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University of Groningen

New rules, new tools

Niessen, Anna Susanna Maria

IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from

it. Please check the document version below.

Document Version

Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record

Publication date:

2018

Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database

Citation for published version (APA):

Niessen, A. S. M. (2018). New rules, new tools: Predicting academic achievement in college admissions.

Rijksuniversiteit Groningen.

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Propositions

belonging to the dissertation

New Rules, New Tools:

Predicting Academic Achievement in College Admissions

A. Susan M. Niessen

1. When assessment is used for college admission, curriculum-sampling methods should be preferred over other methods.

2. College admission decisions based on predictors that are not empirically validated are unethical.

3. In high-stakes testing, the use of easily fakeable instruments leads to unfair selection decisions.

4. We should take stakeholder opinions into account when designing admission procedures.

5. The benefits of admission through assessment over lottery admission are often exaggerated.

6. Explaining performance in terms of psychological constructs can offer useful insights, but is not necessary for performance prediction.

7. Heterogeneous criteria need heterogeneous predictors.

8. Paul Meehl’s (1954) book on clinical versus statistical prediction is a must-read for everyone involved in making selection decisions – and for everyone else who makes decisions.

9. In college admissions, the biggest challenge is not to investigate what works, but to convince administrators and admission officers to use what works in practice.

10. One way to look at science is as a system that corrects for people’s natural inclinations. – E. Kolbert, 2017.

11. [When it comes to prediction], the whole trick is to decide what variables to look at and then to know how to add. – R. M. Dawes & B. Corrigan, 1974.

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