Africa Hazards Briefing
14 May 2013
Tom Di Liberto
Tom.DiLiberto@noaa.gov
7 Day
30 Day
Last Week This Week
7 Day
30 Day
Last Week This Week
Seasonal Rainfall Guidance for Africa, Apr IC, Issued 8 May 2013, Valid May-Jul 2013 and Jun-Aug 2013
May-Jul 2013, Zero Month lead Jun-Aug 2013, One Month lead
For May-Jul, the forecasts call for a slightly elevated chance for above average rainfall over the western Sahel from Senegal to Burkina Faso. In contrast, there is slight increased chance for below average rainfall along the Guinea coast. There is slight increased chance for above
average rainfall over southern Chad and northern CAR. For Jun-Aug, there is a slight increased chance for above average rainfall over western Sahel and a slight increased chance for below average rainfall along the Guinea coast. A slightly increased chance for above average rainfall is expected over southern Chad and northeastern Nigeria..
Seasonal Rainfall Guidance for Africa, Apr IC, Issued 8 May 2013, Valid Jul-Sep 2013 and Aug-Oct 2013
Jul-Sep 2013, Two Months lead Aug-Oct 2013, Three Months lead
For Jul-Sep, the forecasts call for a slightly elevated chance for above average rainfall along coastal Senegal, western Mali, eastern Burkina Faso, and the area encompassing northeastern Nigeria and southern Chad.
There is also a slightly increased chance for above average rainfall over eastern Uganda. For Aug-Oct, there is an increased chance for above average rainfall along coastal Senegal and over western Mali. There is also a slightly increased chance for above average rainfall over southern Chad and along portions of the border between Sudan and Ethiopia.
Seasonal Rainfall Guidance for Africa, Apr IC, Issued 8 May 2013, Valid Sep-Nov 2013
Sep-Nov 2013, Four Months lead
The forecasts call for a slightly elevated chance for above average rainfall to occur over Sierra Leone and Liberia, southern Chad, eastern Sudan, and over western Kenya and eastern
Uganda.
