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Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook

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Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook February 7 – 13, 2019

A lack of rainfall over the past recent weeks has resulted in abnormal dryness in northern Hispaniola.

During the past week, suppressed but marginal weather conditions were observed over Hispaniola. However, local coastal areas of southern Haiti and eastern and southern Dominican Republic registered little rainfall. Although the Island does not typically receive a large quantity of rainfall during January, cumulative rainfall since early January to present fell below-average to the north, according to the CPC Unified data. Moreover, since December of the past year, insufficient rainfall was registered across Hispaniola, particularly southern Haiti and the northern and eastern parts of the Dominican Republic. This lack of rainfall might have already negatively affected the Fall season cropping activities over many local areas. For instance, vegetation conditions, indicated by remotely-sensed products showed degraded and well below- average conditions over portions of northern Dominican Republic. During the next outlook period, rainfall forecasts suggest near-average rainfall pattern, with little rainfall across Hispaniola. However, the central mountainous region and eastern Dominican Republic could experience light to locally moderate rainfall. The continuation of limited rainfall over the upcoming weeks may sustain dryness over many local areas.

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