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139 Money Supply and Housing Price Bubbles:

Evidence from Micro-Experiments

By Yang Zhang, Dongyue Mao, Baoyi Shi, and Michael Seiler

147 Analyzing Neighborhood Amenities:

Willingness-to-Pay among Parents of Elementary School Students

By Jesse Saginor, Chanam Lee, and Minjie Xu

159 Valuation of Real Estate Market Values As an Indicator

By A.B.M. Scholte Lubberink, W.J. van der Post, and J. Veuger

168 Impact of 2017 Tax Act on Real Estate—

Key Issues

By Dr. Mark Lee Levine and Dr. Libbi Levine Segev

174 Signaling the Structural Break in the US Housing Market: An Approach for Early Warning System

By

Volume 34, Number 4 Spring 2018

To subscribe, call 1-800-638-8437 or order online at www.WoltersKluwerLR.com

Wolters Kluwer Real Estate Finance Distribution Center 7201 McKinney Circle Frederick, MD 21704

Spring/10041442-0050

(2)

ED I T O R I A L BO A R D

US ACADEMICS

Brent Ambrose

Pennsylvania State University bwa10@psu.edu

Robert Edelstein

University of California-Berkeley edelstei@haas.berkeley.edu

Richard Green

University of Southern California richarkg@sppd.usc.edu

Jay Hartzell

University of Texas jhartzell@mail.utexas.edu

David C. Ling

University of Florida david.ling@warrington.ufl.edu

Crocker Liu

Cornell University chl62@cornell.edu

Isaac Megbolugbe

John Hopkins University imegbolugbe@jhu.edu

Richard Peiser

Harvard University rpeiser@gsd.harvard.edu

C.F. Sirmans

Florida State University cfsirmans@cob.fsu.edu

Susan M. Wachter

University of Pennsylvania wachter@wharton.upenn.edu

Abdullah Yavas

University of Wisconsin ayavas@bus.wisc.edu

INDUSTRY

Bradley Case

NAREIT

BCase@NAREIT.COM

Sam Chandan

University of Pennsylvania sam@chandan.com and schandan@wharton.upenn.edu

James Clayton

Cornerstone Real Estate Advisers, LLC

jclayton@cornerstoneadvisers.com

Marsha Courchane

CRA International mcourchane@crai.com

Mike Fratantoni

Mortgage Bankers Association MFratantoni@mortgagebankers.

org

Richard Gold

Northfield Information Services, Inc.

rick@northinfo.com

Jacques N. Gordon

LaSalle Investment Management JGordon@lasalle.com

Steven Laposa

Alvarez & Marsal Real Estate Advisory Services

slaposa@alvarezandmarsal.com

Youguo Liang

ADIA

youguo.liang@gmail.com

Greg MacKinnon

PREA greg@prea.org

Asieh Mansour

CBRE

asieh.mansour@cbre.com

Will McIntosh

USAA Real Estate Company will.mcintosh@usrealco.com

Mike Miles

Guggenheim Real Estate mmiles@guggenheimrealestate.com

Paige Mueller

RCL Co.

pmuellerwork@gmail.com and pmueller@rclco.com

Scott Muldavin

Rocky Mountain Institute smuldavin@muldavin.com

Clint Myers

Hines

clint.t.myers@gmail.com

Martha Peyton

TIAA-CREF mpeyton@tiaa-cref.org

Tyler Yang

IFE Group

tyler.yang@ifegroup.com

INTERNATIONAL

ACADEMICS

Colin Lizieri

University of Cambridge cml49@hermes.cam.ac.uk and cml49@cam.ac.uk

Graeme Newell

University of Western Sydney g.newell@uws.edu.au

S.E. Ong

National University of Singapore

seong@nus.edu.sg

Joseph T.L. Ooi

National University of Singapore rstooitl@nus.edu.sg

Real Estate Finance® (ISSN 0748-318X) (USPS# 726-370) is published quarterly by Wolters Kluwer, 76 Ninth Avenue, New York, NY 10011, Phone (212) 771-0600. Copyright © 2018 CCH Incorporated. All rights reserved. A Wolters Kluwer company. No part of this journal may be repro- duced in any form, by microfilm, xerography, or otherwise, or incorporated into any information retrieval system without the written permission of the copyright owner. Instructions for submission of manuscripts are printed at the end of the journal. POSTMASTER: Send Address changes to Real Estate Finance, 7201 McKinney Circle, Frederick, MD 21704. REPRINTS: For customized article reprints, please contact Wright’s Media at 1-877-652-5295 or go to the Wright’s Media Web site www.wrightsmedia.com.

ED I T O R-I N- CH I E F Michael J. Seiler

Aims and Scope:

Real Estate Finance (REF) provides subscribers with the necessary information for making important decisions about structuring their real estate finance transactions. Coverage includes pricing REITS and mortgage-backed securities, valuing overseas investment opportunities, the latest in regulatory proposals and legislation, and real estate tax updates. It also provides insight into the best commercial real estate investments. In each quarterly issue, you’ll profit from the expertise of real estate industry leaders: investment managers and advisors, bankers and insurers, developers, property managers, tax planners, attorneys, accountants, government officials, and academics.

Historical Acceptance Rate: 30%. We follow a double-blind review process.

Editor:

Dr. Michael J. Seiler

K. Dane Brooksher Endowed Chair Professor of Real Estate & Finance The College of William & Mary

Mason School of Business Miller Hall 3095 P.O. Box 8795

Williamsburg, VA 23187-8795 Michael.Seiler@mason.wm.edu 757.585.6100 Cell

757.221.2937 Fax

http://mason.wm.edu/faculty/directory/seiler_m.php Editorial Board Members:

U.S. Academics

Robert Edelstein, University of California-Berkeley David C. Ling, University of Florida

Abdullah Yavas, University of Wisconsin Susan M. Wachter, University of Pennsylvania Isaac Megbolugbe, John Hopkins University Brent Ambrose, Pennsylvania State University Richard Peiser, Harvard University

Jay Hartzell, University of Texas

Richard Green, University of Southern California C.F. Sirmans, Florida State University

Crocker Liu, Cornell University Industry Members

Mike Miles, Guggenheim Real Estate

Jacques N. Gordon, LaSalle Investment Management James Clayton, Cornerstone Real Estate Advisers, LLC Bradley Case, NAREIT

Marsha Courchane, CRA International

Steven Laposa, Alvarez, & Marsal Real Estate Advisory Services Martha Peyton, TIAA-CREF

Paige Mueller, RCL Co.

Sam Chandan, Chandan Economics/Real Capital Analytics, Inc./Wharton Asieh Mansour, CBRE

Tyler Yang, IFE Group Clint Myers, Hines

Scott Muldavin, Rocky Mountain Institute Richard Gold, Northfield Information Services, Inc.

Youguo Liang, ADIA Greg MacKinnon, PREA

Mike Fratantoni, Mortgage Bankers Association International Academics

Joseph T.L. Ooi, National University of Singapore Colin Lizieri, University of Cambridge

S.E. Ong, National University of Singapore Graeme Newell, University of Western Sydney

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