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Climate Prediction Center’s Afghanistan Hazards Outlook September 10 – September 16, 2020

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Climate Prediction Center’s Afghanistan Hazards Outlook September 10 – September 16, 2020

Temperatures:

During the past week, temperatures were generally near average across Afghanistan. Some areas of eastern Afghanistan experienced slightly below- normal minimum temperatures. Meanwhile, an area of western Afghanistan in Herāt and Ferāh provinces observed above-normal maximum tempertaures that exceeded 40°C. During the outlook period, maximum temperatures are forecast to be below-normal (2-6 degree anomalies) in parts of the central highlands and closer to normal elsehwere. Maximum temperatures are expected to stay below 40°C. Minimum tempertaures are forecast to be warmer than normal in the lower elevations. Subfreezing temperatures are expected in the central highlands

Precipitation:

During the past week, a little light rain was observed in northeastern Afghanistan. 7-day rainfall totals were about 25mm or less. Dryer weather in recent days likely helped recovery efforts after locally heavy rains associated with the Indian monsoon caused deadly and destructive flooding a couple of weeks ago. During the outlook period, no more than a stray shower is expected across eastern Afghanistan as the monsoon retreats back into India. 7-day totals of 2-10mm are forecast by weather models.

Note: The Hazards outlook map is based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week), and assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.

Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

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During the outlook period, slightly drier conditions will arrive and only a bit of light rain or snow is expected across the country.. The GFS model forecasts less than 25mm

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Observed maximum average temperatures were registered as high as 40°C to 45°C in parts of southern Afghanistan and 35 to 40°C in many lower elevation areas.. During the outlook

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