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University of Groningen

Challenges in prenatal screening and diagnosis in the Netherlands

Bakker, Merel

IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from it. Please check the document version below.

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Publication date: 2017

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Bakker, M. (2017). Challenges in prenatal screening and diagnosis in the Netherlands. Rijksuniversiteit Groningen.

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Challenges in

Prenatal Screening

and Diagnosis

in the Netherlands

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Proefschrift

ter verkrijging van de graad van doctor

aan de Rijksuniversiteit Groningen

op gezag van

de rector magnificus, prof.dr. E. Sterken

en volgens besluit van het College voor Promoties.

De openbare verdediging zal plaatsvinden op

maandag 6 februari 2017 om 14.30 uur.

door

Merel Bakker

geboren op 10 augustus 1981

te Purmerend

Challenges in

Prenatal Screening

and Diagnosis

in the Netherlands

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Promotor Prof. dr. C. M. Bilardo Copromotor Dr. E. Birnie Beoordelingscommissie Prof. dr. S. A. Scherjon Prof. dr. A. Ranchor Prof. dr. I. M. van Langen Prof. dr. O. B. Petersen

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For Science

Per la Scienza

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Colofon

Bakker, M.

Challenges in Prenatal Screening and Diagnosis in the Netherlands Dissertation University of Groningen

ISBN: 978-90-367-9297-4 (printed version) ISBN: 978-90-367-9296-7 (electronic version)

© 2016 M. Bakker. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, mechanically, by photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the written permission of the author. Design and lay-out: Niels de Rijk

Idea cover design: Merel Bakker (with premitted use of a photo made by Steven O’Connor MD, Pathologist Houston, Texas, USA) Printing: Ipskamp drukkers

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chapter 1 General introduction

chapter 2 Low uptake of the combined test in the Netherlands – which

factors contribute?

Prenatal Diagnosis 2012 Dec; 32(13): 1305-12

chapter 3 Intra- and inter-operator reliability of manual and semiautomated

measurement of fetal nuchal translucency: a cross-sectional study Prenatal Diagnosis 2013 Dec; 33(13): 1264-71

chapter 4 Total pregnancy loss after chorionic villus sampling and

amnio-centesis in the Netherlands: a cohort study

Ultrasound Obstetrics & Gynecology. 2016 Jun 3. doi: 10.1002/uog.15986. [Epub ahead of print]

chapter 5 Increased nuchal translucency with normal karyotype and

anomaly scan: what next?

Best Practice & Research Clinical Obstetrics & Gynaecology 2014 Apr; 28(3): 355-66.

chapter 6 Targeted ultrasound examination and DNA testing for Noonan

syndrome, in fetuses with increased nuchal translucency and normal karyotype

Prenatal Diagnosis 2011 Sep; 31(9): 833-40

chapter 7 Prenasal thickness, prefrontal space ratio and other facial profile

markers in first trimester fetuses with aneuploidies, cleft palate and micrognathia

Fetal Diagnosis & Therapy, 2016 Nov 18. [Epub ahead of print]

chapter 8 Is 3D technique superior to 2D in Down syndrome screening?

Evaluation of six second and third trimester fetal profile markers Prenatal Diagnosis 2015 Mar; 35(3): 207-13.

chapter 9 General discussion and future perspectives chapter 10 English summary

Dutch summary

Appendix Abstracts

List of Publications Research Institute SHARE Curriculum Vitae Dankwoord 11 25 37 49 67 83 97 109 123 136 138 142 147 149 151 152

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General introduction

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1

General introduction

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General introduction

M. Bakker

Prenatal screening in the Netherlands:

Introduction of a national screenings program

“Pregnancy care” consists of care around pregnancy and birth, starting already from the preconception period. During pregnancy future parents can opt for prenatal screening in order to let assess the risk of congenital anomalies in their fetus. A distinction should be made between prenatal screening in a low risk population and prenatal diagnosis in a high risk population. Prenatal screening does not give a definitive diagnosis but it gives an estimate of the probability that a fetal anomaly will be present. In contrast, prenatal diagnosis confirms or excludes the suspected problem in a pregnancy. Pregnant women may opt for prenatal diagnosis because in case of specific congenital anomalies (e.g. heart anomalies) it can be beneficial for the child to be born in a tertiary center, where postnatal care can be optimized for the baby. Alternatively, in case of congenital anoma-lies parents have the option of termination of the pregnancy.

In the Netherlands the national prenatal screenings program was introduced in Janu-ary 2007. This includes the combined test (CT) which is on average performed at around 12-13 weeks of gestation and the structural anomaly scan performed at around 20 weeks of gestation. As a consequence all pregnant women are nowadays asked during antenatal visit by their caregiver if they want to be informed about prenatal screening. Only if they opt to be informed they will be counseled by their midwife or gynaecologist, or rarely by the general practitioner. This set-up was chosen to guarantee the right of ‘not to know’. Based on the information provided, parents are expected to be able to make an informed choice on whether or not they want to opt for prenatal screening (RIVM).1

The 20 week anomaly scan was officially introduced as screening for neural tube de-fects, although women are informed beforehand that other structural anomalies can also be encountered.2 The uptake of this scan is high, more than 95 percent, which is

compa-rable to other European countries (RIVM 2011).

The CT is based on the measurement of the fetal nuchal translucency (NT, see Figure 1), maternal age and maternal serum markers (ß-HCG and PAPP-A) and has a detection rate of about 90% for a false positive rate of 5%.3,4,5,6-8 The CT was introduced initially as

risk-assessment for trisomy 21 only, but from May 2010 the screening was extended to include also trisomy 13 and 18.3 During this scan, besides chromosomal abnormalities,

non-chromosomal abnormalities can be found. Women/couples are not systematically informed about the possibility of finding structural abnormalities at the time of the CT. Nor are they informed that an enlarged NT can also be associated with structural abnor-malities, especially cardiac defects.

In contrast to the 20 week anomaly scan, the uptake of the CT in the Netherlands is low, around 25-30% and this varies among different regions. The CT uptake in recent years is even lower than the uptake of invasive prenatal diagnosis in women aged 36 or older before the national screenings program was introduced.9,10 A study performed in

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the Netherlands before the advent of the national screening program and involving the offer of NT screening free of charge to pregnant women attending a number of commu-nity midwife practices, showed a much higher uptake of the CT i.e. 86%. The large major-ity of women, including those who declined the offer, were in favor of its standard offer.9

At the start of the national screenings program an age-related reimbursement policy was introduced for the CT: women aged 36 years and older had free access to the test whilst younger women had to pay approximately 150 euros. In contrast, all women had and still have free access to the structural anomaly scan. After a plea of professional orga-nizations to abolish this age-related access to prenatal screening, all women now have to pay for the CT.

The nuchal translucency plays an important role in prenatal screening. It consists of a subcutaneous accumulation of fluid behind the neck of the fetus and is generally visible by ultrasound between 11 and 14 weeks of gestation. The NT is part of normal develop-ment and its size is influenced by gestational age.11 It is considered abnormal only when

it exceeds a certain cut-off.3 Many different definitions and cut-offs for an increased NT

have been used in the past.12 Although debate continues as to which cut-off should be

used to offer further ultrasound investigation, the 95th or the 99th centile. Currently the second one (3.5 mm) is considered as an ultrasound abnormality. Measurement of the nuchal translucency is performed by certified and skilled sonographers, but it still remains a difficult measurement to perform accurately.13,14 To further improve the

detec-tion rate of trisomies, but especially to lower the false positive rate, the ductus venosus, tricuspid valve Doppler and the nasal bone were added in (1998-2001) as additional markers to the combined test.15-23

Once a high risk of a trisomy is found after the combined test (>1:200) or when there is suspicion of a structural anomaly, women are counseled for prenatal diagnosis. Whether or not they opt for prenatal diagnosis depends for most women on the procedure related risk.24

Figure 1 — Nuchal Translucency (NT)

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1. LOW UPTAKE OF THE COMBINED TEST

Although the CT is offered to all the women in the Netherlands, its uptake is low, and varies among different regions, suggesting that possible cultural differences in attitude

towards Down syndrome and termination of pregnancy (TOP) may play a role.9,10,25

Furthermore, the difference in uptake in comparison with other European countries with a national screening program, such as Denmark (>90%) or with regional screening policies such as England and France (88%)26-29 is striking. In contrast to other

screen-ing policies, the aim of the Dutch prenatal screenscreen-ing is not to reach the highest uptake as possible, but to make sure that future parents make an informed decision regarding screening. So it is important to find out what possible reasons are for the low uptake of the CT in the Netherlands.

2. IMPROVING THE QUALITY OF THE NUCHAL TRANSLUCENCY MEASUREMENT

The NT is the most effective marker of trisomy 21 and is able to detect about 75-80% of the affected fetuses for a false positive rate of about 3-5%.6,7 Moreover, an enlarged NT

is associated with other chromosomal anomalies, genetic syndromes and structural anomalies.30 It is therefore important that the NT is measured precisely. The Fetal

Medi-cine Foundation (FMF) has developed international guidelines to promote a standardized measurement technique aimed at obtaining accurate manual NT measurements. Aim of the guideline is to achieve uniformity among different operators and guarantee a valid risk assessment.31 However, the acquirement of the correct midsagittal plane, the

selec-tion of the area containing the maximum NT and the placement of the calipers are still prone to error with the manual technique, which may compromise the performance of screening.13,14,32 Quality control programs performed in the setting of prenatal screening

indicate that some sonographers tend to underestimate the NT-measurements, probably trying unconsciously to avoid unfavorable risk assessment results. In this respect the introduction of a technical tool aimed at standardizing the NT measurement may reduce such a measurement error. In order to minimize variability in the measurement of the NT, a semi-automated NT measurement has been developed recently (sono-NT, GE Medi-cal Systems). Standardization through semi-automated measurement is thought to lower the standard deviation (SD) of the distribution of NT measurements, increase its preci-sion, and enhance the correct discrimination of normal from trisomic fetuses, especially when the operators are less experienced.33-35,36 However, it is not yet evaluated if possible

differences between the manual and semi-automated measurements are not only signifi-cant in terms of precision but also in terms of changing the individual risk status.

3. COUNSELING REGARDING THE RISK OF MISCARRIAGE AFTER INVASIVE PROCEDURES

Once an increased risk or an increased nuchal translucency is found during the com-bined test, women are counseled on the possibility of prenatal diagnostics. About 20-30% of the fetuses with an increased risk at the CT has a chromosomal abnormality.37 When

the NT is increased the presence of an abnormal karyotype varies from approximately 7% for a NT between the 95th and 99th centile (3.5 mm), to 20% for a NT of 3.5-4.4 mm, 50% for a NT of 5.5-6.4 mm, and 75% for a NT of 8.5 mm or more.37

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After an increased risk parents are counseled and offered invasive prenatal diagnosis. One of the factors influencing women’s decision to opt for or decline chorionic villus sampling (CVS) or amniocentesis (AP) is the procedure related risk.24 Estimates of procedure related

fetal loss rates differ considerably in literature, varying from 0.5% to 1.0% or even more, for both CVS and AP.38-52 Most of these studies are cohort studies, have mixed populations

and are not recent. There are only a few randomized (controlled) trials. Tabor et al com-pared women undergoing an AP with a control group, showing a 1% higher fetal loss rate in women undergoing midtrimester amniocentesis.43 The fetal loss rate (FLR) following

CVS has never been compared in a randomized controlled trial (RCT) with a control group. The FLR of CVS has been compared to AP in a RCT and the procedure related risk was found comparable.42,44,48,53 When parents are counseled regarding the procedure related

risk of CVS or AP, most often 1% (or 1:100) is quoted according to the study of Tabor et al.54

It remains a challenge to estimate and report realistic valid risk figures from ‘real life’ cohort studies, taking into account all variables that influence the procedure related FLR. Furthermore, some of the above mentioned studies were performed a while ago at a time when ultrasound systems were less advanced and techniques and training in invasive procedures less standardized. A recent meta-analysis showed that accurate estimates of procedure-related risks following invasive procedures in the current clinical settings are lacking.55 Many experts believe that procedure related risks need reevaluation.56 Our

national guideline published in 2000 quotes a procedure related risks of 0.5% for CVS and 0.3% for AP, and these numbers are based on an Cochrane article from 1998, which is withdrawn, and an article based on a statistical model from 1991.57,58 Recent numbers for

the Netherlands are lacking.54 These numbers are important in order to prevent

discrep-ancies in information given to patients among different centers.

4. COUNSELING OF PARENTS AFTER AN ENLARGED NT

When after an increased nuchal translucency, the karyotype appears to be normal this cannot be regarded as a complete reassurance, as far as the final outcome of the pregnan-cy is concerned. This is especially the case in fetuses where the NT is severely increased. At present, after exclusion of chromosomal aberrations, the most challenging part of managing pregnancies with an increased NT is to establish an adequate diagnostic work-up and provide parents with realistic and correct information about outcome, especially long term neurological outcome.59-69

Our study group has investigated at length the associations between an enlarged NT and poor pregnancy outcome with the aim of correctly informing women on the associa-tions and on the predictors of poor or favorable outcome, given an enlarged NT (like sex-related-differences, impact of the size of the enlarged NT, other anomalies present be-sides the enlarged NT, and the possibility of an underlying genetic syndrome).9,11,23,59,70-86

There is a long and still growing list of genetic syndromes presenting with increased NT.60,72 Among the genetic syndromes the most frequently reported in combination with

an increased NT is Noonan syndrome (NS), with an incidence ranging from 2-6%. 65,69,87

NS is an autosomal dominant disorder caused in approximately 50% of the cases by a

missense mutation in the PTPN11 gene on chromosome 12.88 Mutations in the SOS1-,

RAF1-, KRAS-, BRAF-, MAP2K1/2-, NRAS- and SHOC2-genes account for a smaller percent-age of NS cases.89 In some clinically diagnosed NS cases the genetic background is still

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unknown. Clinical diagnosis of Noonan syndrome is often challenging because of the great variability in clinical characteristics.90,91 The main facial characteristics are

hyper-telorism, downslanting palpebral fissures, epicanthic fold, ptosis and low set posteriorly angulated ears. The most common cardiovascular defects are pulmonary valve stenosis and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Other phenotypic characteristics are short stature, broad or webbed neck and chest deformity. Associated pathologies are haematological disorders (bleeding diathesis, juvenile myelomonocytic leukemia), lymphatic vessel dys-plasias, deafness and cryptorchidism. Affected individuals show a wide range in level of intelligence, with mental retardation being present in 15-35%, usually in the mild range and mainly consisting of specific visual-constructional problems and verbal perfor-mance discrepancy.91,92

The use of 3D rendering of the fetal face in case of (subtle) anomalies after an increased NT and normal karyotype could be a valuable tool in the prenatal detection of fetuses with NS, since the facial characteristics may be even more pronounced prenatally than postnatally.

A protocol for the management of pregnancies complicated by an increased NT to aid doctors in the prenatal follow-up of a fetus with an enlarged NT and a normal karyotype, especially to increase the prenatal detection rate of Noonan syndrome the most fre-quently encountered genetic syndrome, is still lacking.

5. FACIAL MARKERS IN THE FIRST TRIMESTER AND THEIR RELATIONSHIP WITH ANEUPLOIDIES AND OTHER FORMS OF ABNORMAL DEVELOPMENT

Assessment of the fetal face in the second trimester of pregnancy has become an impor-tant part of fetal evaluation, not only for the detection of facial anomalies but also in the setting of screening for trisomies, especially trisomy 21. Established second trimester profile markers for trisomies are the nasal bone length (NBL), the prenasal thickness (PNT), the ratio between the NBL and PNT and more recently the prefrontal space ratio (PFSR).22,93-95 Other second trimester profile parameters, e.g. the profile line (FP line) and

maxilla-nasion-mandible angle (MNM-angle), have been studied as markers for facial anomalies including profile alterations in case of aneuploidies.96-99 These are proven

reproducible markers for the diagnosis of retrognathia, maxillary alveolar ridge inter-ruption, sloping forehead, frontal bossing and flat profile. Reference values for most of these markers are available for the second trimester, however it has not yet been tried to see whether these markers can be measured in the first trimester and more importantly what their clinical significance would be.

The frontomaxillary facial angle (FMF-angle) and the NBL have been introduced in the first trimester to improve screening algorithms for trisomies and to improve detection rates and decrease false positive rates.16,17,100,101 Measurement of the PNT, PNT/ NBL ratio,

MNM-angle, FP line and PFSR in the first trimester could possibly further improve the detection of trisomies and/or facial abnormalities early in pregnancy.

Despite the rapid availability of cell free fetal DNA (cffDNA) as screening test for tri-somies, the CT is still the standard of care in the majority of countries. Further improve-ment of detection of trisomies is still valuable in case cffDNA is not performed or when it is performed as second tier test and to enhance the first trimester detection of struc-tural anomalies which are not trisomy related.

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6. ANEUPLOIDIES AND FACIAL MARKERS IN THE SECOND TRIMESTER

Specific facial profile features of Down syndrome fetuses have been investigated and used as second and third trimester markers.22,94-99,102-105 The nasal bone length (NBL) was

the first to be extensively investigated, followed by the prenasal thickness (PT). Recent studies have shown that the ratio between these two markers (PT-NBL ratio) and the pre-frontal space ratio (PFSR) yields an even better detection rate.94,105 Furthermore, we have

previously investigated the maxilla-nasion-mandible (MNM) angle and fetal profile (FP) line in both euploid and pathological cases.97-99,106

Several studies have compared 2D and 3D US imaging during gestation and suggested 3D to be superior by allowing a better identification of anatomical landmarks, a higher ac-curacy and reproducibility in measurements of structures in the fetal face and profile, in-cluding the NBL. In a previous study, it was shown that 2D images judged to be midsagittal in fact are not and need 3D multiplanar correction of in average 11.9 (Y-axis) - 4.3 (Z-axis) degrees to become truly midsagittal.102 Clear landmarks to identify the exact midsagittal

plane are missing when only 2D imaging is used, making it difficult to be absolutely sure to be in the exact midsagittal plane.102 However, it is not clear whether addition of 3D

im-aging in a clinical setting 3D improves the detection rate when compared to 2D.

Aims of thesis

This thesis was designed to fill some of the gaps in knowledge that counselors, sonogra-phers and clinicians encounter in their daily practice when dealing with prenatal screen-ing and diagnosis. In view of the above mentioned clinical problems, we summarize the research questions as follows:

Why has the introduction of a national policy of first trimester prenatal screening for chromosomal anomalies been so poorly utilized by pregnant women and their part-ners and what are the factors affecting the uptake of the CT in the Netherlands?

One of the factors mentioned by women declining the CT is that the NT measurement

is not accurate and this influences the reliability of the risk assessment. Quality con-trols have indicated that some sonographers tend to underestimate the NT-measure-ments. In this respect the introduction of a technical tool aimed at standardizing the way the NT is measured may reduce such a bias. The following question was therefore: can the NT-measurement be improved by a semi-automated measurement?

One of the major determinants of a negative attitude towards the CT in the Nether-lands is the fear, in case on an increased risk, of having to undergo an invasive proce-dure that may lead to an iatrogenic abortion. We felt the need to redefine the actual risk of invasive procedures in a Dutch population since recent studies on this subject are in fact still missing. The investigated issues were: what is the total fetal loss rate and procedure-related risk for CVS and AP in the Dutch setting, and which maternal-, operator-, and procedure-related risk factors can be identified?

At present the most challenging part of managing pregnancies with an increased NT, after exclusion of chromosomal aberrations, is to establish an adequate diagnostic work-up and provide parents with realistic and correct information about outcome,

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es-pecially long term neurological outcome in absence of structural anomalies. Therefore the study aim was: what are various aspects that should be investigated in the setting of an increased NT?

As Noonan syndrome is the most frequently observed genetic syndrome in fetuses

with an enlarged NT and normal karyotype, and, considering the diagnosis of this con-dition can be challenging: which ultrasound characteristics can guide us in the prena-tal diagnosis of Noonan syndrome?

Ultrasound measurement of facial markers has an increasingly important role in sec-ond trimester risk assessment and in the work-up of other facial anomalies, such as micrognathia. We wanted to investigate if these measurements can also be performed reliably in the first trimester of pregnancy. Therefore the next issue we have investi-gated was: can the PNT/NBL-ratio, MNM angle, FP line and PFSR already be measured in the first trimester of pregnancy? Are these measurements also useful markers of an abnormal development when measured in abnormal fetuses in the first trimester of pregnancy?

The last question we wanted to answer was whether in the application of these facial markers at second trimester of pregnancy, 3D technique has an additional value with respect to the standard use of 2D technique. The question was therefore: is use of 3D technique superior to 2D technique when measuring the NB, PNT, FP line, MNM-an-gle, PNT/NB-ratio and PFSR, in Down syndrome screening?

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26. Seror V., Ville Y. Prenatal screening for Down syndrome: women's involvement in decision-making and their attitudes to screening. Prenat Diagn 2009 Feb; 29(2): 120-128.

27. Ekelund C. K., Petersen O. B., Skibsted L., Kjaergaard S., Vogel I., Tabor A., Danish Fetal Medicine Research Group. First-trimester screening for trisomy 21 in Denmark: impli-cations for detection and birth rates of tri-somy 18 and tritri-somy 13. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2011 Aug; 38(2): 140-144.

28. Rowe R., Puddicombe D., Hockley C., Redshaw M. Offer and uptake of prenatal screening for Down syndrome in women from different social and ethnic back-grounds. Prenat Diagn 2008 Dec; 28(13): 1245-1250.

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2

Low uptake of the combined

test in the Netherlands –

which factors contribute?

M. Bakker 1

E. Birnie 1,4

E. Pajkrt 2

C. M. Bilardo 1

R. J. M. Snijders 3 1 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Fetal Medicine Unit,

University Medical Centre, Groningen, the Netherlands.

2 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Fetal Medicine Unit,

Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

3 Prenatal Screening Foundation Northeast Netherlands, University

Medical Centre, Groningen, the Netherlands.

4 Department of Genetics, University Medical Centre Groningen,

University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands. Published in Prenatal Diagnosis 2012; 32, 1305-1312.

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Low uptake of the combined test in the Netherlands

– which factors contribute?

M. Bakker1, E. Birnie1,4, E. Pajkrt2, C. M. Bilardo1 and R. J. M. Snijders3

1 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Fetal Medicine Unit, University

Medical Centre, Groningen, the Netherlands.

2 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Fetal Medicine Unit, Academic

Medical Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

3 Prenatal Screening Foundation Northeast Netherlands, University Medical

Centre, Groningen, the Netherlands.

4 Department of Genetics, University Medical Centre Groningen, University

of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.

Objective:

Objective The aim of this study was to evaluate which of the following fac-tors affect the uptake of the combined test (CT) in the Netherlands: women’s socio-demographic background, attitude towards Down syndrome, attitude to-wards termination of pregnancy, coun-seling process, reimbursement policy, and knowledge on the aim of the CT. Methods:

Cross-sectional survey in the Northwest (NW) and the Northeast (NE) region of the Netherlands.

Results:

Analyses were based on 820 question-naires (73% response rate). Women from the NW region opted more often for the CT than women from the NE

region (52.1% and 16.5%, respectively,

p < 0.001). Women of 36 years and older

opted more often for the CT than young-er women (59.4% and 28.2%, respec-tively, p < 0.001). Women’s socio-demo-graphic background and their attitude towards Down syndrome and termina-tion of pregnancy (TOP) had contributed independently on CT choice.

Conclusion:

The uptake of the CT in this study is low. The main reason for the low uptake is the relatively positive attitude towards Down syndrome and a negative attitude towards TOP. Moreover, the perception of maternal age as strong predictor of Down syndrome risk and the inequal-ity of access to care, due to the financial threshold for younger women, are likely to affect participation in screening.

Introduction

The aim of the combined test (CT) is to identify fetuses with an increased risk for Down syndrome, thus offering parents the possibility to opt for invasive prenatal diagnosis. In case of an affected pregnancy, parents can opt for termination of pregnancy (TOP) or pre-pare themselves for the birth of a child with Down syndrome.

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the aim to ask all pregnant women if they want to be informed about prenatal screening. If a woman wants to receive information, she is counseled by her healthcare profession-al, and on the basis of the information provided, she decides whether or not she wants to opt for screening. The Dutch Department of Health has introduced an age-related system for reimbursement of the CT; women aged 36 years and older have free access to the test, whereas younger women have to pay approximately 150 euros. If women of 36 years and older decline screening, they can still opt for prenatal diagnosis based on their age. Before 2007, the CT was offered in the Netherlands in research settings with uptake rates ranging from 53% to 86%.1,2 An important incentive for the present study was the

observation that since the start of the national screening program the uptake of the CT is low and lower than in the past, with pronounced regional differences.3,1,2 The aim of

this study was to evaluate which of the following factors affects the uptake of the CT in the Netherlands: women’s sociodemographic background, attitude towards Down syn-drome, attitude towards termination of pregnancy, counseling process, reimbursement policy, and knowledge on the aim of the CT.

Methods

DESIGN

Between March and April 2010, a cross-sectional survey was conducted at 13 ultrasound clinics in the Northwest (NW) and Northeast (NE) of the Netherlands to investigate the uptake of the CT. All pregnant women who attended the ultrasound center received an information letter and a questionnaire about the CT. The questionnaires were distrib-uted at the time of the 20-week anomaly scan to ensure that knowledge on the outcome of prenatal diagnosis would not bias women’s opinions on the CT in retrospect.

STUDY INSTRUMENT

The questionnaire used in the present study was based on a questionnaire developed in France by Seror et al.,4 addressing women’s attitudes and decisions on screening for

Down syndrome.

Our questionnaire included four sections with a total of 53 questions (see supporting information). The first section (six questions) contained questions regarding the dating scan in this pregnancy. The second section (23 questions) addressed the counseling and reasons for accepting or declining the CT. The third section (eight questions) assessed whether or not women opted for prenatal diagnosis. The final section contained ques-tions about women’s socio-demographic characteristics, attitude towards termination of pregnancy and costs of the first trimester scan. The following demographic variables were included as follows: age, parity, educational level, income status, region, and ethnicity.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

To compare differences in categorical variables between women who opted for the CT and those who declined, the X2 test (or Fisher’s Exact Test, if appropriate) was used. To

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compare differences in continuous variables between these groups, the student’s t-test was used. Comparison by age was performed because only women aged 36 years and older receive reimbursement for the CT. Comparison by region was performed because differences between regions may reflect differences in determinants or uptake.

Associations between single co-variables and women’s decision to accept or decline the CT were assessed by univariate binary logistic regression and expressed in odds ra-tios (ORs, 95% confidence intervals). Next, multiple binary logistic regression analysis with stepwise backward conditional inclusion of variables was performed to evaluate the adjusted impact of co-variables. Correlations and stratified tables were used to check for confounding and interaction (income education). Multiple logistic regressions were redone accordingly, taking confounding and interaction into account.

To study the relative impact of co-variables on women’s decision, we distinguished six blocks of determinants: patient characteristics, women’s opinions and attitudes, care characteristics, decision making and women’s knowledge, reimbursement policy, and region. The relative impact of each block was evaluated by adding blocks of variables suc-cessively to the multiple binary logistic regression, and the change in 2 log likelihood

Table 1 — Socio-demographic characteristics of women opting for or declining the combined test (CT)

¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ CT ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ Variables No N(%) Yes N(%) p Age:   ≤29 307 (55.1) 86 (32.7) 30-35 209 (37.5) 117 (44.5)   ≥36 41 (7.4) 60 (22.8) <0.001 Education: Low 57 (10.4) 25 (9.6) Middle 250 (45.5) 100 (38.3) High 243 (44.2) 136 (52.1) 0.101 Income: <1500 euros 43 (8.1) 18 (7.2) 1500-3500 euros 375 (71.0) 129 (51.8) >3500 euros 110 (20.8) 102 (41.0) <0.001 Parity: Primiparous 271 (48.7) 119 (45.2) Multiparous 286 (51.3) 144 (54.8) 0.370 Etnicity: Caucasian 385 (83.9) 199 (84.0) Non-Caucasian 74 (16.1) 38 (16.0) >0.99 Religion: Important 163 (29.7) 44 (16.8) Not important 386 (70.3) 218 (83.2) <0.001 Region: Northeast 385 (69.1) 76 (28.9) Northwest 172 (30.9) 187 (71.1) <0.001

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Table 2 — Information provided on the combined test (CT)

¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ CT ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬

Information provided No N(%) Yes N(%) p Who discussed the possibility of the CT with you

General physician 14 (2.6) 2 (0.3) Midwife 444 (83.9) 192 (73.3) Gynecologist 48 (9.1) 40 (15.3) Sonographer 8 (1.5) 11 (4.2)

Searched autonomously for information 15 (2.8) 17 (6.5) <0.001

Was the amount of information enough

Too much information 5 (0.9) 1 (0.4) Enough information 515 (95.9) 253 (96.2)

Too little information 17 (3.2) 9 (3.4) 0.756

Did you get written information in addition to oral information

  Yes, a leaflet on Down syndrome screening 430 (80.7) 230 (87.5) Yes, information on the Decision Aid on the internet 16 (3.0) 9 (3.4)

No, I did not receive any written information 87 (16.3) 24 (9.1) <0.022

Would you prefer to receive the written information before or after counseling

Before 213 (40.2) 159 (60.5) After 216 (40.8) 33 (12.5)

I do not know 101 (19.1) 71 (27) <0.001

was evaluated and the proportion of cases correctly predicted.

Statistical significance was defined as p < 0.05 (two-sided). All statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS 17.0.0.

Results

A total of 837 (73.0%) of 1140 women returned the questionnaire. Analyses were based on 820 women; 17 questionnaires were excluded from analysis because women had already opted for prenatal diagnosis and were aware whether or not their child was affected at the time the questionnaire was filled out; nine of these women had declined, and eight women had opted for the CT. Table 1 shows that 263 (32.1%) participants opted for the CT. Acceptors were on average older than decliners: 31.4 and 29.0 years, respectively (p < 0.001). There were no significant age differences between the NW and NE regions. Most women were counseled by their midwife (N=636, 80.4%), and the first visit took usually place at 7 to 8 weeks of gestation (N=356, 43.8%). Besides oral information, 660 (82.9%) women received the leaflet on Down syndrome screening developed by the Dutch National Screening Board, and 25 (3.1%) women used the Decision Aid on the internet. A subgroup of 111 (13.9%) women reported not to have received any written information. Most women who opted for the CT preferred to receive the information before counseling (N=159, 60.5%) in contrast to 40.2% of women who declined (N=213) (p < 0.001). More women who declined the CT indicated that they did not receive any written information (N=87, 16.3%) than women who opted for the CT (N=24, 9.1%)

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(p < 0.022) (Table 2).

The vast majority of women reported to have made the decision on CT autonomously (N=648, 81.5%) and before the counseling had taken place (N=475, 59.9%). Women who opted for the CT more frequently reported having received a positive advice from the healthcare professional (N=33, 12.8%) than decliners (N=13, 2.5%) (p < 0.001). Similarly, women of 36 years and older were more frequently advised to opt for the CT (N=14, 14.6%) than younger women (N=31, 4.7%) (p < 0.002). The majority of women reported that it had been easy to decide whether or not to opt for prenatal screening (N=601, 75.4%). More acceptors found the decision easy (N=212, 81.2%) than decliners (N=389,

Table 3 — Reasons to opt for the combined test (CT) (multiple answers possible per participant)

Reasons to opt for the CT

Total acceptors = 263 Total answersN=425 <36 yearsanswers N(%) ≥36 yearsanswers N(%) p NE regionN(%) NW regionN(%) p

I want to know if there is an increased risk on Down syndrome

223 (84.8) 179 (88.2) 44 (73.3) 0.008 59 (77.6) 164 (87.7) 0.057

I will opt for all tests offered 26 (9.9) 25 (12.3) 1 (1.7) 0.013 6 (7.9) 20 (10.7) 0.649 I am of older age and I rather

opt for the CT than for an invasive procedure

61 (23.2) 16 (7.9) 45 (75.0) <0.001 25 (32.9) 36 (19.3) 0.024

I had the CT in previous

pregnancy 79 (30.0) 64 (31.5) 15 (25.0) 0.423 19 (25.0) 60 (32.1) 0.300 My midwife/family/friends

advised me to do the CT 14 (5.3) 7 (3.4) 7 (11.7) 0.021 2 (2.6) 12 (6.4) 0.363 Other reasons 22 (8.4) 18 (8.9) 4 (6.7) 0.792 5 (6.6) 17 (9.1) 0.627

NW = Northwest. NE = Northeast.

Table 4 — Reasons to decline the combined test (CT) (multiple answers possible per participant)

Reasons to decline the CT

Total decliners = 557 Total answersN=1101 <36 yearsanswers N(%) ≥36 yearsanswers N(%) p NE regionN(%) NW regionN(%) p

I am young and therefore

the test is unnecessary 191 (34.3) 189 (36.6) 2 (4.9) <0.001 134 (34.8) 57 (33.1) 0.772 I want to minimize testing

during this pregnancy 30 (5.4) 26 (5.0) 4 (9.8) 0.266 19 (4.9) 11 (6.4) 0.543 I think my risk on Down

syndrome is low 138 (24.8) 133 (25.8) 5 (12.2) 0.060 100 (26.0) 38 (22.1) 0.341 I do not want to make a

decision on TOP 123 (22.1) 111 (21.5) 12 (29.3) 0.245 80 (20.8) 43 (25.0) 0.271 Down syndrome is for me

no reason to terminate a pregnancy

321 (57.6) 292 (56.6) 29 (70.7) 0.100 236 (61.3) 85 (49.4) 0.009

The test does not give any

guarantees 16 (2.9) 14 (2.7) 2 (4.9) 0.332 11 (2.9) 5 (2.9) >0.99 I have the impression that

the test is not reliable 191 (34.3) 178 (34.5) 13 (31.7) 0.864 127 (33.0) 64 (37.2) 0.336 I found the test too expensive 37 (6.6) 37 (7.2) 0 (0) 0.099 20 (5.2) 17 (9.9) 0.044 Other reasons 54 (9.7) 51 (9.9) 3 (7.3) 0.786 31 (8.1) 23 (13.4) 0.062

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72.6%) (p=0.007). Decliners reported more often that they were unaware a decision was being made (N=105, 19.6%) than ac-ceptors (N=28, 10.7%) (p=0.007). Women from the NE region were more frequently unaware a decision was being made (N=87, 19.5%) in comparison to women from the NW region (N=46, 13.1%) (p=0.040). The reasons to opt for the CT are shown in Table 3. The main reason to opt for CT was to obtain an individualized risk assess-ment on Down syndrome (N=223, 84.8%). Women of 36 years and older opted more often for the CT than younger women be-cause others advised them to opt for the CT (N=7, 11.7% vs. N=7, 3.4%; p=0.021). In the NE region, older women more often opted for the CT to avoid an invasive procedure (N=25, 32.9%) than women from the NW region (N=36, 19.3%; p=0.024).

The main reason to decline the CT was that women would not consider TOP in case of Down syndrome (N=321, 57.6%) (Table 4). Younger women declined the CT more often than women of 36 years and older because they considered their age-related risk to be low (N=189, 36.6% vs. N=2, 4.9%; p < 0.001). Women from the NE region declined the CT more often because Down syndrome would not be a reason to consider TOP (N=236, 61.3% vs. N=85, 49.4%; p=0.009) and women from the NW more often declined the CT because they found it too expensive (N=17, 9.9% vs. N=20, 5.2%; p=0.044).

Acceptors of the CT would consider TOP in case of Down syndrome more often than decliners (Table 5). A subgroup of 210 (39.2%) women would consider a TOP in case of severe physical anomaly. Women from the NE region would consider TOP in case of Down syndrome less often than women from the NW region (N=46, 10.3% vs. N=108, 30.6%; p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in attitude towards TOP between the two age-groups.

Table 5 — Attitude towards termination of pregnancy

Attitude towards TOP

Combined test p <36 years answers N(%) ≥36  years answers N(%) p NE region N(%) NW region N(%) p No N(%) Yes N(%)

Consider termination of pregnancy in case of Down syndrome

30 (5.6) 124 (47.3) 131 (18.7) 23 (23.2) 46 (10.3) 108 (30.6)

Consider termination of pregnancy in case of severe structural anomaly

210 (39.2) 74 (28.2) 247 (35.3) 37 (27.4) 173 (38.9) 111 (31.4)

I did not think termination of pregnancy was an option

172 (32.1) 52 (19.8) 201 (28.8) 23 (23.2) 133 (29.9) 91 (25.8)

I will always carry to term

124 (23.1) 12 (4.6) <0.001 120 (17.2) 16 (16.2) 0.572 93 (20.9) 43 (12.2) <0.001

TOP = termination of pregnancy. NW = Northwest. NE = Northeast.

Table 3 — Reasons to opt for the combined test (CT) (multiple answers possible per participant)

Reasons to opt for the CT

Total acceptors = 263 Total answersN=425 <36 yearsanswers N(%) ≥36 yearsanswers N(%) p NE regionN(%) NW regionN(%) p

I want to know if there is an increased risk on Down syndrome

223 (84.8) 179 (88.2) 44 (73.3) 0.008 59 (77.6) 164 (87.7) 0.057

I will opt for all tests offered 26 (9.9) 25 (12.3) 1 (1.7) 0.013 6 (7.9) 20 (10.7) 0.649 I am of older age and I rather

opt for the CT than for an invasive procedure

61 (23.2) 16 (7.9) 45 (75.0) <0.001 25 (32.9) 36 (19.3) 0.024

I had the CT in previous

pregnancy 79 (30.0) 64 (31.5) 15 (25.0) 0.423 19 (25.0) 60 (32.1) 0.300 My midwife/family/friends

advised me to do the CT 14 (5.3) 7 (3.4) 7 (11.7) 0.021 2 (2.6) 12 (6.4) 0.363 Other reasons 22 (8.4) 18 (8.9) 4 (6.7) 0.792 5 (6.6) 17 (9.1) 0.627

NW = Northwest. NE = Northeast.

Table 4 — Reasons to decline the combined test (CT) (multiple answers possible per participant)

Reasons to decline the CT

Total decliners = 557 Total answersN=1101 <36 yearsanswers N(%) ≥36 yearsanswers N(%) p NE regionN(%) NW regionN(%) p

I am young and therefore

the test is unnecessary 191 (34.3) 189 (36.6) 2 (4.9) <0.001 134 (34.8) 57 (33.1) 0.772 I want to minimize testing

during this pregnancy 30 (5.4) 26 (5.0) 4 (9.8) 0.266 19 (4.9) 11 (6.4) 0.543 I think my risk on Down

syndrome is low 138 (24.8) 133 (25.8) 5 (12.2) 0.060 100 (26.0) 38 (22.1) 0.341 I do not want to make a

decision on TOP 123 (22.1) 111 (21.5) 12 (29.3) 0.245 80 (20.8) 43 (25.0) 0.271 Down syndrome is for me

no reason to terminate a pregnancy

321 (57.6) 292 (56.6) 29 (70.7) 0.100 236 (61.3) 85 (49.4) 0.009

The test does not give any

guarantees 16 (2.9) 14 (2.7) 2 (4.9) 0.332 11 (2.9) 5 (2.9) >0.99 I have the impression that

the test is not reliable 191 (34.3) 178 (34.5) 13 (31.7) 0.864 127 (33.0) 64 (37.2) 0.336 I found the test too expensive 37 (6.6) 37 (7.2) 0 (0) 0.099 20 (5.2) 17 (9.9) 0.044 Other reasons 54 (9.7) 51 (9.9) 3 (7.3) 0.786 31 (8.1) 23 (13.4) 0.062

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Table 6 — Univariate and multivariate analysis – which factors influence combined test (CT) choice

Univariate logistic regression Multiple logistic regression

Variables OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p

BLOCK 1 – socio-demographics Age:   ≤29 1 ¬ 1 ¬ 30-35 2.00 (1.44 – 2.78) <0.001 2.00 (1.17 – 3.35) 0.011   ≥36 5.22 (3.29 – 8.31) <0.001 5.61 (2.77 – 11.33) <0.001 Parity: Primiparous 1 ¬ Multiparous 1.15 (0.85 – 1.54) <0.362 Etnicity: Caucasian 1 ¬ Non-Caucasian 0.99 (0.65 – 1.52) 0.976 Education: Low 1 ¬ Middle 0.91 (0.54 – 1.54) 0.731 High 1.28 (0.76 – 2.14) 0.353 Income: <1500 1 ¬ 1 ¬ 1500-3500 0.82 (0.46 – 1.48) 0.511 1.52 (0.52 – 4.50) 0.447 >3500 2.2 (1.20 – 4.08) 0.011 2.56 (0.80 – 8.22) 0.114 Ever TOP: No 1 ¬ 1 ¬ Yes 3.25 (1.75 – 6.04) <0.001 1.81 (0.76 – 4.34) 0.183 BLOCK 2 – attitude Opinion TOP:

TOP in case of Down 1 ¬ 1 ¬ TOP in case of anomaly 0.09 (0.05 – 0.14) <0.001 0.14 (0.07 – 0.26) <0.001 Never thought about it 0.07 (0.04 – 0.12) <0.001 0.11 (0.06 – 0.22) <0.001 Always carry to term 0.02 (0.01 – 0.05) <0.001 0.04 (0.02 – 0.09) <0.001

Positive opinion on offer national screening:

No 1 ¬ I do not know 5.83 (0.64 – 52.90) 0.117 Yes 7.54 (0.99 – 57.43) 0.051 BLOCK 3 – counseling CT discussed by: Midwife 1 ¬ 1 ¬ Self 2.62 (1.28 – 5.40) 0.008 3.71 (1.07 – 12.84) 0.038 General physician 0.33 (0.07 – 1.50) 0.145 0.46 (0.04 – 5.83) 0.550 Gynecologist 1.93 (1.23 – 3.03) 0.004 1.18 (0.58 – 2.39) 0.653 Sonographer 3.20 (1.26 – 8.03) 0.014 6.47 (1.20 – 35.01) 0.030 CT information: Enough 1 ¬ Too much 0.41 (0.05 – 3.50) 0.413 Too little 1.08 (0.47 – 2.45) 0.858

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Table 6 (continued)

Univariate logistic regression Multiple logistic regression

Variables OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p Type of CT information:

No written information 1 ¬ 1 ¬   Official leaflet 1.94 (1.20 – 3.13) 0.007 3.12 (1.44 – 6.75) 0.004 Decision aid on internet 2.04 (0.80 – 5.19) 0.135 0.94 (0.19 – 4.65) 0.939

Timing of CT information:

Before counseling 1 ¬ 1 ¬

I do not know 0.44 (0.28 – 0.68) <0.001 0.42 (0.21 – 0.87) 0.019 After counseling 0.44 (0.31 – 0.62) <0.001 0.40 (0.24 – 0.67) <0.001

Advice from healthcare professional:

Informed choice 1 ¬ 1 ¬

Do not opt for CT 0.63 (0.20 – 0.1.93) 0.417 0.40 (0.09 – 1.77) 0.224 Opt for CT 5.58 (2.88 – 10.81) <0.001 14.97 (4.26 – 52.60) <0.001

Follow advice health care professional:

Decide without help 1 ¬ 1 ¬ Decide with help 0.88 (0.53 – 1.47) 0.624 0.53 (0.23 – 1.22) 0.141 Follow advice 1.96 (1.28 – 3.01) 0.002 1.72 (0.84 – 3.54) 0.136 BLOCK 4 – decision making

Decision difficulty:

Easy 1 ¬

Hard 0.92 (0.53 – 1.60) 0.759 Did not know a decision

was being made 0.49 (0.31 – 0.78) 0.002

Decision made:

Before counseling 1 ¬ 1

During counseling 0.78 (0.52 – 1.17) 0.226 1.43 (0.70 – 2.91) 0.323 After counseling 0.48 (0.33 – 0.72) <0.001 0.54 (0.30 – 0.95) 0.033 BLOCK 5 – costs and knowledge

Opinion on costs:

Alright to pay 1 ¬ 1 ¬

Only opt for CT in case

of reimbursement 0.26 (0.13 – 0.52) <0.001 0.29 (0.10 – 0.89) 0.030 Only opt for CT if cheaper 0.59 (0.35 – 0.99) 0.045 1.59 (0.75 – 3.35) 0.227

Knowledge on purpose of CT 1.28 (1.09 – 1.51) 0.003 BLOCK 6 – region

Region:

Northeast 1 ¬ 1 ¬

Northwest 5.51 (4.00 – 7.60) <0.001 4.86 (3.01 – 7.83) <0.001

Block 1: 2 log likelihood 739.009, correctly predicted 67.9%. Block 2: 2 log likelihood 618.411, correctly predicted 76.9%. Block 3: 2 log likelihood 547.756, correctly predicted 79.7%. Block 4: 2 log likelihood 542.302, correctly predicted 79.2%. Block 5: 2 log likelihood 534.612, correctly predicted 79.4%. Block 6: 2 log likelihood 489.050, correctly predicted 82.8%.

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