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Climate Prediction Center’s Afghanistan Hazards Outlook 26 August – 1 September, 2021

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Climate Prediction Center’s Afghanistan Hazards Outlook 26 August – 1 September, 2021

Temperatures

During the last week, near-normal mean max temperatures prevailed across Afghanistan. Observed maximum average temperatures were registered around 40 to 45°C in parts of southern Afghanistan and 35 to 40°C in many lower elevation areas.

During the outlook period, model forecasts suggest that mean temperatures will cooler than average by 1 to 4°C in central and northeastern parts of the country. Temperatures may be slightly warmer than average along the northern border of the country. The Maximum temperatures will likely reach the upper 30s or low 40s degrees Celcius in the Southwest.

Precipitation

During the past 7 days, a few scattered light rain showers were observed in eastern portions of the country. Precipitation totals were less than 25mm. Some negative rainfall anomalies are depicted in the mountains of the northeast during the past couple of months. For the outlook period, scattered moderate rains of 10mm to 25mm are expected in northeastern Afghanistan that are typical for August. The rest of the country will remain dry.

Note: The Hazards outlook map is based on current weather/climate information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to 1 week), and assesses their potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. Shaded polygons are added in areas where anomalous conditions have been observed. The boundaries of these polygons are only approximate at this continental scale. This product does not reflect long range seasonal climate forecasts or indicate current or projected food security conditions.

Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

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