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Real-world Outcomes of Sequential Androgen-receptor Targeting Therapies with or Without Interposed Life-prolonging Drugs in Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer

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Real-world

Outcomes

of

Sequential

Androgen-receptor

Targeting

Therapies

with

or

Without

Interposed

Life-prolonging

Drugs

in

Metastatic

Castration-resistant

Prostate

Cancer:

Results

from

the

Dutch

Castration-resistant

Prostate

Cancer

Registry

Malou

C.P.

Kuppen

a,

*

,

Hans

M.

Westgeest

b

,

Alphonsus

J.M.

van

den

Eertwegh

c

,

Reindert

J.A.

van

Moorselaar

d

,

Inge

M.

van

Oort

e

,

Juleon

L.L.M.

Coenen

f

,

A.C.M.

(Fons)

van

den

Bergh

g

,

Niven

Mehra

h

,

Diederik

M.

Somford

i

,

Andre

M.

Bergman

j

,

Daan

ten

Bokkel

Huinink

k

,

Laurent

Fossion

l

,

Maud

M.

Geenen

m

,

Mathijs

P.

Hendriks

n

,

Addy

C.M.

van

de

Luijtgaarden

o

,

Marco

B.

Polee

p

,

Nir

I.

Weijl

q

,

Agnes

J.

van

de

Wouw

r

,

Ronald

de

Wit

s

,

Carin

A.

Uyl-de

Groot

a

,

Winald

R.

Gerritsen

h

aInstituteforMedicalTechnologyAssessment,ErasmusSchoolofHealthPolicyandManagement,Rotterdam,TheNetherlands;bDepartmentofInternal

Medicine,AmphiaHospital,Breda,TheNetherlands;cDepartmentofMedicalOncology,CancerCenterAmsterdam,AmsterdamUMC,VrijeUniversiteit,

Amsterdam,TheNetherlands;dDepartmentofUrology,AmsterdamUMC,VrijeUniversiteit,Amsterdam,TheNetherlands;eDepartmentofUrology,Radboud

UniversityMedical Center,Nijmegen, TheNetherlands; fDepartmentofInternal Medicine,Isala Klinieken, Zwolle,The Netherlands; gDepartmentof

RadiationOncology,UniversityMedicalCenterGroningen,Groningen,TheNetherlands;hDepartmentofMedicalOncology,RadboudUniversityMedical

Center,Nijmegen,TheNetherlands;iDepartmentofUrology,CanisiusWilheminaHospital,Nijmegen,TheNetherlands;jDivisionofInternalMedicine(MOD)

andOncogenomics,TheNetherlandsCancerInstituteAntonivanLeeuwenhoekHospital,Amsterdam,TheNetherlands;kDepartmentofInternalMedicine,

Diakonessenhuis,Utrecht, TheNetherlands; lDepartmentofUrology, Maxima MedicalCenter,Eindhoven, The Netherlands;mDepartmentofInternal

Medicine,OLVG,Amsterdam,TheNetherlands;nDepartmentofInternalMedicine,NorthwestClinics,Alkmaar,TheNetherlands;oDepartmentofInternal

Medicine,ReinierdeGraafGroep,Delft,TheNetherlands;pDepartmentofInternalMedicine,MedicalCenterLeeuwarden,Leeuwarden,TheNetherlands; qDepartmentofInternalMedicine,MCH-BronovoHospital,‘s-Gravenhage,TheNetherlands;rDepartmentofInternalMedicine,VieCuriMedicalCenter,

Venlo,TheNetherlands;sDepartmentofMedicalOncology,ErasmusMCDanieldenHoedCancerCenter,Rotterdam,TheNetherlands

a v ai l a b l e a t w w w . s c i e n c e d i r e c t . c o m

j o u r n al h o m e p a g e : e u o n c o l o g y . e u r o p e a n u r o l o g y. c o m

Articleinfo Articlehistory: Received15April2019 Receivedinrevisedform 20August2019

AcceptedSeptember17,2019 AssociateEditor:PaulNguyen Keywords: Castration-resistantprostate cancer Androgen-receptortargeting agents Abstract

Background: Cross resistance between androgen-receptor targeting therapies (ARTs)(abirateroneacetateplusprednisone[ABI+P]orenzalutamide[ENZ])for treatmentofmetastaticcastration-resistantprostatecancer(mCRPC)mayaffect responsestosecondART(ART2).

Objective: To establish treatment duration and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response of ART2 inreal-world mCRPC patients treatedwith or withoutother life-prolonging drugs(LPDs; ie,docetaxel, cabazitaxel,or radium-223)between ART1andART2.

Design, setting, and participants: Castration-resistant prostate cancer patients, diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 were retrospectively registered in Castra-tion-resistant ProstateCancerRegistry (CAPRI).PatientstreatedwithbothARTs wereclusteredintotwosubgroups:ART1>ART2orART1>LPD>ART2.

*Correspondingauthor.P.O.Box1738,3000DRRotterdam,TheNetherlands.Tel.:+31104088696. E-mailaddress:kuppen@eshpm.eur.nl(MalouC.P.Kuppen).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euo.2019.09.005

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1. Introduction

Annually, 3000 patients develop metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) in the Netherlands

[1]. Multiple treatment options are available, including taxane(TAX)chemotherapy(docetaxel[DOC]and cabazi-taxel[CAB]),androgen-receptortargetingtherapies(ARTs; abirateroneacetateplusprednisone[ABI+P]and enzalu-tamide[ENZ]),andanalpha-emittingradioisotope (radium-223[Ra-223]).Oneofthechallengesisselectingthemost optimaltreatmentsequence.

SequencingofARTsisofparticularinterest,sincethetwo ARTsusedtargettheandrogensignallingpathway.Acquired resistance to ABI+P and ENZ is inevitable. Molecular mechanisms of resistance to both ARTs are similar and cross resistance is a common phenomenon [2]. Clinical findings from one prospective and several retrospective studies support this hypothesis, showing low prostate-specific antigen (PSA) responses of second ART (ART2), especiallyinpatientstreatedwithENZbeforeABI+P[3– 6].AshortintervalbetweenbothARTsandprogressionon ART1arerelatedtolowPSAresponses[7,8].

TheEuropeanAssociationofUrologyadvisestheuseof DOCafter first-lineART becauseof concerns about cross resistance[9],butnosolidevidencepointsto resensitisa-tionfollowingthe“sandwich”useofTAXpriortoART2.One small retrospective study recently reported similar PSA responses (21–30%) in patients treated with both ARTs directlyaftereachotherorwithTAXinbetween[10].

However,availabledataontheactivityofART2arenot easilytranslatedintodailyclinicalpractice,sincedataare based on small study populations (<150 patients) with highlyselectedpatientseitherparticipatinginearlyaccess programmes or treated in academic institutions, or on

follow-up of patients who participated in randomised controlledtrial.

TheaimofthisstudyistoinvestigatePSAresponseand treatment duration of ART2 depending on treatment sequence in a real-world setting. We provide outcomes onsequentialARTsorARTswithinterposedlife-prolonging drugs(LPDs)suchasTAXorRa-223.

2. Patientsandmethods

2.1. Studydesignandsetting

Castration-resistantProstateCancerRegistry(CAPRI)isan investigator-initiated, observational, multicentre cohort study in20 Dutchhospitals. Datacollection started after approvalbythelocalmedicalethicscommitteeandhospital board. The study design has been described before

[11]. Castration-resistant prostate cancer patients were includedretrospectivelyfrom1January2010until31 De-cember 2015, with regular updates of all data until 31December2017.Alltreatmentdecisionsaswellasthe useofdiagnostics,responsemeasurements,andsupportive care were made by treating physicians and were not protocol amended.CAPRI is registeredin the DutchTrial RegistryasNTR3591.

2.2. Participants

PatientshavingmCRPCwhoweretreatedwithbothABI+P andENZbefore1July2017withonelineofTAXorRa-223 betweenbothARTswereincludedinthisanalysis.Patients treatedwith DOCfor metastatichormone-sensitive pros-tatecancerwereexcluded.

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Outcomes were 50%PSA re-sponseandtreatmentdurationofART2.Descriptivestatisticsandbinarylogistic regressionaftermultipleimputationswereperformed.

Results and limitations: A total of 273 patients were included with a median follow-upof8.4mofromART2.PatientswithART1>ART2were olderandhad favourableprognosticcharacteristicsatART2baselinecomparedwithpatientswith ART1>LPD>ART2.NodifferencesbetweenART1>ART2andART1>LPD>ART2 were found inPSA response andtreatmentduration.Multivariate analysis sug-gestedthatPSAresponseofART2waslesslikelyinpatientswithvisceralmetastases (oddsratio[OR]0.143,p=0.04)andmorelikelyinpatientswitharelativelylonger durationofandrogen-deprivationtreatment(OR1.028,p=0.01)andwithABI+P beforeENZ(OR3.192,p=0.02).Amajorlimitationofthisstudywasmissingdata,a commonprobleminretrospectiveobservationalresearch.

Conclusions: TheeffectofART2seemstobelow,withalowPSAresponserateanda shorttreatmentdurationirrespectiveofinterposedchemotherapyorradium-223, especiallyinpatientswithshorttimeoncastration,visceraldisease,andENZbefore ABI+P.

Patientsummary: Weobservednodifferencesinoutcomesofpatientstreatedwith sequentialabirateroneacetateplusprednisone(ABI+P)andenzalutamide(ENZ) with orwithoutinterposed chemotherapyor radium-223.Ingeneral, outcomes were lowerthanthoseinrandomisedtrials, questioningtheadditionaleffectof secondtreatmentwithABI+PorENZindailypractice.

©2019EuropeanAssociationofUrology.PublishedbyElsevierB.V.Allrightsreserved.

Abirateroneacetate Enzalutamide Real-worldoutcomes Crossresistance Sequencing

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Outcomeswereevaluatedbasedontreatmentsequence: (1)ABI+PdirectlyfollowedbyENZorviceversa(ART1> ART2)and(2)ABI+PfollowedbyENZorviceversainterposed withTAXorRa-223treatment(ART1>LPD>ART2).

Additionalsubgroupanalyseswereperformedbasedon thefollowingparameters:

1 Sequence ofABI+P and ENZ: ABI+P before ENZ (ABI +P>ENZ)orENZbeforeABI+P(ENZ>ABI+P) 2 ART1 treatment duration: “long ART1 treatment” (ie,

ART1 treatment duration 12 wk according to the ProstateCancerClinicalTrialsWorkingGroup3[PCWG 3] criteria [12]) or “short ART1 treatment” (ie, ART1 treatmentduration<12wk)

3 IntervalbetweenART1andART2:intervalbetweenART1 andART2calculatedasthetimebetweenstopofART1 andstartofART2,withacut-offof40dbasedonprevious publishedwork[7]

2.3. Studysize

In all, 273 participants were included from a total of 3616mCRPCpatients.

2.4. Follow-upanddatacollection

Predefinedand readilyavailable datafrom medical records were retrospectively collected by trained data managers.

Baselinecharacteristics(includingperformancescore, symp-toms,extentofdisease,andlaboratoryvalues)wereincludedin theanalysisiftheyweredocumentedfrom6wkbeforeto1wk afterthestartofART2.Allpatientswerefolloweduntildeath, losstofollow-up,or31December2017.Follow-updurationwas calculatedfromthestartdateofART2tothelastrecordeddate.

2.5. Outcome

TheprimaryoutcomewasPSAresponse.PSAresponsewas definedasthemaximumchangefrombaselinePSAlevels (inpercentages)withoutconfirmationofsecondmeasure. Incasenodeclinewaspresent,responsesweremeasuredat 12 wk (according to the PCWG 3 criteria for response measurement[12])or,iftreatmentwasfor<12wk,atthe endoftreatmentorstartofnexttreatment.PSAresponse wasdefinedasa50%PSAdeclinefrombaseline[12].

The secondary outcome was treatment duration, and wascalculatedastheintervalbetweenthestartandstopof ART2. If the stopdatewasunknown, treatment duration wasspecifiedasthetime(1)fromthestartofART2tothe startofnexttreatmentor(2)fromthestartofART2todeath ifART2wasthelasttreatment.Patientsstillaliveattheend of follow-up and without a new line of therapy were censoredatthedateoflastknownvisit.

2.6. Statisticalanalysis

The sample size was not based on power calculations. Descriptive statistics were performed. To test the

Fig.1–FlowchartoftreatmentsequencinginpatientstreatedwithbothARTs.ABI+P=abirateroneacetateplusprednisone;AR=androgenreceptor; ART1=firstAR-targetingtherapy;ART2=secondAR-targetingtherapy;CAB=cabazitaxel;DOC=docetaxel;ENZ=enzalutamide;LPD=life-prolonging drug;mCRPC=metastaticcastration-resistantprostatecancer;Ra-223=radium-223.

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significance between subgroups, chi-square test, Mann-Whitney U test, and t test were used. Waterfall plots indicate PSA response per subgroup. Missing baseline characteristics were imputed using multipleimputations with MonteCarlo Markov Chain method. Binary logistic regressiontoassesstheeffectofbaselinevariablesonPSA responsewasperformed.Apvalueof<0.05wasconsidered statistically significant. IBM SPSS Statistics version 24.0 (IBM,Armonk,NY,USA)wasusedforallanalyses.

3. Results

Intotal,273patients(8%)weretreatedwithbothABI+Pand ENZbefore1July2017.Ofthesepatients,148weretreated withART1>ART2and125withART1>LPD>ART2, includ-ing61patients(48%)treatedwithDOC,41(33%)withCAB, and23(19%)withRa-223betweenART1andART2(Fig.1).

InART1>ART,86patients(58%)receivedABI+P>ENZ and 62 (44%) received ENZ>ABI+P compared with 86 patients (69%) with ABI+P>ENZ and 39 (31%) with ENZ>ABI+PinART1>LPD>ART2(Fig.1).

Medianfollow-upfromART2was8.4mo(range0.3–35.8 mo).Attheendofthestudy,202all-causedeaths(74%)have occurred,38patients(14%)werelosttofollow-up,and33 (12%)werestillinfollow-up(medianfollow-upfromART2 of11.1mo).

3.1. Baselinecharacteristics

Patients in theART1>ART2 sequence were older at the startof ART2than patients inART1>LPD>ART2 (75 vs

73yr,p<0.01;Table1).ART1>ART2patientshad favour-able prognostic characteristics: less visceral metastases (12% vs 22%, p=0.04), higher haemoglobinlevels (7.5 vs 6.9 mmol/l,p<0.01),lowerlactatedehydrogenase(LDH) levels(240vs270U/l,p=0.02),andlowerPSAlevels(114vs 170

m

g/l,p=0.03).

In ART1>ART2, more patients had short ART1 treat-ment(<12wk)thanthoseinART1>LPD>ART2(24%vs 11%,p<0.01),butnodifferencesinPSAresponseofART1 wereobserved.IntheART1>LPD>ART2sequence,24%of patientshada50%PSAdeclineoninterposedLPDs(28%on TAXand9%onRa-223;Table1).

3.2. PSAresponseofART2

PSAresponseofART2wassimilarinART1>ART2tothatin ART1>LPD>ART2 (20% vs 18%, p=0.297; Table 2 and

Fig.2).PSAresponseofART2inART1>ART2wassimilarto PSA response of LPDin ART1>LPD>ART2 (20% vs 24%, p=0.80).PSAresponseofART2waslowerinpatientswith ART1 treatment 12 wk than in patients with ART1 treatment <12 wk, but this did not reach statistical significance (18% vs 26%,p=0.08). No differencesin PSA responsewerefoundbasedonABI+PandENZsequence, andintervalbetweenART1andART2(Table3).

3.3. Treatmentduration

Attheendoffollow-up,9%ofART1>ART2patientswere stillontreatmentcomparedwith3%ofART1>LPD>ART2 patients.Fig.3showsmediantreatmentdurationofART2:

Fig.2–WaterfallplotofPSAresponseduringsecondAR-targetingtherapy(ART2).MaximumpercentagechangefrombaselinePSAperpatient.The dottedlineindicatesthethresholdof50%PSAdecline.AR=androgenreceptor;ART1=firstAR-targetingtherapy;LPD=otherlife-prolongingdrug (docetaxel,cabazitaxel,orradium-223);PSA=prostate-specificantigen.

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Table1BaselinecharacteristicsatthestartofsecondAR-targetingtherapy. N=273 ART1>ART2 N=148 ART1>LPD>ART2 N=125 pvalue

Age(yr) Median(range) 75(53–80) 73(50–90) 0.002**

75yr(%) 54 38 0.010* Charlsonscore(%) 6 57 69 0.147 7–8 35 22 9–10 7 8 >10 1 1 Missing 0 0 ECOGPS(%) 0 16 17 0.172 1 35 40 2 29 18 Missing 20 25

Opioiduse(%) Yes 16 23 0.968

No 22 33 Missing 62 44 Diseasestate(%) N0/N1/Nx 14/41/45 20/38/42 0.260 M0/M1/Mx(bone) 5/80/15 3/82/14 0.554 M0/M1/Mx(visceral) 44/12/45 34/22/44 0.016* Gleasonscore(%) 7 34 37 0.715 8–10 53 53 Nohistology 1 2 Metastasisbiopsy 1 1 Missing 10 7

TimecastrationtomCRPC(mo) Median(IQR) 14.3(8–27) 13.4(9–22) 0.725

Missing(%) 0 0

Hb(mmol/l) Median(IQR) 7.5(6.8–8.2) 6.9(6.0–7.8) <0.001**

Missing(%) 10 7

ALP(U/l) Median(IQR) 129(88–224) 144(86–258) 0.581

Missing(%) 11 10

LDH(U/l) Median(IQR) 240(190–283) 270(204–364) 0.017*

Missing(%) 30 22

PSA(mg/l) Median(IQR) 114(32–391) 170(85–444) 0.033*

Missing(%) 8 7

NumberoflinespriortoART2(%) 1 42 0 <0.001**

2 51 43

3 7 48

4–5 0 9

ART1treatment(%) ENZ 42 31 0.068

ABI+P 58 69

TreatmentdurationofART1(mo) Median(IQR) 7.1(3.1–13.6) 7.4(5.2–12.3) 0.869

12wk(%) 24 11 0.005**

PSAresponsetoART1(%) 50%PSAdecline 51 54 0.442

<50%PSAdecline 35 30

PSAresponsemissing 14 16

Timebetweendiscontinuation ofART1andstartofART2(mo)

Median(IQR), <1(0–2),27 7(5–10),33 <0.001** missing(%)a 53 0 <40d(%) 20 67 40d(%) InterposedLPDb (%) Docetaxel NA 49 Cabazitaxel 33 Radium-223 18

TreatmentdurationofinterposedLPDb

(cycles) Median(range) NA 6(1–15)

6cycles(valid%) 68

10cycles(valid%) 16

Missing(%) 5

PSAresponsetointerposedLPDb

(%) 50%PSAdecline NA 24

<50%PSAdecline 49

PSAresponsemissing 27

ABI+P=abirateroneacetateplusprednisone;ALP=alkalinephosphatase;AR=androgenreceptor;ART1=firstAR-targetingtherapy;ART2=second AR-targetingtherapy;ECOGPS=EasternCooperativeOncologyGroupperformancescore;ENZ=enzalutamide;Hb=haemoglobin;IQR=interquartilerange;LDH =lactatedehydrogenase;LPD=life-prolongingdrug;mCRPC=metastatic castration-resistantprostatecancer;NA=not available;PSA=prostatespecific antigen.

a PatientswithmissingART1stopdate. b

Characteristicsofinterposedlife-prolongingtreatmentinART1>LPD>ART2.

*

Significantatp<0.05.

**

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3.2 mo (interquartile range [IQR] 1.9–7.5 mo)in ART1> ART2and3.2 mo(IQR1.8–5.9mo)inART1>LPD>ART2 (p=0.04).PatientswithART1>ART2hadhigher probabili-ty of longer treatment duration (hazard ratio 0.773, 95% confidenceinterval0.603–0.993,p=0.04).Patientswitha response to ART2 had a median treatment duration of 7.3mo(IQR4.1–13.0mo).

NodifferenceswereobservedinART2treatmentduration betweenABI+PandENZsequence,ART1treatment dura-tion,andintervalbetweenART1andART2(Table3).

3.4. Multivariateanalyses

Eighty-threepatients(30%)wereexcludedfrom multivari-atebinarylogisticregressionduetomissingPSAresponseof ART2(Table4).TherewasnodifferenceinPSAresponseof ART2betweenART1>ART2andART1>LPD>ART2(odds ratio [OR] 0.890, p=0.89). Visceral metastases were associated with lower PSA response rates (OR 0.143, p=0.04), while longer time on androgen-deprivation therapy (OR1.028,p=0.01) andABI + P before ENZ(OR

3.192,p=0.02)wereassociatedwithhigherPSAresponse rates(Table4).

Aftertheexclusionof32patientstreatedwithART1for <12 wk from multivariate analysis, time on androgen-deprivationtherapyremainedtheonlysignificantfactorfor PSAresponse(OR1.034,p=0.02).

4. Discussion

In this retrospective analysis of real-world data, we reportedoutcomesofsequentialtreatmentwithbothARTs with or without interposed TAX or Ra-223. To our knowledge, this is the largest multicentre population in which patients are treated according to the views and opinions of their medical oncologists and urologists. Outcomesthereforereflectcurrentdailypractice.

PatientswithART1>ART2hadbetterprognosticfactors atthe startofART2(lessvisceral disease, higher haemo-globin,lowerLDH,andlowerPSA)thanART1>LPD>ART2 patients. One could speculate thatphysicians decided to administer TAX or Ra-223 rather than the other ART in Table2–PSAresponseandtreatmentdurationofsecondAR-targetingtherapy.

N=273 ART1>ART2

N=148

ART1>LPD>ART2 N=125

pvalue

PSAresponse Medianchangefrombaselinea

(IQR) –21%(–56%to+46%) –18%(–50%to+73%) 0.315

50%PSAdecline(%)

<50%PSAdecline(%) 20 18 0.297

Missing(%) 45 57

35 25

TreatmentdurationofART2 Median(IQR),censored(%)b 3.2(1.9–7.5),9 3.2(1.8–5.9),3 0.042*

3mo(valid%) 52 49

>3mo(valid%) 48 51 0.621

PSAresponseonlineafterART1c 50%

PSAdecline(%) 20 24 0.801

<50%PSAdecline(%) 45 49

Missing(%) 35 27

AR=androgenreceptor;ART1=firstAR-targetingtherapy;ART2=secondAR-targetingtherapy;IQR=interquartilerange;LPD=life-prolongingdrug;PSA =prostate-specificantigen.

a Measuredasrelativechangefrombaselinevalue(negativevaluesindicateaPSAdecline,positivevaluesaPSAincrease). b

Stillontreatmentattheendoffollow-up.

c

PSAresponserateofART2inART1>ART2andofinterposedLPDinART1>LPD>ART2.

*

Significantatp<0.05.

Table3PSAresponseandtreatmentdurationofsecondAR-targetingtherapybasedondifferentsubgroups.

ABI+PandENZsequence ART1treatmentduration IntervalbetweenART1andART2

ENZ>ABI+P N=101 ABI+P>ENZ N=172 pvalue 12wk N=223 <12wk N=50 pvalue <40d N=119 40d N=154 pvalue

PSAresponse 50%PSAdecline(%) 14 23 0.159 18 26 0.078 20 19 0.461

<50%PSAdecline(%) 51 50 53 38 45 54 Missing(%) 36 27 29 36 35 27 Treatment duration(mo) Median(IQR) 3.2(1.8–7.3) 3.2(1.9–5.9) 0.158 3.2(1.9–6.7) 3.2(1.8–5.8) 0.573 3.2(1.9–6.4) 3.2(1.8–6.5) 0.364 Censored(%)a 12 3 6 6 8 5 3mo(valid%) 55 48 0.276 51 49 0.825 53 48 0.437 >3mo(valid%) 45 52 49 51 47 52

ABI+P=abiraterone acetate plus prednisone; AR=androgen receptor; ART1 = first AR-targeting therapy; ART2 = second AR-targeting therapy;

ENZ=enzalutamide;IQR=interquartilerange;PSA=prostate-specificantigen.

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youngerpatientswithmoreadverseprognosticfactors,and seeminglyhavelittlefaithinameaningfulresponsetoART2 inpatientswithprogressiononART1.Thisseemsunjustified based on similar response ratesto ART2 inART1>ART2 (20%)tothatonLPDsinART1>LPD>ART2(24%).

WeobservedaPSAresponseofART2in20%ofpatients withorwithoutinterposed TAXorRa-223,andamedian treatmentduration of3mo.PSAresponse isinlinewith previouslypublishedreportsonART2(4–30%[4–6,13–16]), but lowcompared with phase III randomisedcontrolled trialsforABI+PandENZ(62–78%inchemotherapy-naïve and38–54%inpostchemotherapytreatment[17–20]).Low PSAresponsesandshorttreatmentdurationcanbearesult ofcross-resistancebetweenABI+PandENZ.Mechanisms ofresistancearecomplexandnotcompletelyunderstood, butitisproposedthattheyincludebothandrogenreceptor (AR)-dependentmechanisms(eg,ARaberrations,including amplification,genomicstructuralvariants,orsplicevariants such as AR-V7) and AR-independent mechanisms (eg, neuroendocrinetransformationorglucocorticoidreceptor overexpression) [2]. Since mechanisms of resistance are overlappingbetweenABI+PandENZ,crossresistancemay leadtolowefficacyofART2.

However,alowPSAresponserateandashorttreatment duration of ART2can also be the resultof the advanced diseasestate.MostpatientsweretreatedwithART2inline3 (47%)orline4(30%).AnItalianmulticentrestudyshowed thatthebiochemicalresponseratesdecreasedto38%,24%, and 16%, respectively, on second, third, and fourth lines irrespectiveofthetreatmentsequence[21].

Presenceofvisceral diseaseandshortertime between thestartofandrogen-deprivationtherapyandmCRPCwere predictiveofapoorPSAresponseofART2.Visceraldisease and rapid time to castration resistance are known

prognostic factors for overall survival [22,23], but can possiblyimpactPSAresponseduetoacorrelationbetween survivalandPSAresponserate[24,25].

WehypothesisedthatpatientswhodiscontinuedART1 dueto otherreasons thanprogressionwouldhavebetter effectofART2,sinceresistance(eitherprimaryoracquired) to ART1 has not occurred. Since the exact reason of discontinuation was not easily evaluable due to missing values and the absence of strict progression criteria, treatmentdurationwasusedasaproxyforthereasonof discontinuation. Toxicity mainly occurs in the initial months, making a duration of <12 wk an indicator of toxicity.ThesepatientstendedtohavehigherPSAresponse ratesthanpatientswith ART1treatment12wk(26%vs 18%),butthisdifferencewasnotclinicallyrelevant.

Treatment sequence of ABI+P and ENZhas alsobeen argued to affect the response of ART2 with favourable effects for ABI+P>ENZ than for ENZ>ABI+P [4– 7,13,26,27].In ourstudy,patients with ABI+P>ENZalso hadbetterPSAresponseratesofART2(OR3.192,p=0.02) without differencesin treatmentduration.The beneficial effectofABI+P>ENZonPSAresponsedidnotholdafter exclusion of patients with ART1 treatment <12 wk (OR 2.060,p=0.19).

We used PSA kinetics and treatment duration as indicators for treatment efficacy of ART2, but the effect onoverallsurvivalandprogression-freesurvivalcouldnot beestimated.PosthocanalysesofphaseIIItrialsofABI+P and ENZdemonstrateda strongcorrelationbetweenPSA kineticsduringABI+PandENZandoverallsurvival[24,25]. AlthoughthePSAresponserateofART2isfairlylowand mediantreatmentdurationisshort,patientswhohadaPSA responseofART2hadaclinicallyrelevantdurationofART2 treatment(7.3mo).ART2maythereforeofferabenefitina

Fig.3–Treatmentduration(inmonths)duringsecondAR-targetingtherapy(ART2).AR=androgenreceptor;ART1=firstAR-targetingtherapy; LPD=otherlife-prolongingdrug(docetaxel,cabazitaxel,orradium-223).

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selected patient population, which may include patients whoareARcopyneutralandthosewithoutAR-V7[2].

Monitoring treatment efficacy in mCRPC is complex

[28].Thedecision todiscontinuetreatmentshouldnotbe based on a single indicator for progression, but on the association between different outcome measures (eg, clinical, biochemical,patient-reportedoutcomes, and im-aging)[12].Consistentevaluationandreportingofclinical, biochemical,andradiologicchangesduring treatmentare advised,since thesecanaidfuture researchoftreatment efficacyindailypractice[12].

Thefirstlimitationofourstudywasthehighnumberof missingvalues,whichisinherenttotheretrospectivedesign. Missingvaluesonbaselinecharacteristicsreflectincomplete evaluationofpatientsorlackofstructuredreportingindaily practice.Thisunderlinestheneedforbetterdocumentation

at the start of a new treatment. Imputation of missing baselinedataoffersavalidsolutionformultivariateanalysis. However,83patients(30%)wereexcludedfromtheimputed analysis, whichdecreased thestatisticalpower. Moreover, becauseoftheretrospectivedatabase,thesamplesizewas notbasedonpowercalculations,butonpatientsavailable matchingthestudypopulationcriteria.

Thesecondlimitationwasthefactthatthisstudywas notabletocapturealldataontreatmentdecisions.Other factorsthantheknownpatientanddiseasecharacteristics mayplayaroleinthedecisionforaparticularsequence,for example, preferencesofboth patients andphysicians. In sequencingABI+PandENZ,thepossiblecontraindications for prednisonecouldalsobeconsidered.These unknown factors may affect outcomes. Furthermore, biomarkers could not be evaluated in our patient population. Table4–UnivariateandmultivariatebinarylogisticregressionforPSAresponse.

Univariateanalysisoforiginaldata Multivariateanalysisofpooleddataafter imputation(N=190)

N OR 95%CI pvalue OR 95%CI pvalue

Age(yr),cont. 190 1.027 0.986–1.069 0.199 1.013 0.959–1.070 0.643

Charlsonscore 6 127 REF – – REF – – 7–8 52 0.613 0.345–1.545 0.266 0.582 0.216–1.565 0.283 >9 11 0.815 0.384–5.033 0.684 1.162 0.206–6.563 0.865 ECOGPS 0 36 REF – – REF – – 1 81 0.707 0.259–1.452 0.412 0.396 0.140–1.120 0.081 2 38 0.895 0.304–2.184 0.814 0.495 0.125–1.963 0.316 Opioiduse No 54 REF – – REF – – Yes 40 1.196 0.470–3.042 0.707 1.312 0.463–3.719 0.609 Diseasestate N1vsN0 107 0.629 0.265–1.494 0.293 0.696 0.221–2.192 0.532 M1vsM0(bone) 162 1.239 0.241–6.369 0.798 5.414 0.702–41.770 0.104 M1vsM0(visceral) 91 0.340 0.104–1.111 0.074 0.143 0.023–0.879 0.037 Gleasonscore(%) 7 65 REF – – REF – – 8–10 104 0.578 0.293–1.139 0.113 0.692 0.287–1.668 0.411

TimecastrationtomCRPC(mo),cont. 190 1.020 1.004–1.036 0.013* 1.028 1.006–1.050 0.013*

Hb(mmol/l),cont. 183 0.979 0.727–1.317 0.888 0.706 0.424–1.177 0.180

ALP(U/l),cont. 183 1.000 0.999–1.002 0.720 1.000 0.998–1.002 0.760

LDH(U/l),cont. 151 1.000 0.998–1.001 0.500 1.000 0.998–1.002 0.725

PSA(mg/l),cont. 190 1.000 1.000–1.0001 0.931 1.000 0.999–1.000 0.535

DocetaxelpriortoART1

No 75 REF – – REF – –

Yes 115 0.717 0.377–1.362 0.309 0.667 0.292–1.525 0.337

Treatmentsequence

ENZ>ABI+P 65 REF – – REF – –

ABI+P>ENZ 125 1.652 0.819–3.334 0.161 3.192 1.195–8.529 0.021*

Treatmentsequence

ART1>ART2 95 REF – – – – –

ART1>LPD>ART2 94 0.713 0.376–1.349 0.298 0.890 0.359–2.206 0.890

TreatmentdurationofART1(wk)

>12 158 REF – – REF – –

12 32 2.018 0.915–4.453 0.082 3.293 0.978–11.094 0.054

50%PSAdeclineonART1

No 56 REF – – REF – –

Yes 109 0.914 0.442–1.888 0.807 1.125 0.395–3.207 0.824

ABI+P=abirateroneacetateplus prednisone;ALP=alkalinephosphatase;AR=androgenreceptor;ART1=first AR-targetingtherapy;ART2=second AR-targetingtherapy;CI=confidence interval;ECOGPS=EasternCooperativeOncology Groupperformancescore;ENZ=enzalutamide;Hb=haemoglobin; IQR=interquartilerange;LDH=lactatedehydrogenase;LPD=life-prolongingdrug;mCRPC=metastaticcastration-resistantprostatecancer;OR=oddsratio; PSA=prostate-specificantigen;REF=referencecategory.

(9)

Accumulatingevidencepointsatasubgroup,identifiedby noninvasive biomarkers, that benefits from ART2. These limitations indicatethe needofprospective researchin a largepopulationtoconfirmthefindingsofthisretrospective researchandputativepredictivebiomarkers;suchresearch work is currently being conducted (eg, CARD study [ClinicalTrials.govidentifierNCT02485691]andphase2 ran-domisedcross-overtrialofART[NCT02125357]).

5. Conclusions

Inconclusion,ourstudysuggeststhatPSAresponseratesof ART2arelowwithashorttreatmentdurationirrespective ofsequencingbothARTsdirectlyaftereachotherorwith interposedTAXorRa-223.TheeffectofART2seemstobe low, especiallyin patients with shorttime on castration, visceraldisease,andENZbeforeABI+P.Furtherprospective research incorporating other outcome measures such as overallandprogression-free survival,pain,andquality of lifeis necessarytoaidin theoptimal treatmentdecision after ART1 and to possibly identify subgroups that can benefitfromART2.

Authorcontributions:MalouC.P.Kuppenhadfullaccesstoallthedatain thestudyandtakesresponsibilityfortheintegrityofthedataandthe accuracyofthedataanalysis.

Studyconceptanddesign:Kuppen,Westgeest,vandenEertwegh,Uyl-de Groot,Gerritsen.

Acquisitionofdata:Kuppen,Westgeest. Analysisandinterpretationofdata:Kuppen. Draftingofthemanuscript:Kuppen.

Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Westgeest,vandenEertwegh,vanMoorselaar,vanOort,Coenen,vanden Bergh,Mehra,Somford,Bergman,tenBokkelHuinink,Fossion,Geenen, Hendriks,vandeLuijtgaarden,Polee,Weijl,vandeWouw,deWit,Uyl-de Groot,Gerritsen.

Statisticalanalysis:Kuppen.

Obtainingfunding:Westgeest,Uyl-deGroot,Gerritsen. Administrative,technical,ormaterialsupport:None. Supervision:Uyl-deGroot,Gerritsen.

Other:None.

Financialdisclosures:MalouC.P.Kuppencertifiesthatallconflictsof interest, including specific financial interests and relationships and affiliationsrelevanttothesubjectmatterormaterialsdiscussedinthe manuscript(eg,employment/affiliation,grantsorfunding, consultan-cies,honoraria,stockownershiporoptions,experttestimony,royalties, orpatentsfiled,received,orpending),arethefollowing:M.C.P.Kuppen: Ipsen(travelexpenses).H.M.Westgeest:Ipsen(travelexpenses),Roche (honoraria).A.J.M.vandenEertwegh:SanofiandRoche(studygrant); MSDOncology,Roche,Pfizer,andSano(travelexpenses);Bristol-Myers Squibb(honoraria);Bristol-MyersSquibb,MSDOncology,Amgen,Roche, Novartis,Sanofi, Pfizer,Ipsen,andMerck(advisoryboard).R.J.A. van Moorselaar:Amgen,Astellas,AstraZeneca,Bayer,Janssen,andSano fi-Genzyme (honoraria or consultation fees). I.M. van Oort: Astellas, Janssen, Bayer, Roche, and Mdx health (consulting/advisory role); Astellas,Janssen,andBayer(researchfunding).J.L.L.M.Coenen:Sano (advisory board). A.C.M. van den Bergh: none. N. Mehra: Astellas, Janssen, Pfizer, Sanofi, andRoche (research funding);Sanofi,Merck, Bayer,BMS,MSD,Janssen,andRoche(honoraria).D.M.Somford:Astellas

(researchfunding).A.M.Bergman:Sanofi,Astellas,andBayer(research funding);Sanofi,Astellas,andBayer(consulting/advisoryrole);Sanofi, Astellas,andBayer(travel/accommodations/expenses);Sanofi,Astellas, Bayer,andJanssen(speakers'bureau).D.tenBokkelHuinink:none.L. Fossion:Johnson&Johnson,Ferring,Ipsen,andInternationalCentrefor Parliamentary Studies BCa&PCa 2016–2017 (advisoryboard). M.M. Geenen,M.P.Hendriks,A.C.M.vandeLuijtgaarden,M.B.Polee,N.I.Weijl, andA.J.M.vandeWouw:none.

R. de Wit: Sanofi, Merck, Sharp&Dohme, Roche/Genentech, Janssen, Bayer,andClivis(consulting/advisoryrole);Lilly (travel/accommoda-tions/expenses);Sanofi,Merck,andSharp&Dohme(honoraria);Sano andBayer(researchfunding).C.A.Uyl-deGroot:BoehringerIngelheim, Astellas,Celgene,Sanofi,Janssen-Cilag,Bayer,Amgen,Genzyme,Merck, Glycostem Therapeutics, Astra Zeneca, Roche, and Merck (research funding).W.R.Gerritsen:Astellas,Bayer,BavarianNordic,Bristol-Myers Squibb,MSD,andJanssen-Cilag(speakersfees);Amgen,Astellas,Bayer, Bristol-Myers, Squibb, Curevac, Dendreon, Janssen-Cilag, and Merck (MSD); Morphosys and Sano (advisory boards);Aglaia Biomedical Ventures,andPsioxusTherapeutics(adhocconsultancy).

Acknowledgments: This research was funded by Sanofi-Aventis NetherlandsB.V.,Janssen-CilagB.V.,AstellasPharmaB.V.,andBayerB. V.Thefundingorganisationshadnoroleinthedesignandconductofthe study;collection,management,analysis,andinterpretationofthedata; andpreparation,review,orapprovalofthemanuscript.

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