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Effectiveness and safety of medicines used in COPD patients Wang, Yuanyuan

DOI:

10.33612/diss.123921981

IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from it. Please check the document version below.

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Publication date: 2020

Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database

Citation for published version (APA):

Wang, Y. (2020). Effectiveness and safety of medicines used in COPD patients: pharmacoepidemiological studies. University of Groningen. https://doi.org/10.33612/diss.123921981

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Yuanyuan Wang

Tanja R. Zijp

Muh. Akbar Bahar

Janwillem W.H. Kocks

Bob Wilffert

Eelko Hak

with Stable COPD: A Systematic Review and

Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Published as: Wang Y, Zijp TR, Bahar MA, Kocks JWH, Wilffert B, Hak E. Effects of prophylactic antibiotics on patients with stable COPD: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. J Antimicrob Chemother. 2018;73(12):3231–3243.

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ABSTRACT

Background

As bacterial infections provoke exacerbations, COPD patients may benefit from prophylactic antibiotics. However, evidence regarding their overall benefit-risk is conflicting.

Objectives

To update previous evidence and systematically evaluate the beneficial and side effects of prophylactic antibiotics on stable COPD patients.

Methods

Several databases were searched up to April 26, 2017 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on prophylactic antibiotics in stable COPD patients. The Primary outcomes were exacerbations and quality of life. Duration and schedule of antibiotics were considered in sub-group analyses.

Results

Twelve RCTs involving 3,683 patients were included. Prophylactic antibiotics significantly reduced the frequency of exacerbations (risk ratio [RR] 0.74, 95% CI 0.60-0.92) and the number of patients with one or more exacerbations (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.74-0.90). Erythromycin and azithromycin appeared the most effective with the number needed to treat ranging from four to seven. Quality of life was also significantly improved by prophylactic antibiotics (mean difference -1.55, 95% CI -2.59 to -0.51). Time to first exacerbation was prolonged in six studies with one conflicting result. Neither the rate of hospitalization nor the rate of adverse events was significantly changed. Furthermore, no significant changes were observed in lung function, bacterial load and airway inflammation. However, antibiotic resistant isolates were significantly increased (OR 4.49, 95% CI 2.48-8.12).

Conclusions

Prophylactic antibiotics were effective in preventing COPD exacerbations and improving quality of life among stable patients with moderate to severe COPD. The choice of prophylactic antibiotics should be analysed and considered case by case, especially for long and continuous use.

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INTRODUCTION

COPD is an inflammatory disease that is characterized by persistent respiratory symptoms and airflow limitation.1 At present, COPD is one of the leading causes

of chronic morbidity and mortality worldwide, its burden is predicted to increase in the coming decades due to continuous exposure to risk factors and aging of population globally.2 In the course of COPD, exacerbation as an acute worsening of respiratory

symptoms has a profound negative impact on health oucomes.3 A vicious circle of

infection and inflammation is thought as a key to trigger exacerbations of COPD, about 40-50% of exacerbations are caused by bacteria.4

The use of prophylactic antibiotic has been suggested to prevent exacerbations in COPD patients for a long time. However, a Cochrane review in 2003 concluded that antibiotics only contribute to a small 9% reduction of exacerbations and should not be part of routine treatment considering the risk of antibiotic resistance and adverse effects.5 Ten

years later in 2013, the review by Herath et al. concluded a clinically significant benefit in reducing COPD exacerbations from continuous use of prophylactic antibiotics, but not from intermittent way due to only one randomized controlled trial (RCT) included in this subgroup.6 Influence of different duration of antibiotic intervention were not explored

in this study. The most recent review by Ni et al. in 2015 focused on macrolides only and did not evaluate meaningful outcomes including the time to first exacerbation, change of lung function, bacterial load and airway inflammation.7 The latter outcome is

important to support the hypothetical mechanism behind the reduction of exacerbations by antibiotics.8

Current recommendation from guidelines about prophylactic antibiotic use in the management of COPD exacerbations is conditional and unspecific.1,9 At present,

the optimal regimen of prophylactic antibiotics for exacerbations has not been well established, and there are no advices for an appropriate schedule and duration of specific antibiotic intervention. To further enhance information on the public health benefit-risk associated with this intervention, we here aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the positive and negative effects of prophylactic antibiotics on COPD patients.

METHODS

Search strategy

We performed an update of the previous review by Herath et al. in 20136 according

to the PRISMA guidelines. Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL, AMED and PsycINFO databases were systematically searched for relevant RCTs published from 29 August 2013 (when the review by Herath et al. ended) until 26 April 2017 using key elements of “COPD”,

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“RCT” and “antibiotics” (details are presented in Table S1). References from identified studies and relevant review articles were also checked manually. No language restrictions were applied. For the final analysis, we included both the new studies from this searching strategy and previous studies from the review by Herath et al.

Selection criteria

Studies included in this review met the following criteria: (1) focus on the effects of prophylactic antibiotics in COPD patients; (2) study designs must be RCTs with placebo group; (3) COPD patients should be aged over 18 years and with a well-defined diagnosis of COPD and confirmed evidence of persistent airflow limitation (the presence of a post-bronchodilator FEV1/FVC < 0.7); (4) prophylactic antibiotics must be given for a minimum period of 12 weeks; (5) patients must be clinically stable without exacerbation for at least three weeks before enrolment. Studies that focused on combined antibiotics (≥ 2) and studies of patients with other respiratory disease (e.g. bronchiectasis, asthma) or related genetic diseases such as cystic fibrosis and primary ciliary dyskinesia were excluded.

Outcomes and data analysis

The Primary outcomes were: number of patients with exacerbations; frequency of exacerbation; health-related quality of life assessed by the St Georges Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ).10 The Secondary outcomes were: the median time to first

exacerbation; frequency of hospitalization; all-cause mortality; adverse events; antibiotic resistance; change in lung functions, bacteria load and airway inflammation. The influence of different schedules and durations of prophylactic antibiotic use on exacerbations and quality of life in COPD patients were explored. For the missing of standard deviation of SGRQ score change in two studies,11,12 we calculated it according

to Cochrane guideline (see Supplement data). All analyses were done in accordance with the intention-to-treat principle using Review Manager Version 5.3. Risk ratio (RR) or OR was calculated for binary outcomes, while mean difference (MD) was for continuous outcomes. Generic inverse variance (GIV) methods were used for non-standard types of both dichotomous and continuous data. Summary measures were pooled using random-effects models. If data could not be combined, we performed a descriptive analysis. Statistical heterogeneity among studies was assessed using conventional chi-squared (X2, or Chi2) test and I2 statistic of inconsistency. Sensitivity analysis was performed by

removing studies with a high risk for bias or deviation. A funnel plot was used to assess publication bias.

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Figure 1. Flow diagram of literature search and study selection.

data). All analyses were done in accordance with the intention‐to‐treat principle using Review  Manager Version 5.3. Risk ratio (RR) or OR was calculated for binary outcomes, while mean  difference (MD) was for continuous outcomes. Generic inverse variance (GIV) methods were  used for non‐standard types of both dichotomous and continuous data. Summary measures  were pooled using random‐effects models. If data could not be combined, we performed a  descriptive analysis. Statistical heterogeneity among studies was assessed using conventional  chi‐squared  (X2,  or  Chi2)  test  and  I2  statistic  of  inconsistency.  Sensitivity  analysis  was 

Figure 1. Flow diagram of literature search and study selection.

RESULTS

Search results

From the 667 records generated by new search strategy, five new RCT studies were eligible and included (Figure 1). Together with the previous seven studies from the review by Herath et al.,6 a total of twelve RCTs were included for this systematic

review. However, of all twelve studies , one was a conference abstract,13 one was not

blinded,14 one did not report effect measures.15 In total, nine studies were qualified for

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Table 1. Characteristics of included studies. Studies (1st author, year) Study design Country Patients (T/P) Age (year) (T/P) FEV1/FVC ratio (%) (T/P) Prophylactic Antibiotics (dose) Duration of

treatment & follow up

(months) Maintenance medication Previous included studies

Albert, 2011 RCT US 570:572 65:66 42:43 Azithromycin, 250 mg daily 12 / 12 ICS, LABA, LAMA

He, 2010 RCT UK 18:18 68.8:69.3 46.9:48.6 Erythromycin, 125 mg, 3 times a day; 6 / 6 ICS,

Mygind, 2010 RCT Denmark 287:288 71 (Median) NA Azithromycin, 500 mg daily, 3 days a month 36 / 36 ICS, Theophylline, inhaled anticholinergic, inhaled β-adrenergic

Sethi, 2010 RCT US 569:580 66.1:66.6 45.0:46.3 Moxifloxacin, 400 mg daily, 5 days every 8 weeks

12 / 18 LABA, LAMA, SABA, SAMA,

ICS, theophylline;

Seemungal, 2008 RCT UK 53:56 66.6:67.8 48.9:50.9 Erythromycin, 250 mg twice daily 12 / 12 LABA, LAMA, theophylline

Banerjee, 2005 RCT UK 31:36 65.1:68.1 43.8:45.5 Clarithromycin, 500 mg once daily 3 / 3 ICS

Suzuki, 2001 RCT Japan 55:54 69.1:71.7 NA Erythromycin, 200-400 mg daily 12 / 12 Inhaled anticholinergic, theophylline

New included studies

*Brill, 2015 RCT UK (25:25:25):24 (70.9:70.4:67.9): 68.7 (51:51:45):51 T

1: Moxifloxacin, 400 mg, 5 times every 4 weeks;

T2: Doxycycline, 100 mg daily;

T3: Azithromycin, 250 mg, 3 times a week;

3.25 /3.25 ICS

Shafuddin, 2015 RCT New Zealand 97:94 67.6:66.7 41.5:43.7 Roxithromycin, 300 mg daily 3 / 12 Not available

Simpson, 2014 RCT Australia 15:15 71.7:69.9 52.3:51.3 Azithromycin, 250 mg daily 3 / 6 ICS

Uzun, 2014 RCT Netherlands 47:45 64.7:64.9 38.0:40.3 Azithromycin, 500 mg, 3 times a week 12 / 12 LABA, LAMA, SABA, ICS, Prednisolone

Berkhof, 2013 RCT Netherlands 42:42 67:68 42.2:43.2 Azithromycin, 250 mg, 3 times a week 3 / 4.5 LABA, LAMA, ICS

T/P: Treatment group versus Placebo group; ICS: inhaled corticosteroid; LABA: acting beta-2 agonists; LAMA: long-acting muscarinic antagonist; SABA: short-long-acting beta-2 agonists; SAMA: short-long-acting muscarinic antagonist; NA: data were not available; *This study designed

3 different treatment arms with one common placebo arm; †The study included 2 treatment arms, according to preset criteria, we only include the arm about single antibiotic use, the other arm in this study about combined antibiotic treatment is excluded;

Characteristics of included studies

The characteristics of twelve included studies are shown in Table 1, other specific baseline characteristics about COPD severity and exacerbation history were summarized in Table S2. All these studies were conducted over the last seventeen years involving 3,683 stable COPD patients, with 2932 patients involved in the meta-analysis. All included studies focused on one antibiotic arm with one placebo arm except the study by Brill et al.,16 which compared three antibiotics with one

common placebo and we treated this study as three independent RCTs (Trial 1-3: T1, T2, T3). In all, six antibiotics were investigated in this review: azithromycin,11,13,16-19

erythromycin,12,14,20 moxifloxacin,16,21 clarithromycin,15 roxithromycin22 and doxycycline.16

The duration of treatment ranged from 3 to 36 months with study size ranging from 30 to 1,149 patients.

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Table 1. Characteristics of included studies. Studies (1st author, year) Study design Country Patients (T/P) Age (year) (T/P) FEV1/FVC ratio (%) (T/P) Prophylactic Antibiotics (dose) Duration of

treatment & follow up

(months) Maintenance medication Previous included studies

Albert, 2011 RCT US 570:572 65:66 42:43 Azithromycin, 250 mg daily 12 / 12 ICS, LABA, LAMA

He, 2010 RCT UK 18:18 68.8:69.3 46.9:48.6 Erythromycin, 125 mg, 3 times a day; 6 / 6 ICS,

Mygind, 2010 RCT Denmark 287:288 71 (Median) NA Azithromycin, 500 mg daily, 3 days a month 36 / 36 ICS, Theophylline, inhaled anticholinergic, inhaled β-adrenergic

Sethi, 2010 RCT US 569:580 66.1:66.6 45.0:46.3 Moxifloxacin, 400 mg daily, 5 days every 8 weeks

12 / 18 LABA, LAMA, SABA, SAMA,

ICS, theophylline;

Seemungal, 2008 RCT UK 53:56 66.6:67.8 48.9:50.9 Erythromycin, 250 mg twice daily 12 / 12 LABA, LAMA, theophylline

Banerjee, 2005 RCT UK 31:36 65.1:68.1 43.8:45.5 Clarithromycin, 500 mg once daily 3 / 3 ICS

Suzuki, 2001 RCT Japan 55:54 69.1:71.7 NA Erythromycin, 200-400 mg daily 12 / 12 Inhaled anticholinergic, theophylline

New included studies

*Brill, 2015 RCT UK (25:25:25):24 (70.9:70.4:67.9): 68.7 (51:51:45):51 T

1: Moxifloxacin, 400 mg, 5 times every 4 weeks;

T2: Doxycycline, 100 mg daily;

T3: Azithromycin, 250 mg, 3 times a week;

3.25 /3.25 ICS

Shafuddin, 2015 RCT New Zealand 97:94 67.6:66.7 41.5:43.7 Roxithromycin, 300 mg daily 3 / 12 Not available

Simpson, 2014 RCT Australia 15:15 71.7:69.9 52.3:51.3 Azithromycin, 250 mg daily 3 / 6 ICS

Uzun, 2014 RCT Netherlands 47:45 64.7:64.9 38.0:40.3 Azithromycin, 500 mg, 3 times a week 12 / 12 LABA, LAMA, SABA, ICS, Prednisolone

Berkhof, 2013 RCT Netherlands 42:42 67:68 42.2:43.2 Azithromycin, 250 mg, 3 times a week 3 / 4.5 LABA, LAMA, ICS

T/P: Treatment group versus Placebo group; ICS: inhaled corticosteroid; LABA: acting beta-2 agonists; LAMA: long-acting muscarinic antagonist; SABA: short-long-acting beta-2 agonists; SAMA: short-long-acting muscarinic antagonist; NA: data were not available; *This study designed

3 different treatment arms with one common placebo arm; †The study included 2 treatment arms, according to preset criteria, we only include the arm about single antibiotic use, the other arm in this study about combined antibiotic treatment is excluded;

Quality assessment

The review authors’ judgment about each risk of bias item in each study can be seen in Figure S1.1. The risk of bias items presented as percentage across all included studies were presented in Figure S1.2. There was no reporting bias in all included studies; only 2 studies14,16 have potential high risk in the blinding process. For the remaining of bias

items, only a small proportion of unclear bias exists. Overall, low risk of bias dominates in all domains of bias.

Primary outcomes

Seven studies involving 2,642 participants11,12,17-21 reported the number of patients

with exacerbations (Figure 2), which was significantly reduced (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.74-0.90) by prophylactic antibiotics and there was no difference between continuous

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Chapter 2

significance  (p  =  0.07)  suggested  that  using  antibiotics    6  months  may  achieve  better  treatment effects (RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.40‐0.86) than longer time (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.77‐0.93),  which requires further confirmation. The risk difference (RD) between antibiotic and placebo  

Figure 2. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for total number of patients with 

one  or  more  exacerbations  stratified  by  (a)  schedule  of  prophylactic  antibiotics  and  (b)  duration of prophylactic antibiotics. M‐H: Mantel‐Haenszel; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. 

in 2013.

Figure 2. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for total number of patients with one or

more exacerbations stratified by (a) schedule of prophylactic antibiotics and (b) duration of prophylactic antibiotics. M-H: Mantel-Haenszel; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013.

and intermittent subgroups. However, the difference between other subgroups with a distinct trend toward significance (p = 0.07) suggested that using antibiotics ≤ 6 months may achieve better treatment effects (RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.40-0.86) than longer time (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.93), which requires further confirmation. The risk difference (RD) between antibiotic and placebo groups is presented in Figure 3, for erythromycin, the RD is substantial (RD -0.24, 95% CI -0.39 to -0.08), the corresponding number needed to treat (NNT) was 4; for azithromycin, the RD was moderate (RD -0.14, 95% CI -0.20 to -0.08), the NNT was 7; no statistically significant effect for moxifloxacin intervention.

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Figure 3. Forest plot of risk difference (antibiotics versus placebo) for total number of patients  with one or more exacerbations stratified by types of antibiotics. M‐H: Mantel‐Haenszel test;  *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013.  groups is presented in Figure 3, for erythromycin, the RD is substantial (RD ‐0.24, 95% CI ‐0.39  to ‐0.08), the corresponding number needed to treat (NNT) was 4; for azithromycin, the RD  was moderate (RD ‐0.14, 95% CI ‐0.20 to ‐0.08), the NNT was 7; no statistically significant effect  for moxifloxacin intervention.  Use of prophylactic antibiotic was also associated with a significant reduction in the frequency  of  exacerbations  (RR  0.74,  95%  CI  0.60‐0.92,  Figure  4).  As  the  study  by  Brill  et  al.16  has  a 

potential risk of bias in the blinding process, a sensitivity analysis was done with the other 6  studies,  which  resulted  in  a  31%  RR  reduction  of  exacerbations  among  patients  taking  prophylactic antibiotics (RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.58‐0.82). In subgroup analysis showed in Figure 4,  macrolides  (azithromycin,  erythromycin  and  roxithromycin)  showed  beneficial  effects  on  frequency reduction of exacerbations, the benefits from both azithromycin and erythromycin  were  of  clinical  significance.  However,  this  beneficial  effect  was  not  seen  in  the  use  of 

Figure 3. Forest plot of risk difference (antibiotics versus placebo) for total number of patients with one

or more exacerbations stratified by types of antibiotics. M-H: Mantel-Haenszel test; *Studies reviewed

by Herath et al. in 2013.

Use of prophylactic antibiotic was also associated with a significant reduction in the frequency of exacerbations (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.60-0.92, Figure 4). As the study by Brill et al.16 has a potential risk of bias in the blinding process, a sensitivity analysis was done

with the other 6 studies, which resulted in a 31% RR reduction of exacerbations among patients taking prophylactic antibiotics (RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.58-0.82). In subgroup analysis showed in Figure 4, macrolides (azithromycin, erythromycin and roxithromycin) showed beneficial effects on frequency reduction of exacerbations, the benefits from both azithromycin and erythromycin were of clinical significance. However, this beneficial effect was not seen in the use of moxifloxacin and doxycycline. These subgroup differences for frequency of exacerbations were of statistical significance (p = 0.02). Health-related quality of life using SGRQ was measured in seven studies.11,12,16-19,21 When

we performed a sensitivity analysis by removing the study by Berkhof et al.,18 which

was very different from the other data, the heterogeneity reduced sharply (I2 changed

from 92% to 0%). Hence, only the remaining 6 studies were included for the final meta-analysis. The pooled result indicated that prophylactic antibiotics led to a significant improvement in the total SGRQ score (MD -1.55, 95% CI -2.59 to -0.51, Figure 5). In subgroup analysis, the improvement of SGRQ score was not seen in both continuous and intermittent antibiotics. However, another subgroup result indicated that the total

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moxifloxacin  and  doxycycline.  These  subgroup  differences  for  frequency  of  exacerbations  were of statistical significance (p = 0.02). 

Health‐related quality of life using SGRQ was measured in seven studies.11,12,16‐19,21 When we 

performed a  sensitivity  analysis  by  removing  the  study  by  Berkhof  et al.,18  which  was  very 

different from the other data, the heterogeneity reduced sharply (I2 changed from 92% to 0%). 

Hence,  only  the  remaining  6  studies  were  included  for  the  final  meta‐analysis.  The  pooled  result  indicated  that  prophylactic  antibiotics  led  to  a  significant  improvement  in  the  total  SGRQ score (MD ‐1.55, 95% CI ‐2.59 to ‐0.51, Figure 5). In subgroup analysis, the improvement  of SGRQ score was not seen in both continuous and intermittent antibiotics. However, another  

Figure 4. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for frequency of exacerbations 

stratified by types of antibiotics. SE: standard error; IV: inverse variance; *Studies reviewed by 

Herath et al. in 2013; T1‐3: three independent RCTs in study by Brill et al. 

Figure 4. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for frequency of exacerbations stratified by

types of antibiotics. SE: standard error; IV: inverse variance; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013;

T1-3: three independent RCTs in study by Brill et al.

SGRQ score significantly changed by long-term intervention (MD -1.70, 95% CI% -2.81 to -0.60), although it was not changed by short-term (≤ 6) intervention (MD -0.34, 95% CI -3.43 to 2.75).

Four studies12,17,19,21 also reported the component scores of SGRQ (Figure S2). Both

the symptom (MD -3.89, 95% CI -5.48 to -2.31) and impact (MD -1.32, 95% CI -2.61 to -0.03) scores were improved with prophylactic antibiotics. However, the activity score did not show any significant improvement. Of note, none of these improvements mentioned above in SGRQ score reached the hypothesized clinically beneficial level (> 4-unit reduction).10

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Secondary outcomes

Seven studies involving 2,803 patients reported the median time to first exacerbation (Table S3). Four studies indicated that using prophylactic antibiotics lengthened the median time to first exacerbation signficantly.12,17,19,20 Two other studies found

a similar trend, but without statistical significance.18,21 Only one study showed

the opposite result in antibiotic and placebo arms.22

Figure 5. Forest plot of mean difference (antibiotics versus placebo) of quality of life by SGRQ stratified

by (a) schedule of prophylactic antibiotics and (b) duration of prophylactic antibiotics. SGRQ: St Georges Respiratory Questionnaire; IV: inverse variance; SE: standard error; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in

2013; T1-3: three independent RCTs in study by Brill et al.

Figure 5. Forest plot of mean difference (antibiotics versus placebo) of quality of life by SGRQ 

stratified  by  (a)  schedule  of  prophylactic  antibiotics  and  (b)  duration  of  prophylactic  antibiotics.  SGRQ: St  Georges  Respiratory  Questionnaire;  IV:  inverse  variance;  SE:  standard  error; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013; T

1‐3: three independent RCTs in study by Brill 

et al. 

subgroup  result  indicated  that  the  total  SGRQ  score  significantly  changed  by  long‐term  intervention (MD ‐1.70, 95% CI% ‐2.81 to ‐0.60), although it was not changed by short‐term (   6) intervention (MD ‐0.34, 95% CI ‐3.43 to 2.75). 

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32

Figure 7. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for adverse events. M‐H: Mantel‐

Haenszel test; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013.

show  significant  difference  between  two  arms  (RR  0.93,  95%  CI  0.83‐1.05,  I2  =  2%).  In 

subgroups,  gastrointestinal  disorders  were  more  frequent  in  the  intervention  group  than  control group (RR 1.87, 95 CI 0.98‐3.59, Figure S4) with a boundary statistical significance (p =  0.06).  However,  no  statistical  significant  difference  for  respiratory  and  cardiovascular  disorders were found. 

Eight studies had the bacteriological assessments (see Table S4),12,15‐21 however, only three 

studies with five RCTs reported the quantitative results for antibiotic resistance.16,17,19 Due to 

the different definition about bacterial resistant outcome in study by Uzun et al, only the other  homogeneous studies involving four RCTs were included for pooled results (OR 4.49, 95% CI  2.48‐8.12,  Figure  8),  long‐term  (versus  short‐term)  and  continuous  (versus  intermittent)  antibiotic intervention seems to cause more antibiotic resistance, although these subgroup  difference did not reach statistical significant level. Antibiotic resistance appeared in all types  of  antibiotics  involved  (Figure  9),  although  the  result  from  moxifloxacin  did  not  reach  statistical  significance.  No  subgroup  differences  about  this  outcome  were  seen  among  azithromycin, moxifloxacin and doxycycline (p = 0.63).  

Eight studies11,13,16‐18,20‐22 provided the data on changes of lung function (Table S5). However, 

no study found significant increase by antibiotic intervention compared with placebo. Mygind 

et al. did not compare the lung function change directly, but measured and compared the lung 

function  in  both  groups  at  enrolment  and  endpoint  separately,  they  also  did  not  find  any  significant difference.13 

Figure 6. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for frequency of hospitalization. M-H:

Mantel-Haenszel test; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013.

Four  studies12,17,19,21  also  reported  the  component  scores  of  SGRQ  (Figure  S2).  Both  the 

symptom (MD ‐3.89, 95% CI ‐5.48 to ‐2.31) and impact (MD ‐1.32, 95% CI ‐2.61 to ‐0.03) scores  were improved with prophylactic antibiotics. However, the activity score did not show any  significant  improvement.  Of  note,  none  of  these  improvements  mentioned  above  in  SGRQ  score reached the hypothesized clinically beneficial level (> 4‐unit reduction).10  Secondary outcomes  Seven studies involving 2,803 patients reported the median time to first exacerbation (Table  S3). Four studies indicated that using prophylactic antibiotics lengthened the median time to  first exacerbation signficantly.12,17,19,20 Two other studies found a similar trend, but without  statistical significance.18,21 Only one study showed the opposite result in antibiotic and placebo  arms.22 

The  frequency  of  hospitalization  related  to  COPD  was  pooled  from  five  studies  with  2,576  participants,17‐21  no  significant  difference  was  observed  between  antibiotic  and  placebo 

groups  (RR  0.94,  95%  CI  0.83‐1.06,  Figure  6).  Also,  no  difference  in  the  rate  of  all‐cause  mortality were found between the two arms (Figure S3).  

Eight  studies  involving  2,833  participants  reported  adverse  events  related  to  antibiotic 

use.11,12,17‐22 Overall, there was no significant difference between two comparison arms in the  rate of adverse events (RR 1.09, 95% CI 0.84‐1.42, Figure 7). As there was a lack of uniform  definition about adverse events, the heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 73%). Considering that  the result by Shafuddin et al.22 was deviant from the other seven studies, a sensitivity analysis  was, therefore, performed after removal of this study. The homogeneous result also did not  Figure 6. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for frequency of hospitalization.  M‐H: Mantel‐Haenszel test; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013.

Figure 7. Forest plot of risk ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for adverse events. M-H: Mantel-Haenszel

test; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013.

The frequency of hospitalization related to COPD was pooled from five studies with 2,576 participants,17-21 no significant difference was observed between antibiotic and

placebo groups (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.83-1.06, Figure 6). Also, no difference in the rate of all-cause mortality were found between the two arms (Figure S3).

Eight studies involving 2,833 participants reported adverse events related to antibiotic use.11,12,17-22 Overall, there was no significant difference between two comparison

arms in the rate of adverse events (RR 1.09, 95% CI 0.84-1.42, Figure 7). As there was a lack of uniform definition about adverse events, the heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 73%). Considering that the result by Shafuddin et al.22 was deviant from the other

seven studies, a sensitivity analysis was, therefore, performed after removal of this study. The homogeneous result also did not show significant difference between two arms (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.83-1.05, I2 = 2%). In subgroups, gastrointestinal disorders were

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Effects of prophylactic antibiotics on COPD

2

compared with placebo, the results did not reach the level of statistical significance, even both  quantitative culture and 16S qPCR methods were used by Brill et al. Benerjee et al. also did  not find a significant difference between pre‐and post‐ sputum cfu numbers/bacterial (PPM)  isolates in two arms. 

Figure  8.  Forest  plot  of  odds  ratio  (antibiotics  versus  placebo)  for  antibiotic  resistance 

stratified  by  (a)  schedule  of  prophylactic  antibiotics  and  (b)  duration  of  prophylactic  antibiotics.  IV:  inverse  variance; *Studies  reviewed  by  Herath  et  al.  in  2013;  T

1‐3:  three 

independent RCTs in study by Brill et al.

Figure 8. Forest plot of odds ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for antibiotic resistance stratified by (a)

schedule of prophylactic antibiotics and (b) duration of prophylactic antibiotics. IV: inverse variance;

*Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013; T

1-3: three independent RCTs in study by Brill et al.

Figure S4) with a boundary statistical significance (p = 0.06). However, no statistical significant difference for respiratory and cardiovascular disorders were found.

Eight studies had the bacteriological assessments (see Table S4),12,15-21 however, only three

studies with five RCTs reported the quantitative results for antibiotic resistance.16,17,19 Due

to the different definition about bacterial resistant outcome in study by Uzun et al, only the other homogeneous studies involving four RCTs were included for pooled results (OR 4.49, 95% CI 2.48-8.12, Figure 8), long-term (versus short-term) and continuous (versus intermittent) antibiotic intervention seems to cause more antibiotic resistance, although these subgroup difference did not reach statistical significant level. Antibiotic resistance appeared in all types of antibiotics involved (Figure 9), although the result

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Chapter 2

Figure  9:  Forest  plot  of  odds  ratio  (antibiotics  versus  placebo)  for  antibiotic  resistance 

stratified by types of antibiotics. SE: standard error; IV: inverse variance; *Studies reviewed by  Herath et al. in 2013; T1‐3: three independent RCTs in study by Brill et al. 

The change of airway inflammation was only reported in two studies.11,16 The study by Brill et 

al. showed that no significant changes were seen in cytokines IL‐6, IL‐8 and IL‐1  in any of 

three antibiotic arms compared with placebo.16 Similarly, Simpson et al. also did not report a 

significant  reduction  in  sputum  neutrophil  proportion  level  of  IL‐8  in  those  who  received  azithromycin compared to placebo group.11 

   

Figure 9. Forest plot of odds ratio (antibiotics versus placebo) for antibiotic resistance stratified by

types of antibiotics. SE: standard error; IV: inverse variance; *Studies reviewed by Herath et al. in 2013; T1-3: three independent RCTs in study by Brill et al.

from moxifloxacin did not reach statistical significance. No subgroup differences about this outcome were seen among azithromycin, moxifloxacin and doxycycline (p = 0.63). Eight studies11,13,16-18,20-22 provided the data on changes of lung function (Table S5).

However, no study found significant increase by antibiotic intervention compared with placebo. Mygind et al. did not compare the lung function change directly, but measured and compared the lung function in both groups at enrolment and endpoint separately, they also did not find any significant difference.13

Three studies reported the change of bacterial load.11,15,16 Although both Brill et al.

and Simpson et al. have found the more reduction of bacterial load by prophylactic antibiotic compared with placebo, the results did not reach the level of statistical significance, even both quantitative culture and 16S qPCR methods were used by Brill et al. Benerjee et al. also did not find a significant difference between pre-and post- sputum cfu numbers/bacterial (PPM) isolates in two arms.

The change of airway inflammation was only reported in two studies.11,16 The study by

Brill et al. showed that no significant changes were seen in cytokines IL-6, IL-8 and IL-1β in any of three antibiotic arms compared with placebo.16 Similarly, Simpson et al. also

did not report a significant reduction in sputum neutrophil proportion level of IL-8 in those who received azithromycin compared to placebo group.11

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2

DISCUSSION

This update of previous systematic reviews demonstrates that prophylactic antibiotic use could significantly lower the risk of exacerbations by 26% and prevent stable COPD patients from getting exacerbations by 18%, which is consistent with the result by Herath et al.,6 but the difference is that our review with more RCTs suggest that intermittent

antibiotics may also be effective in preventing exacerbations, although the result is of boundary significance. Moreover, in contrast with the result by Ni et al.,7 we found both

short-term (≤ 6 months) and long-term (> 6 months) treatments can prevent patients from exacerbations significantly.A short-term treatment even had better prevention effects than long-term treatment. Considering all included patients are clinically stable without exacerbation before enrolment, the above benefit from short therapy is likely due to the benefits of less resistance and adverse events or shorter follow-up time to detect related exacerbations compared with long therapy.

Besides duration and schedule of antibiotics, the types of antibiotics also have a profound influence on preventing exacerbations of COPD. In our pre-specified subgroup analysis, we did not find significant effect from moxifloxacin and doxycycline intervention on preventing exacerbations, although a previous study showed moxifloxacin is equivalent and bacteriologically superior to other antibiotic regimens routinely used.23 However,

our results confirmed the superiority of macrolides (azithromycin, erythromycin) in preventing exacerbations of COPD. This benefit of macrolides has also been confirmed previously in patients with cystic fibrosis and non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis.24,25

Although the optimal treatment using macrolide for preventing exacerbation was already conditional recommended by related guidelines,1,9 the mechanisms behind

are not totally clear.8 Many studies have confirmed that macrolides with 14 and

15-membered macrocyclic lactone ring have properties such as inflammatory, anti-viral and potential immune-modulation,26 which were proved to be beneficial for COPD

patients.27 Therefore, some researchers hypothesized that prevention of exacerbation

by macrolides may due to its antimicrobial effects or anti-inflammatory effects or both. However, neither of the above mechanisms could be supported by evidence in our review,11,15,16,20 More studies are needed in future to explore the answers to this question.

Regarding the health-related quality of life, our review showed a significant reduction in the total score of SGRQ with no heterogeneity. This is consistent with the association study by Martin et al.28 From our study, duration longer than 6 months of antibiotic

intervention can significantly improve the total score of SGRQ. As the health-related quality of life is influenced largely by the frequency of exacerbations in COPD patients,29

it will be an ideal therapy if both the exacerbation and quality of life change towards the same positive direction. Our subgroup analysis in both exacerbation and quality of life showed the positive results in longer duration (above 6 months) of prophylactic

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Chapter 2

antibiotics. However, as the improvements of total SGRQ score did not reach a clinical significant level, further research were still in need to explore the influence of prophylactic antibiotic use on quality of life in the real world.

The benefits achieved by prophylactic antibiotics always came at the expense of a variety of adverse events according to the earlier reviewers.30 However, we did not

find significant differences in the overall rate of adverse events between antibiotic and placebo arms. It is worth noting that the heterogeneity was substantial due to the variety of definition and measurement methods, thus much consistent definition is needed for future study. Furthermore, much attention should be given to the gastrointestinal disorder by antibiotic use as this disorder was also observed in patients with cystic fibrosis.24 Although not established as an endpoint in our review, hearing loss caused by

azithromycin also should draw much attention.19

Along the use of prophylactic antibiotics, another growing concern regarding the development of antibiotic resistance also appears. In this review, the increased resistant isolates were seen during the intervention of prophylactic antibiotics, which involved macrolides (azithromycin), tetracycline (doxycycline), and quinolones (moxifloxacin).16,19 At the same time, as lots of conflicting reports existed with

heterogeneous definitions,15,17,18,20,21 much related evidence from studies of uniform

criteria is needed for further exploration. Before that, clinicians should pay much attention especially to long and continuous use of antibiotics considering potential risk of bacterial resistance for future treatment of infections.4 Furthermore, although the use

of macrolides in preventing exacerbations was considered as a cost-effective strategy31,

the rather quick bacterial resistance induced by macrolides should not be ignored.32 Its

use should at best be limited to high-risk populations based on consideration of age, exacerbation frequency in previous year, COPD severity and comorbidity conditions. The choice of antibiotics should be based on the community resistant pattern and their benefits and potential risks must be weighted by analysing the specific situation case by case.

Although the obvious benefits of antibiotics in prevention of exacerbations, we did not find any reduction in the rate of hospital admission by antibiotic intervention, which are in contrast with the result by Donath et al.33 Moreover, as hospitalization for exacerbation

is always associated with poor prognosis and increased mortality in COPD patients,34

there was also no difference in the rate of all-cause mortality between antibiotic and placebo groups. Besides, the lung function was not improved in any of the included studies after the antibiotic intervention. There is still no conclusive clinical trial evidence up to now that any existing medication for COPD could modify the long-term decline in lung function.1

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2

Study limitations and future perspectives

There were several limitations in this review. Firstly, there were some notable heterogeneous results between studies. On the one hand, due to limited information available, we could not totally analysis and exclude the influence of potential difference in distribution of baseline characteristics especially like COPD severity, exacerbation history and bacterial colonization on outcomes, although all included patients were relative stable with similar COPD severity (GOLD 2-4). On the other hand, heterogeneity also existed between antibiotic therapies, as regimen, dosages, durations and follow-up time of antibiotic intervention were different. Secondly, the included patients may concomitantly take other therapies such as influenza vaccines, bronchodilators or inhaled corticosteroid, which could also have a potential impact on related outcomes if these factors are not comparable between antibiotic and placebo groups. For example, LABA/LAMA combination as a maintenance therapy of COPD could reduce the rate of exacerbation.35,36 Thirdly, the definitions and measurements of some outcomes

were different, like the varying definitions of adverse events and varying methods for identifying antibiotic resistance. Finally, due to limited studies included, we could not evaluate the effects of the different doses of a specific antibiotic on COPD patients. In the future, more RCTs of high quality are needed to explore a more personalized therapy by studying the optimal dose, duration and schedule of specific antibiotic use, preferably macrolides, with therapeutic drug monitoring on more homogenous COPD patients. Besides, uniform standards for evaluating the effects of antibiotic use should be made. Considering the safety of antibiotics, how to avoid or reduce the side effects such as gastrointestinal events and bacterial resistance during long-term use of antibiotic is still a problem that needs to be tackled.

CONCLUSIONS

This updated systematic review confirms the benefit of prophylactic antibiotics in preventing exacerbations in stable patients with moderate to severe COPD, this benefit existed in all subgroups ignoring the different duration and schedules of antibiotic intervention. The overall quality of life was also significantly increased by prophylactic antibiotics. However, this benefit was only observed in long-term (above 6 months) subgroup of antibiotics. At the same time, considering the possible risk of bacterial resistance, long-term and continuous prophylactic antibiotics are at best limited to high risk of population with severe COPD and history of frequent exacerbations and the choice of antibiotic should be based on local bacterial resistance pattern. Furthermore, much attention should be paid to some adverse effects like gastrointestinal disorders and hearing loss.

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Chapter 2

SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS

Table S1-S5 and Figures S1-S4 are available as Supplementary data at JAC Online (https://doi.org/10.1093/jac/dky326)

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2

REFERENCES

1. Global Strategy for the Diagnosis, Management and Prevention of COPD, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2017. Available from: http://goldcopd.org.

2. Lopez AD, Shibuya K, Rao C, et al. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: current burden and future projections. Eur Respir J. 2006;27(2):397-412.

3. Wedzicha JA, Seemungal TAR. COPD exacerbations: defining their cause and prevention. Lancet. 2007;370(9589):786-796. 4. Sethi S, Murphy TF. Infection in

the pathogenesis and course of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. N Engl J Med. 2008;359(22):2355-2365.

5. Staykova T, Black PN, Chacko EE, Poole P. Prophylactic antibiotic therapy for chronic bronchitis. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2003(1):CD004105.

6. Herath SC, Poole P. Prophylactic antibiotic therapy for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2013(11):CD009764.

7. Ni W, Shao X, Cai X, et al. Prophylactic use of macrolide antibiotics for the prevention of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation: a meta-analysis. Plos One. 2015;10(3):e0121257.

8. Cameron EJ, McSharry C, Chaudhuri R, Farrow S, Thomson NC. Long-term macrolide treatment of chronic inflammatory airway diseases: risks, benefits and future developments. Clin Exp Allergy. 2012;42(9):1302-1312.

9. Wedzicha JA, Calverley PMA, Albert RK, et al. Prevention of COPD exacerbations: a European Respiratory Society/ American Thoracic Society guideline. Eur Respir J. 2017;50(3):1602265.

10. Jones P. St George’s Respiratory Questionnaire Manual. Version 2.3. 2009: 1-6. 11. Simpson JL, Powell H, Baines KJ, et al.

The effect of azithromycin in adults with

stable neutrophilic COPD: a double blind randomised, placebo controlled trial. Plos One. 2014;9(8):e105609.

12. He ZY, Ou LM, Zhang JQ, et al. Effect of 6 months of erythromycin treatment on inflammatory cells in induced sputum and exacerbations in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Respiration. 2010;80(6):445-452.

13. Mygind LH, Pedersen C, Vestbo J et al. A randomized, placebo-controlled 3 years study of prophylactic azithromycin in 575 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Abstract 36 Suppl 54: 1018s. In: Abstracts of the European Respiratory Society Annual Congress, Barcelona, Spain, 2010. European Respiratory Society.

14. Suzuki T, Yanai M, Yamaya M, et al. Erythromycin and common cold in COPD. Chest. 2001;120(3):730-733.

15. Banerjee D, Khair OA, Honeybourne D. The effect of oral clarithromycin on health status and sputum bacteriology in stable COPD. Respir Med. 2005;99(2):208-215. 16. Brill SE, Law M, El-Emir E, et al. Effects of

different antibiotic classes on airway bacteria in stable COPD using culture and molecular techniques: a randomised controlled trial. Thorax. 2015;70(10):930-938.

17. Uzun S, Djamin RS, Kluytmans JA, et al. Azithromycin maintenance treatment in patients with frequent exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COLUMBUS): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Lancet Respir Med. 2014;2(5):361-368.

18. Berkhof FF, Doornewaard-ten Hertog NE, Uil SM, Kerstjens HA, van den Berg JW. Azithromycin and cough-specific health status in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and chronic cough: a randomised controlled trial. Respir Res. 2013;14:125.

19. Albert RK, Connett J, Bailey WC, et al. Azithromycin for prevention of exacerbations of COPD. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(8):689-698.

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20. Seemungal TA, Wilkinson TM, Hurst JR, Perera WR, Sapsford RJ, Wedzicha JA. Long-term erythromycin therapy is associated with decreased chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2008;178(11):1139-1147.

21. Sethi S, Jones PW, Theron MS, et al. Pulsed moxifloxacin for the prevention of exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a randomized controlled trial. Respir Res. 2010;11:10. 22. Shafuddin E, Mills GD, Holmes MD,

Poole PJ, Mullins PR, Black PN. A double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled study of roxithromycin and doxycycline combination, roxithromycin alone, or matching placebo for 12 weeks in adults with frequent exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. J Negat Results Biomed. 2015;14:15.

23. Liu KX, Xu B, Wang J, et al. Efficacy and safety of moxifloxacin in acute exacerbations of chronic bronchitis and COPD: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Thorac Dis. 2014;6(3):221-229.

24. Florescu DF, Murphy PJ, Kalil AC. Effects of prolonged use of azithromycin in patients with cystic fibrosis: a meta-analysis. Pulm Pharmacol Ther. 2009;22(6):467-472.

25. Figueiredo Bde C, Ibiapina Cda C. The role of macrolides in noncystic fibrosis bronchiectasis. Pulm Med. 2011;2011:751982. 26. Rubin BK. Immunomodulatory properties of

macrolides: overview and historical perspective. Am J Med. 2004;117 Suppl 9A:2S-4S.

27. Martinez FJ, Curtis JL, Albert R. Role of macrolide therapy in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2008;3(3):331-350.

28. Martin AL, Marvel J, Fahrbach K, Cadarette SM, Wilcox TK, Donohue JF. The association of lung function and St. George’s respiratory questionnaire with exacerbations in

COPD: a systematic literature review and regression analysis. Respir Res. 2016;17:40. 29. Miravitlles M, Ferrer M, Pont A, et al.

Effect of exacerbations on quality of life in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a 2 year follow up study. Thorax. 2004;59(5):387-395.

30. Yamaya M, Azuma A, Takizawa H, Kadota J, Tamaoki J, Kudoh S. Macrolide effects on the prevention of COPD exacerbations. Eur Respir J. 2012;40(2):485-494.

31. Simoens S, Laekeman G, Decramer M. Preventing COPD exacerbations with macrolides: a review and budget impact analysis. Respir Med. 2013;107(5):637-648. 32. Serisier DJ. Risks of population antimicrobial

resistance associated with chronic macrolide use for inflammatory airway diseases. Lancet Resp Med. 2013;1(3):262-274.

33. Donath E, Chaudhry A, Hernandez-Aya LF, Lit L. A meta-analysis on the prophylactic use of macrolide antibiotics for the prevention of disease exacerbations in patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. Respir Med. 2013;107(9):1385-1392.

34. Soler-Cataluna JJ, Martinez-Garcia MA, Roman Sanchez P, Salcedo E, Navarro M, Ochando R. Severe acute exacerbations and mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Thorax. 2005;60(11):925-931.

35. Wedzicha JA, Decramer M, Ficker JH, et al. Analysis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations with the dual bronchodilator QVA149 compared with glycopyrronium and tiotropium (SPARK): a randomised, double-blind, parallel-group study. Lancet Respir Med. 2013;1(3):199-209. 36. Wedzicha JA, Banerji D, Chapman KR, et

al. Indacaterol-Glycopyrronium versus Salmeterol-Fluticasone for COPD. N Engl J Med. 2016;374(23):2222-2234.

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