading Artificial lowering

of groundwater table

Fluid extraction Tectonics &

Isostasy

Process Natural driver Antropogenic driver

Natural loading Infrastruc tur e Buildings Lar ge construc tions Drainage of sur fac e wat er Gr oundwat er Ear th crust dynamics

H ydr ocarbons

Aquitard

Aquitard

Consolidation Seismicity Autocompaction

Boundary shallow/deep

Bedrock

a

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Mud

Muddy clay Clay

Silty clay Clayey silt Silt

Sandy silt Silty sand Sand Sand and gravel 0

-100

-200

-300

-400

1: Standard penetration test 2: Logging while drilling 3: Vertical electronical sounding

c c

Channel deposits (sand)

Natural levee deposits (fine sand, sandy-sily clay)

Crevasse deposits (fine sand, sandy-silty clay)

Floodbasin deposits (clay, humic clay) Organic deposits (peaty clay, peat)

Available data Additions to existing models Outcomes

Geo-hydrological cross-sections Lithological borehole

descriptions

Geological cross-sections SPT

1

, LWD

2

and VES

3

measurements

Physical and chemical sediment properties

Lithostratigraphical analysis Conceptual models of delta

evolution

Palaeogeographical analysis (Depositional environments

& sediment preservation)

3D lithological subsurface model

3D lithological interpolation

Better understanding aquifer - aquitard architecture / properties

Improved distribution of sediment properties

Improved geo-hydrological model

Gain

2. Evaluate future groundwater management scenario’s

Identify subsidence drivers and develop mitigation strategies

Supporting decision-making towards sustainable groundwater management

1. Unravel the subsidence balance Hydrological model with

subsidence module:

d

Subsidence in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam:

Impact of groundwater extraction

Introduction

Land subsidence rates of ~1-4 cm yr

-1

are measured in the low-lying Vietnamese Mekong Delta (Fig. 1).

These relatively high subsidence rates are attributed to groundwater extraction. On daily basis over two million m

3

of groundwater is extracted from the upper 500 m of the multi-aquifer subsurface. As a result, hydraulic heads in aquifers are dropping, on average 0.3-0.7 m yr

-1

.

P.S.J. Minderhoud 1,2 , G. Erkens 2,1 , V.H. Pham 1,2,3 , B.T. Vuong 3 , E. Stouthamer 1

Land subsidence increases flood risk, and, on the longer term, threatens the delta with drowning.

To evaluate the impact of future land subsidence, we need to go from measurements to predictions.

Here we present our approach to assess the subsidence potential of the multi-aquifer subsurface of the Mekong delta due to groundwater extraction under different groundwater management scenarios.

Figure 1. Satellite based (InSAR) subsidence rates between 2006-2010 for the Mekong Delta. Data © JAXA, METI 2011 (Erban et al., 2014).

Figure 2. Schematization of the main subsidence drivers and processes within the upper (phreatic) aquifer and deeper (confined) aquifer(s). Both natural and anthropogenic drivers are distinguished. The subsidence balance equation is given on the left side, being the total sum of all shallow and deep subsidence rates.

Figure 3. Workflow of the approach to develop the 3D lithological subsurface model a) Cross-section of current geo-hydrological model. b) Example of a cross-section including geomorphological elements (Bierkens & Weerts, 1994). c) 3D view of the available lithological borehole data. d) Depth distribution of lithological classes for the Mekong delta.

From monitoring to predicting

Total measured subsidence at the earth surface is the sum of subsidence resulting from all natural and human-induced drivers, the subsidence balance (Fig. 2). We distinguish between shallow and deep drivers and processes of subsidence.

To determine the contribution of groundwater extraction, and to go from measuring to predicting subsidence, the cumulative signal needs to be unraveled. We develop a 3D geohydrogical model hydrology and calculate subsidence to evaluate the impact of groundwater extraction

References

Bierkens, M. F. P., & Weerts, H. J. T. (1994). Application of indicator simulation to modelling the lithological properties of a complex confining layer. Geoderma, 62(1-3), 265–284.

Erban, L. E., Gorelick, S. M., & Zebker, H. A. (2014). Groundwater extraction, land subsidence, and sea-level rise in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam. Environmental Research Letters, 9(8), 1–6.

Acknowledgements

This poster is part of a PhD research carried out by P.S.J. Minderhoud at the Dept. of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, The Netherlands. The PhD project is funded by NWO-WOTRO (W 07.69.105), Deltares and TNO-Geological Survey of the Netherlands.

The Division of Water Resources Planning and Investigation for the South of Vietnam (DWRPIS), Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam is thanked for providing subsurface and hydrological data for this research.

Faculty of Geosciences Dep. Physical Geography

rlands.

Philip Minderhoud

b

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