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Africa Briefing Africa Briefing

01 June 2010

Endalkachew Bekele Endalkachew Bekele

endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov

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7 Day

30 Day

Last Week This Week

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Jimma - Ethiopia Sinjah - Sudan

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Number of Rainy Days in 30 days from:

Daily Soil Water Index (SWI)

May 18 /2010 May 24/2010 May 30 /2010

May 10 /2010 May 20 /2010 May 30 /2010

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Belg

Grain

Maize

Daily WRSI, May 30, 2010,

Seasonal r/f anomaly (from March 1/2010)

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Last Week This Week

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7 Day

30 Day

Last Week This Week

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Precipitation Anomaly

May 1 – May 30, 2010 Bouchi - Nigeria

Komasi - Ghana

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Number of Rainy Days in 30 days from:

Daily Soil Water Index (SWI)

May 18 /2010 May 24/2010 May 30 /2010

May 10 /2010 May 20 /2010 May 30 /2010

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WRSI, Millet, Dekadal, May 2010, dekad -2

VHI, week 21 – May 27, 2010 R/f anomaly, May 1– May 30, 2010

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Above average precipitation expected over western Sahel during Jun-Aug 2010

CFS 382 Precipitation Forecasts

Jun-Aug 2010, April Initial Conditions

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Above average precipitation expected across the

Sahel and parts of the Greater Horn of Africa during Jul-Sep 2010

Heaviest rainfall expected along coastal areas of West Africa

CFS T382 Precipitation Forecasts

Jul-Sep 2010, April Initial Conditions

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Hovmuller Map, May 27 – May 31 / 2010 (12 hr time step)

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TC 03A

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GEFS Prob. Exceeding 50mm

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