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Scottish  referendum  2014:  Twitter  as  a  campaigning  medium  

The  organisation  of  the  competing  spaces  of  the  ‘yes’  and  ‘no’  campaign  on  Twitter  during  

the  campaigning  period             Master’s  thesis    

Marissa  Sieuwerts,  MA  New  Media  and  Digital  Culture  

marissa.sieuwerts@gmail.com    

Dr.  S.  Milan  

University  of  Amsterdam   Final  version:  26  June  2015  

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CONTENTS    

 

0.  ABSTRACT                                        3  

1.  INTRODUCTION  ...  4  

1.1  BRIEF  OUTLINE  OF  RESEARCH  ...  4  

1.2  BACKGROUND  OF  THE  DEBATE  ...  4  

2.  LITERATURE  REVIEW  ...  6  

2.1  CLASSIC  APPROACHES  TOWARDS  POLITICAL  COMMUNICATION  -­‐  ...  7  

2.1.1  Politics  on  the  web  and  web  campaigning:  an  introduction  ...  8  

2.1.2  Social  media  and  political  communication  ...  10  

2.2  CONTEXTUALISATION:  TOWARDS  A  MULTI-­‐DISCIPLINARY  APPROACH  ...  12  

2.2.1  Demand  for  shift  of  paradigm  ...  12  

2.3  MEDIUM  SPECIFICITY:  TWITTER  AND  THE  LOGIC  OF  PLATFORMS  ...  14  

2.4  APPROACHES  TO  TWITTER  STUDIES:  DIGITAL  METHODS  ...  16  

2.5  APPROACHES  TO  TWITTER  STUDIES:  SIMILAR  CASE  STUDIES  ...  17  

2.6  NETWORKS  AND  TOPOLOGICAL  THEORY  ...  20  

2.7  SOCIAL  METRICS  ...  23  

2.8  BIG  DATA  AND  ANALYTICS  ...  24  

3.  METHOD  ...  26  

3.1  SUB  TOPICS  ...  26  

3.2  DATA  COLLECTION  ...  27  

3.2.1  Hashtag  analysis  (#)  ...  29  

3.2.2  Conversation  network  analysis  (@mentions)  ...  29  

3.2.3  Retweet  analysis  (RT)  ...  30  

3.3  DATA  VISUALISATION  ...  31  

4.  FINDINGS  ...  32  

4.1.1  Co-­‐hashtag  analysis  ...  36  

4.2  CONVERSATION  NETWORK  ANALYSIS  (@MENTIONS)  ...  40  

4.2.1  Bi-­‐partite  hashtag-­‐mention  graph  ...  43  

4.3  RETWEETS  ANALYSIS  (RT)  ...  47  

4.3.1  Retweets:  Network  effects  ...  50  

5.  CONCLUSIONS  ...  56  

6.  DISCUSSION  ...  60  

6.1  SOCIAL  METRICS:  TOP  RESULTS  ...  60  

6.2  IMPLICATIONS  OF  USED  METHOD  ...  62  

6.3  OPPORTUNITIES  FOR  FURTHER  RESEARCH  ...  64  

7.  REFERENCES  ...  65   8.  APPENDIX  ...  69  

 

       

Cover  image  by  BBC  news  (http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-­‐trending-­‐29268773)     last  accessed:  23-­‐6-­‐2015  

 

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ABSTRACT    

This  thesis  aims  to  look  at  Twitter  as  a  broader  political  platform  showing  societal   trends  and  changes,  and  seeks  to  look  at  how  competing  spaces  of  a  debate,  in  the  case   of  this  study  the  two  competing  political  camps  during  the  recent  Scottish  referendum,   are  being  organised  through  Twitter  as  a  social  medium.    

 

By  taking  the  development  of  a  new  methodological  framework  in  the  field  of  political   communication  as  one  of  the  main  research  goals,  this  paper  seeks  to  assess  particular   claims  as  they  were  made  by  an  early  research  to  the  Scottish  referendum  and  the   debating  sphere  on  Twitter.  This  study,  undertaken  by  the  University  of  Glasgow  during   late  2013,  is  for  this  thesis  used  as  a  starting  point,  aiming  to  critically  assess  those   findings,  backing  them  up  with  empirical  research.    

 

This  paper  therefore  looks  at  Twitter  as  a  social  research  platform  in  the  means  of  a   networked  content  analysis,  hereby  ‘debanalising’  Twitter  by  looking  at  political   networks,  taking  its  value  for  research  into  account.  Above  all,  it  emphasises  the   development  of  an  updated  approach  towards  studying  political  communication,  an   academic  field  that,  as  will  be  argued,  could  be  in  need  for  an  update  of  the  research   methods.      

 

In  the  long  run,  the  main  research  objective  is,  besides  mapping  a  political  debate,  to   consider  existing  methods  and  open  up  the  possibility  for  methodological  discussion   within  the  field  of  political  communication,  while  developing  and  proposing  a  different   methodology  to  study  political  communication  on  Twitter.  

 

KEYWORDS  

Scottish  independence  referendum,  Twitter,  political  communication,  networked   content  analysis,  political  networks,  platform  studies,  digital  methods,  big  data,  data   visualisation  

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1.  INTRODUCTION  

1.1  Brief  outline  of  research  

This  thesis  covers  the  popular  social  media  microblogging  platform  Twitter,  and  more   specifically  the  use  of  Twitter  in  political  communication.  Last  year’s  independence   referendum  in  Scotland  is  used  as  a  case  study  to  look  at  how  this  political  debate  and   campaigning  is  being  organised  on  Twitter.  The  main  research  objective  is,  however,   besides  mapping  a  political  debate,  the  development  of  a  new  methodology  through  a   multi-­‐disciplinary  approach,  by  merging  the  fields  of  political  communication  and   critical  new  media  studies  (more  specifically  digital  methods)  together.    

 

Taking  an  existing  study  to  the  topic  of  the  Scottish  referendum  into  account,  

undertaken  by  the  University  of  Glasgow,  it  was  sought  to  assess  the  claims  made  by  the   researchers.  This  research  looked  at  how  the  debate  around  the  referendum  on  Twitter   in  organised  in  an  early  phase  of  campaigning,  namely  the  end  of  2013.  Considering   Tweets  sent  during  a  week  (13-­‐12-­‐2013  until  19-­‐12-­‐2013),  the  study  concluded  that  the   ‘yes’  campaign  is  more  active  on  Twitter  and  has  a  greater  reach1.  Furthermore,  they  

concluded  that  debate  tends  to  not  to  be  organised  through  the  ‘official’  campaigning:   rather,  it  is  decentralised.  Conversations  are  not  channelled  through  the  official   campaign2,  all  of  which  is  visible  in  their  Gephi  network  graph3.  

 

As  these  results  were  not  turned  in  a  full  academic  paper,  I  aim  to  assess  these  claims   with  empirical  research,  approaching  the  topic  multidisciplinary.  Therefore,  whilst   studying  the  debate  around  the  referendum,  a  methodological  framework  for  studying   political  communication  on  Twitter  was  developed,  as  will  be  proposed  and  critically   approached  in  this  paper.  

 

1.2  Background  of  the  debate    

The  main  case  study  that  will  be  considered  in  this  paper  is  the  Twittersphere  around   the  political  Scottish  referendum  debate.  On  18  September  2014,  after  years  of  debate                                                                                                                  

1  http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-­‐scotland-­‐scotland-­‐politics-­‐25642809  last  accessed  23-­‐6-­‐2015   2  http://policyscotland.gla.ac.uk/twitter-­‐analysis/  retrieved  last  accessed  23-­‐6-­‐2015  

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around  leaving  the  unity  of  the  United  Kingdom  and  becoming  an  independent  nation   state,  Scotland  organised  a  referendum  which  concerned  the  question  Should  Scotland   be  an  independent  country?  This  question  could  be  answered  with  either  ‘yes’  or  ‘no’  by   Scottish  nationals  in  the  official  referendum  last  year.  The  main  election  campaign  was   focused  around  the  two  sides  the  debate,  on  the  one  hand  there  was  Alex  Salmond’s  ‘Yes   Scotland’  campaign4  for  becoming  an  independent  country  and  on  the  other,  Alistair  

Darling’s  Better  Together  campaign5,  which  favoured  staying  in  the  union.    

 

When  the  results  of  the  referendum  were  announced  the  next  morning,  it  was  the  ‘No’   side  of  the  campaign  that  could  claim  the  victory:  the  "No"  side  won,  with  2,001,926   (55.3%)  votes  against  independence  and  1,617,989  (44.7%)  votes  in  favour,  with  a   record  turnout  of  84.6%  of  the  people  that  were  eligible  to  vote6.  In  this  2014  

referendum,  16-­‐  and  17-­‐year-­‐olds  were  allowed  to  vote  for  the  first  time.  The  final   results  per  county  are  visible  in  the  map  in  figure  1,  which  shows  the  majority  of   counties  with  a  greater  ‘no’  vote  coloured  in  shades  of  red.  

 

 

Fig  1.  In  this  map7,  the  final  results  of  the  vote  are  visualised,  with  the  darker  red  shades  corresponding  to  

a  greater  ‘no’  vote,  while  green  represents  an  area  voting  ‘yes’.                                                                                                                  

4  http://www.yesscotland.net/  last  accessed  23-­‐6-­‐2015   5  http://www.bettertogether.net/  last  accessed  23-­‐6-­‐2015  

6  Data:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_independence_referendum,_2014  last  accessed  23-­‐6-­‐2015   7  Map:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_independence_referendum,_2014  last  accessed  23-­‐6-­‐2015  

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The  campaign  has  been  going  on  until  and  has  been  crucial  until  the  very  last  day,  as   both  the  yes  or  no  side  of  the  debate  did  not  gain  convincing  majority  in  the  polls  until   the  day  of  voting.  Social  media  platforms  as  for  instance  Twitter  were  widely  used  to   organise  the  debate  and  create  a  network;  in  total,  2.057.874  tweets  concerning  the   Scottish  referendum  were  collected  by  the  TCAT    Twitter  scraping  tool8  (Twitter  

Capturing  and  Analysis,  a  project  of  the  Digital  Methods  Initiative  Amsterdam),  during   the  timespan  of  about  a  year  (21-­‐11-­‐2013  –  02-­‐12-­‐2014).  This  paper  focuses  on  Twitter   as  a  platform  and  how  it  organises  competing  spaces,  in  this  sense  two  competing   political  campaigns,  whilst  developing  a  multi-­‐disciplinary  approach  towards  political   themed  Twitter  studies.  

2.  LITERATURE  REVIEW    

Previously,  I  briefly  outlined  the  multi-­‐disciplinary  approach  of  this  study  with  the   development  of  a  new  methodological  framework  as  one  of  the  main  research  goals  of   this  thesis:  merging  methodologies  and  approaches  of  both  political  communication  and   digital  methods  as  research  field.  In  the  following  section,  I  will  first  introduce  the  field   of  political  communication  and  seek  to  establish  an  understanding  of  the  classic  and   current  paradigm  in  the  field,  outlining  its  most  dominant  methodologies,  approaches   and  introduce  a  variety  of  significant  theories  and  its  contributors  to  the  field.      

 

Furthermore,  I  will  engage  with  politics  on  the  web  and  web  campaigning,  e.g  political   research  in  the  digital  age,  before  moving  on  towards  the  contextualisation  of  this  paper   discussing  the  reasoning  for  its  multi-­‐disciplinarily  approach.  The  last  part  of  this  

literature  review  is  dedicated  to  placing  the  paper  into  context,  by  discussing  medium   specificity  and  platform  studies,  and  engage  with  the  proposed  methodology  discussing   the  dominant  research  approaches  in  digital  methods,  by  zooming  into  case  studies  with   a  similar  research  goal.  Lastly,  the  literature  review  aims  to  critically  engage  with  the   developed  methodology,  focusing  on  critical  assessment  of  its  operationalisation  by   considering  networks  and  topological  theory,  the  debate  regarding  spoilt  data  in  the   sense  of  social  metrics  and  bias,  followed  by  arguments  surrounding  the  concept  ‘Big   Data’.  

                                                                                                               

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2.1  Classic  approaches  towards  political  communication  -­‐  

As  a  subfield  of  political  science,  political  communication  seems  to  be  a  research   discipline  that  is  well  established  as  well  as  accepted  and  noticed  as  an  academic  field   that  deserves  serious  attention.  Characterised  by  a  variety  of  approaches  and  methods   to  look  at  specific  political  communication  such  as  debates,  campaigns  or  advertising,   the  field  offers  a  resource  of  research  that  is  properly  operationalised.  In  the  following   section,  I  would  like  to  draw  the  attention  towards  the  ‘classic’  methods,  theories,   methodologies  and  ways  to  undertake  research  that  together  constitute  and  shape  the   backbone  of  the  field  of  political  communication.  However,  departing  from  an  

understanding  of  the  classic  approaches  of  the  field,  I  argue  that  the  field  might  be  stuck   in  old  methodologies,  hereby  creating  a  homogenous  research  environment  (Nielsen   2014).      

 

First  of  all,  the  sample  of  existing  studies  that  have  been  considered  showed  an   emphasis  on  research  to  televised  or  press  communication;  to  journalism  and   mainstream  media.  Eric  Louw  (2010),  for  instance,  identifies  the  process  of  political   communication  as  a  hype-­‐making  machine  that  is  mainly  being  organised  through   mainstream  media.  Following  a  constructivist  approach,  the  emergence  of  the  media-­‐ tization  of  politics  is  mapped;  according  to  Louw,  the  emerging  media-­‐attention  of   journalism  and  television  translated  the  field  of  political  communication  to  a  new   approach;  the  study  of  media  hypes  (Louw  2010).  

 

Since  research  is  often  emphasising  political  communication  in  mainstream  media,   studies  are  generally  aiming  to  look  at  political  advertising  or  campaigning  within  the   mainstream  media  landscape.  Research  is  therefore  characterised  by  direct  content   analysis,  an  approach  that  looks  at  the  political  message  and  its  contents  itself.  Aiming  to   gain  insight  in  the  effects  of  political  messages  on  people,  research  focuses  for  instance   at  how  the  message  affects  voting  abilities,  for  instance  by  seeking  to  map  voting   behaviour  combined  with  a  qualitative  analysis  of  the  content  of  the  political  

communication  (Kaid  and  Holz-­‐Bacha  2006).  A  similar  approach  is  leading  in  the  SAGE   handbook  of  political  advertising  (2006),  where  the  main  research  goal  is  mapping   (international)  televised  political  communication,  specified  towards  different  countries,   hence  seeking  to  understand  how  the  process  of  televised  political  communication  

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differs  around  the  world.  This  approach,  which  Kaid  and  Holz-­‐Bacha  identify  as  a   descriptive  rhetorical  analysis,  looks  at  narrative,  languages  and  stories  present  in   political  advertising,  symbols  or  semiotics,  it  seeks  to  describe  and  make  sense  of  the   content  using  interpretation.    

Research  in  the  field  is  thus  characterised  by  approaches  that  revolve  around   cultural  effects  (representation)  and  how  this  is  being  affected,  which  is  a  research   objective  often  being  undertaken  through  the  use  of  surveys.  The  use  of  surveys  or  

interviews  in  order  to  measure  (cultural)  effects  of  political  communication  is  a  common   methodology  in  existing  studies  in  the  field.  What  ultimately  matters  here  is  that  if  the   field  is  generally  seeking  to  undertake  research  through  qualitative  approaches,  which  is   not  necessarily  better  or  worse;  however,  solely  focusing  at  qualitative  research  might   contribute  to  the  homogenisation  of  the  research  field  (Nielsen  2014).  

 

In  general,  it  could  be  concluded  that  in  the  field  of  political  communication,  research  is   focused  at,  firstly,  direct-­‐content  analysis  of  the  messages  themselves  in  political  

campaigning,  and  secondly,  at  the  effects  of  political  advertising  (on  voters),  or  what   media  does  with  people,  rather  than  for  instance  looking  at  the  medium  in  a  political   campaign  and  how  this  particular  medium  affects  the  process  of  political  campaigning,   or  what  people  do  with  media.  This  could  be  perceived  as  a  void  in  the  field  of  political   communication,  an  argument  that  I  will  elaborate  in  section  2.2.  The  classic  

methodologies  and  key  characteristics  of  the  field  are  featured  in  a  number  of  existing   studies  on  political  communication  of  the  web  and  web  campaigning,  which  will  be   discussed  in  the  section  that  follows.    

2.1.1  Politics  on  the  web  and  web  campaigning:  an  introduction    

Looking  at  political  communication  that  is  specifically  featured  on  the  web,  research   tends  to  be  characterised  in  a  similar  way  as  what  I  previously  identified  as  ‘classic   political  communication’:  studies  aiming  to  unveil  how  political  advertising  is  being   organised,  using  research  that  is  often  undertaken  through  direct  content-­‐analysis  of  the   political  messages  themselves.  In  the  sample  of  studies  that  were  taken  into  

consideration  in  this  chapter,  research  generally  focuses  on  the  more  static  political  part   of  political  communication,  such  as  the  political  messages  themselves,  rather  than  the  

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dynamic  communication  aspects,  such  as  conversation,  user-­‐  or  voter-­‐engagement  and   debate.    

 

This  tendency  towards  the  emphasis  of  the  actual  political  message  is  visible  in  the   studies  towards  web  campaigning  by  Foot  and  Schneider  (2006),  while  a  starting  point   towards  a  changing  paradigm  starts  to  develop  in  some  of  the  studies  discussed  by   Baringhorst,  Kneip  and  Niestyo  (2009),  respectively.  Foot  and  Schneider  examine  in   their  research  the  use  of  the  web  in  political  campaigns  in  the  United  States.  Through  the   analysis  of  websites  of  US  election  campaigns  over  the  timespan  of  4  years,  they  aim  to   trace  the  development  and  emergence  of  web  campaigning  in  the  US  political  

campaigning  landscape,  and  how  these  practises  function  to  extend  and  enact  with   campaign  activities  (Foot  and  Schneider  2006).  Analysis  is  based  on  systematic   observation  of  a  large  number  of  campaign  websites  created  by  the  candidates  

themselves,  aiming  to  look  at  how  political  campaigns  and  the  web  are  (becoming  more   closely)  related  and  are  in  a  constant  state  of  change  and  evolution  (Foot  and  Schneider   2006).  By  studying  the  actual  campaigning  websites  that  are  involved  in  the  electoral   process,  seeking  to  look  at  the  practise  of  how  website  visitors  are  involved  in  the   campaign  organisation  and  how  political  supporters  are  informed,  connected  and   mobilised  through  the  content  of  these  websites,  this  study  lies  the  emphasis  on  the   content  layer  of  political  communication  on  the  web,  rather  than  focusing  on  the   contextual  layer  of  media  specificity  and  media  attributes  (Foot  and  Schneider  2006).      

Now,  it  might  look  like  that  previous  studies  specifically  towards  political  

communication  on  the  web  are  solely  focused  at  the  political  opinions  and  statements   (content)  themselves  rather  than  political  communicational  processes  between  users   and  political  parties  (context).  However,  a  slight  change  of  paradigm,  changing  the  focus   of  political  communication  studies  from  the  political  message  itself  more  towards  the   communication  processes  could  be  identified  in  some  of  the  studies  that  were  taken  into   account  by  Baringhorst  et  al.  In  Political  campaigning  on  the  web  (2009),  the  researchers   identify  ‘evolutionary  phases’  of  political  campaigning  and  claim  that  we  are  currently  in   the  ‘postmodern  campaigning’  phase,  characterised  by  a  pluralisation  of  media  channels,   resulting  in  ubiquity  (Baringhorst  et  al  2009:  16).    

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One  research  in  particular,  the  study  by  Zielmann  and  Röttger9  assesses  this  notion  of  

postmodern  campaigning  by  looking  at  characteristics  and  developments  of  political   parties  and  campaigns  in  a  variety  of  countries,  focusing  at  differences  between  those   countries.  More  specifically,  they  seek  to  study  if  the  potentials  of  web  campaigning,   which  they  identify  as  an  extremely  emergent  aspect  of  political  campaigning,  are  being   fully  appropriated  and  even  embraced  by  the  sample  set  of  countries  (Baringhorst  et  al   2009).    A  proposal  towards  a  change  of  paradigm  is  just  yet  slightly  visible  here  in  this   study;  attention  moves  from  the  content  of  political  campaigning  to  the  context  of  in   which  it  takes  place;  the  digital  environment  of  web  campaigning.  However,  they  

conclude,  the  countries  in  the  sample  set  still  generally  characterise  web  campaigning  as   ‘an  accessory  to  the  offline  content  of  parties’  (Baringhorst  et  al  2009:71).  

2.1.2  Social  media  and  political  communication    

Besides  the  research  attention  towards  televised  or  printed  political  communication  and   more  general  political  campaigning  websites,  previous  research  towards  (online)  

political  communication  and  social  media  has  been  characterised  by  a  rather  specific   emphasis  on  the  blogosphere  and  its  most  influent  bloggers.  Drezner  and  Farrell  (2008)   for  instance,  are  interested  in  the  blogosphere’s  networked  role  in  conveying  political   statements,  and  how  this  might  affect  political  opinion-­‐making  of  its  readers  and   influence  voting  behaviour  or  polling.  Taking  a  sample  of  blogs  and  analysing  them  as   networked  content,  Drezner  and  Farrell  argue  that  the  blogosphere  is  characterised  by  a   rather  specific  network  topology,  resulting  in  the  individual  bloggers  not  being  

powerful.      

The  research,  organised  around  the  question  why  blogs  have  any  (political  or  societal)   influence  at  all,  given  their  relatively  low  leadership  and  lack  of  central  organisation,   looks  at  the  skewed  distribution  of  links  in  the  blogosphere,  and  if  this  will  have   consequences  for  how  the  blogosphere  affects  politics  (Drezner  and  Farrell  2008).     It  was  found  that  there  is  no  central  organization  to  the  blogosphere;  there  is  no   ideological  consensus  among  its  participants  (Drezner  and  Farrell  2008).  They  argue                                                                                                                  

9  Zielmann,  S.  and  U.  Röttger.  Characteristics  and  developments  of  political  party  web  campaigns  in  

Germany,  France,  the  United  Kingdom  and  the  United  States  between  1997  and  2007.  In:  Baringhorst  et  al   2009  pp.  69  -­‐  92  

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that  networks  in  the  blogosphere  are  particularly  skewed  and  this  has  quite  specific   implications  and  influences  on  the  network  and  network  effects.    

More  specifically,  they  conclude,  many  networks  are  characterised  by  a   distribution  in  which  most  nodes  have  a  relatively  small  number  of  ties,  but  a  small   number  of  nodes  have  a  disproportionately  large  number  of  ties.  Therefore,  these  nodes   are  not  in  proportion  to  the  greater  total  network;  Drezner  and  Farrell  explain  this  as   ‘rich’  nodes  getting  richer.  The  blogs  with  the  most  links  get  the  most  attention,  thus  the   ‘rich’  blogs  keep  getting  ‘richer’  in  terms  of  network  expansion.  These  network  effects   are  considered  skewed  distributions,  which  ‘have  become  an  important  subject  of   investigation  in  recent  years’  (Drezner  and  Farrell  2008:  19).  

 

Now,  it  might  look  like  I  am  aiming  to  argue  that  research  to  a  phenomenon  such  as  the   blogosphere  has  become  outdated  in  a  methodological  sense,  and  I  would  like  to  take   the  opportunity  here  to  reflect  on  this  statement.  Taking  for  instance  the  study  by   Drezner  and  Farrell  and  stretching  their  approach  to  fit  political  communication  on   Twitter,  the  argument  and  research  goal  of  this  study  might  be  particularly  relevant  in   the  sense  of  thinking  about  network  topologies  on  the  platform  of  Twitter.  In  a  sense,   the  organisational  structure  of  conversation  and  user  engagement  on  Twitter  might  be   similar  to  the  structure  in  the  ‘old’  blogosphere,  while  it  is  being  characterised  by  the   same  decentralised  organisation  of  conversation,  as  the  sample  study  by  the  University   of  Glasgow  concluded.    

The  research  approach  as  undertaken  by  Drezner  and  Farrell  is  therefore  still   relevant,  as  will  be  discussed  in  regards  with  the  findings  later  on.  Referring  back  to   Drezner  and  Farrell’s  statement  on  skewed  distributions  of  nodes  and  ties  in  a  network   on  the  previous  page,  is  the  Twittersphere  around  the  Scottish  referendum  for  example   driven  by  a  rich  get  richer  model  of  network  growth,  in  terms  of  political  

communication,  or  are  there  small  actors  that  get  (disproportional)  amounts  of  links  as   well?  Put  differently,  with  the  blogosphere  studies  in  mind,  analysis  will  be  focused  at   visible  network  structures  in  the  Twitter  sample  of  the  2014  Scottish  referendum   Tweets  and  the  implications  of  the  possible  skewedness  of  the  data.  

 

With  this  particular  outline  of  the  field  of  political  communication  and  its  characteristics   as  well  as  most  dominant  approaches  in  mind,  I  will  continue  to  argue  that  the  field  is,  

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while  there  are  relevant  approaches  and  methodologies,  facing  the  possibility  to  get   stuck  in  old  ways  as  a  research  discipline.  This  argument  which  will  be  explored  in  the   next  section,  dedicated  towards  justifying  and  explaining  the  need  for  an  updated   approach  towards  political  communication.    

2.2  Contextualisation:  towards  a  multi-­‐disciplinary  approach    

The  type  of  methodologies  that  are  thus  generally  accepted  and  have  become  ‘classic’  in   the  field  of  political  communication,  such  as  surveys,  interviews  or  direct  analysis  of   content,  are  generally  focused    at  political  advertising  and  campaigning,  such  as  adverts   on  TV  and  in  the  (mainstream)  press.  Existing  research  towards  political  communication   is  generally  aimed  at  televised  or  press  political  messages  (Kaid  and  Holz-­‐Bacha  2006)   or  more  towards  studies  regarding  journalism  or  media  hypes  (Louw  2010).    

    In  the  case  of  research  to  web  campaigning,  it  was  found  that  the  emphasis   generally  lies  on  the  user  effects  of  web  campaigning,  hence  the  content  layer  of  web   campaigning,  rather  than  the  contextual  layer  of  in  which  it  occurs.  Although  a  starting   point  towards  a  change  of  paradigm  thus  has  been  slightly  established10.  Following  

Rasmus  Nielsen’s  argument  in  the  paper  Political  communication  research:  new  media,   new  challenges,  and  new  opportunities  (2014),  I  aim  to  explain  why  there  is  a  possible   need  for  a  change  in  paradigm.  

2.2.1  Demand  for  shift  of  paradigm  

Keeping  the  characterisation  of  the  field  in  mind,  it  could  be  argued  that  research  has   become  relatively  homogenous  –  both  methodologically  and  theoretically,  which  is   currently  posing  a  challenge  for  future  research  in  the  field.  Rasmus  Nielsen  recognises   this  problem,  arguing  that  the  field  and  its  classic  methodologies  may  have  remained  un-­‐ adapted  to  changes  in  the  media  landscape,  therefore  heading  towards,  what  he  calls,  an   ‘intellectual  impasse’  in  the  field  (Nielsen  2014:  6).    

However,  even  though  the  current  methodological  challenges,  combined  with  the   rise  of  digital  and  networked  information  the  field  faces  sounds  like  a  negative  

development  for  the  field,  it  also  offers  a  lot  of  opportunity  and  future  possibilities  for   the  field.  Overcoming  the  current  challenges  are  likely  going  to  refresh  and  update  the                                                                                                                  

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field,  as  long  as  there  will  be  new  methodologies  developed  that  are  aimed  at  sorting  out   the  existing  problems.  

     

Put  differently,  the  main  troubles  of  the  field  consist  of  homogenisation  of  research  as   well  as  a  lack  of  methodological  frameworks  to  study  digital  political  communication.   Nielsen  argues  that  these  problems  could  be  overcome  by  the  transformation  of  the  field   to  become  more  interdisciplinary,  an  objective  that  could  be  achieved  by  developing   new  methodologies  in  cooperation  with  research  fields  in  for  instance  the  social   sciences,  rhetorics,  humanities  and  informatics  (Nielsen  2014:  9).  He  proposes  a  re-­‐ invention  of  classic  methodologies;  a  more  interdisciplinary  approach  will  contribute  to   achieving  this  goal,  hereby  changing  the  current  research  paradigm.    

Furthermore,  Nielsen  argues  that  the  field  of  political  communication  has  a   number  of  approaches  or  questions  that  still  have  not  been  pursued  yet,  for  instance   studying  media  specificity  (how  a  specific  medium  and  its  logic  or  characteristics   contribute  to  the  organisation  of  communication  processes)  or  research  towards  how   actors  make  meaning  of  political  communication  processes.  When  operationalising   research  to  political  communication  in  a  more  media-­‐specific  manner,  the  purpose  will   shift  from  content  analysis  towards  attention  to  empirical  analysis.  As  he  argues,  this  is  a   necessary  development,  since  the  classic  methodology  with  the  emphasis  on  

experimental  and  survey  methods  ‘construct  a  research  field  that  is  both  

methodologically  and  theoretically  relatively  homogenous’  (Nielsen  2014:  10).  By   transforming  the  classic  approaches  into  a  methodology  more  focused  at  media  itself,   researchers  will  be  able  to  gain  a  deeper  insight  in  political  communication  processes,   by  studying  ‘the  field’s  main  publication  venues’  (Nielsen  2014:  10).  

 

Overall,  it  seems  reasonable  to  assume  that  there  is  a  demand  in  the  field  of  political   communication  for  a  change  in  methodologies  or  operationalization  of  research,  and   therefore  a  growing  interest  in  aspects  of  political  communication  different  from  the   classic  approaches.  The  main  aim  in  this  thesis  is  therefore  to  pursue  the  goal  of  

developing  a  new  methodological  framework,  taking  the  current  troubles  of  the  field  as   presented  by  Nielsen  into  account.  By  moving  to  a  more  interdisciplinary  approach,   which  consists  in  this  case  of  adding  theoretical  insight  of  the  media  studies  field  with   the  empirical  approaches  of  the  digital  methods,  it  will  be  possible  to  gain  more  insight  

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in  processes  of  political  communication  on  a  media-­‐specific  level.  Hence,  this  thesis   seeks  to  understand  what  people  do  with  media  instead  of  what  media  does  with  people,   by  focusing  at  medium  specificity  instead  of  influence  and  media  effects,  which  will  be   achieved  in  a  in  a  critical  digital  methods  methodology  featuring  analysis  of  both  content   and  actors  as  well  as  the  medium  (and  its  critique)  itself.    

 

In  general,  the  field  of  political  communication  could  be  considered  a  quite  settled  area   of  research.  However,  as  presented  by  Nielsen’s  argument,  the  field  is  currently  facing   (methodological)  troubles.  The  method  as  proposed  in  this  paper  might  therefore  be  a   starting  point  to  assess  political  communication  on  the  web  differently,  with  its  scope   more  focused  on  media  specificity,  taking  into  account  and  embrace  specific  

characteristics  of  the  medium,  in  this  case  Twitter,  seeing  its  medium-­‐specificity  as  both   a  challenge  and  an  opportunity.  This  medium-­‐specific  approach  will  further  be  

explained  and  discussed  more  elaborately  in  the  following  section.  

2.3  Medium  specificity:  Twitter  and  the  logic  of  platforms    

An  important  aspect  of  this  paper  is  the  fact  that  it  seeks  to  look  at  political  

communication  in  a  medium-­‐specific  way,  hereby  focusing  at  Twitter’s  platform  logic,  its   structural  organisation  and  the  way  this  logic  influences  debate  and  conversation.  In   order  to  achieve  a  thorough  understanding  of  how  the  logic  of  a  particular  platform   organises  communication  processes,  thus  how  its  medium-­‐specificity  affects  this,  I  will   first  explain  what  is  meant  when  referring  to  platforms  throughout  this  thesis,  hence   offer  a  solid  definition  of  what  is  exactly  being  studied:  a  platform.    

 

The  definition  of  a  platform  has  a  wide  range;  one  could  think  of  it  in  terms  of  an   umbrella  concept.  According  to  Tarleton  Gillespie  in  Politics  of  platforms  (2010),  the   term  platform  has  recently  emerged  to  describe  online  services  that  are  generally  based   on  user-­‐generated  content  (Gillespie  2010).  Gillespie  argues  that  the  term  has  a  

discursive  positioning  and  is  at  the  same  time  as  a  description  both  specific  and  vague.       Therefore,  to  narrow  the  definition  of  a  platform  down,  Gillespie  distinguishes   four  types  of  platforms,  which  align  the  meaning  of  a  platform  together.  Firstly,  he   describes  the  architectural  platform,  which  is  a  platform  in  the  most  literal  sense:  a   plateau  to  stand  on.  Furthermore,  a  platform  could  be  seen  in  a  computational  sense  (as  

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a  place  to  launch  software),  a  figurative  sense  (a  metaphysical  platform;  such  as  an   opportunity)  and  a  political  platform,  as  a  means  to  express  political  beliefs  and  list   agenda  points.  He  argues  that  ‘digital  intermediaries  depend  on  all  these  four’  (Gillespie   2010:  349).  In  general,  platforms  could  be  seen  as  voice-­‐giving  surfaces  ideas  could  be   launched  from.  

 

An  important  implication  of  the  logic  of  platforms  that  should  be  addressed  here  is  the   notion  of  the  ‘walled  garden’,  a  concept  coined  by  Tim  Berners-­‐Lee  in  order  to  make   sense  of  the  medium-­‐specificity  of  platforms  in  general.  According  to  Berners-­‐Lee,  it  is   wrong  to  define  platforms  as  content-­‐neutral  delivery  systems,  focused  at  transferring   information  without  intervention:  when  content  moves  from  the  ‘open  web’  to  the   ‘walled  garden’  of  a  platform,  it  becomes  part  of  the  particular  constituted  platform-­‐ world,  with  its  logic  and  protocols  shaping  the  social  (Berners-­‐Lee  2010).  This  concept  is   in  some  sense  connected  to  the  idea  of  platforms  actively  influencing  and  shaping  power   dynamics  and  social  engagement,  by  limiting  it  to  its  set  ‘borders’  of  what  can  possibly   be  done  on  the  platform,  as  assigned  by  its  particular  platform  logic.  Helmond  and   Gerlitz  identify  this  phenomenon  as  ‘the  Like  economy’,  where  every  action  on  social  is   ultimately  based  on  the  logical  foundation  of  the  platform,  the  creation  of  content  and  its   sharing  and  liking,  focused  at  a  data-­‐intensive  web  (Gerlitz  and  Helmond  2013).    

 

What  should  thus  be  kept  in  mind  here  when  discussing  platforms  is  that  they   contribute  to  the  organisation  of  communication  processes  not  just  through  their   medium-­‐specificity  or  their  behaviour  as  a  walled  garden;  platforms  are  also  actively   contributing  to  the  process  of  the  ‘engineering’  of  the  social.  According  to  Helmond  and   Gerlitz,  platforms  tend  to  engineer  the  social  through  their  specific  platform  logic,  by   shaping  the  (social)  interaction  that  takes  place  on  platforms.  Taking  a  contemporary   popular  social  media  platform  such  as  Facebook  as  an  example  to  explicate  this,  its   platform  creates  a  particular  world,  a  techno-­‐social  environment  in  which  content  is   being  created,  shared  and  liked,  for  instance  through  social  buttons  (Gerlitz  and   Helmond  2013).    By  limiting  social  engagement  to  activities  that  are  pre-­‐defined,   platforms  shape  power  dynamics  on  the  platform.  It  governs  and  limits  social   engagement  to  the  platforms’  specific  logic,  but  in  the  end  it  allows  the  user  to  post   content,  share  it  and  like  it.  One  could  argue  that  what  we  see  as  ‘the  social’  is  actually  

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what  the  technical  infrastructure  of  a  platform  allows  and  prohibits,  thus  the  protocols   of  a  platform.  In  this  sense,  medium-­‐specificity  is  actively  influencing  the  actual  

communication  processes  (Gillespie  2010).    

2.4  Approaches  to  Twitter  studies:  digital  methods    

When  researching  Twitter  as  a  platform,  one  thus  should  keep  the  engineered  social,  the   broader  social  phenomena  and  societal  context  in  mind.  Twitter  studies  should  

therefore  be  ‘debanalised’:  empirical  research  to  the  platform  and  research  objectives   should  be  moved  away  from  studying  the  everyday  and  the  mundane  (Rogers  2013:  7).   This  epistemological  change  could  be  carried  out  by  taking  the  broader  societal  

concerns  regarding  Twitter  into  account,  for  instance  by  looking  at  Twitter  as  a  political   platform  and  as  a  social  phenomenon,  with  its  networks  influencing  society  (Meijas   2010).  

 

‘Twitter  I  –  III’  

According  to  Rogers  in  the  paper  Debanalizing  Twitter:  The  Transformation  of  an  Object   of  Study  (2013),  an  important  change  in  the  paradigm  surrounding  Twitter  studies   towards  debanalisation  of  the  research  discipline  could  be  regarded  the  ‘shift’  of  the   platform  through  a  number  of  phases,  which  he  identifies  as  Twitter  I,  II  and  III.  By   changing  its  main  caption  during  this  process,  Twitter  has  put  itself  through  a   transformation,  re-­‐inventing  itself  from  a  medium  revolving  around  the  caption   question  ‘what  are  you  to  doing?’  in  its  early  Twitter  I  days,  to  the  focus  on  more   newsworthy  interests  in  phase  Twitter  II,  moving  towards  the  big  data  research  tool   Twitter  III  (Rogers  2013).    

The  start  of  Twitter  II  could  be  characterised  with  the  change  of  the  caption   phrase  to  ‘what  is  happening?’  which  caused  Twitter’s  conversational  structure  to  more   newsworthy  and  relevant  subjects;  it  did  not  primarily  revolve  around  the  mundane,   everyday  live  anymore.  This  change  of  the  general  conversation  subject  led  to  an   increased  level  of  scholarly  attention  to  the  platform;  its  emphasis  on  news  monitoring   prove  to  provide  useful  data  in  scholarly  research  to  elections,  disasters  and  revolution,   establishing  Twitter  as  a  social  research  platform  (Bruns  2011).  

Lastly,  Rogers  identifies  ‘Twitter  III’,  the  phase  that  is  considered  to  have  started   after  the  company  entered  the  stock  market.  Since  entering  the  stock  market,  Twitter  

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data  has  a  particular  value  and  has  been  fully  commodified  (Puschmann  and  Burgess   2014).  Twitter  III  is  therefore  focused  on  broader  social  phenomena  with  generic  data,   looking  at  Twitter  as  an  archived  object  (Rogers  2013).  Twitter  III  led  to  a  change  of   paradigm,  with  a  new  type  of  research  characterised  by  an  expert  use  of  Twitter,  where   it  is  considered  a  serious  research  tool  and  a  data  market.  In  general,  Twitter  could  thus   be  seen  as  big  data  machine,  giving  insight  in  long-­‐term  patterns  and  trends,  which   might  be  useful  for  marketing,  prediction  and  sentiment  analysis.    

 

The  current  environment  of  the  platform  with  its  particular  logic  and  architecture,   combined  with  the  data  archive  of  Twitter  offers  a  variety  of  opportunities  and  

challenges  regarding  the  current  big  data  debate,  a  topic  that  will  be  further  picked  up  in   chapter  2.8.  The  following  chapter,  however,  will  take  a  number  of  previous  studies  into   consideration,  in  order  to  identify  a  general  understanding  of  the  Twittersphere  

specified  towards  political  communication  as  a  research  environment,  in  terms  of   Twitter  as  a  (news)  monitoring  tool  as  well  as  bigger  societal  concerns  as  in  the  case  of   big  data  approaches.  

2.5  Approaches  to  Twitter  studies:  Similar  case  studies    

Currently,  Twitter  thus  offers  a  rich  environment  of  (archived)  data  that  can  be  studied   in  terms  of  political  communication.  As  existing  studies  around  Twitter  as  a  political   platform  show,  it  can  be  studied  as  a  medium  for  political  communication  in  a  variety  of   contexts:  it  could  on  the  one  hand  be  focused  at  either  the  140-­‐character  Tweets  

themselves,  in  order  to  map  immediate  audience  response  (Pedersen  et  al  2014,  Larsson   and  Moe  2012,  Bruns  and  Burgess  2011,  Elmer  2013),  to  predict  election  results  

(Tumasjan  et  al  2010,  Jungherr,  Jurgens,  &  Schoen  2012),  to  look  at  the  aftermath  of  a   campaign  (Mirer  and  Bode  2010)  or,  on  the  other,  look  at  the  actual  use  of  Twitter,  for   instance  in  'revolutions'  (Rogers  2013)  or  how  Twitter  is  hands-­‐on  used  by  politicians   and  political  campaigns,  e.g  how  a  political  debate  is  organised  and  facilitated  by  both   the  public  and  politicians  on  Twitter.    

 

With  the  existing  body  of  research,  the  road  towards  studying  political  communication   on  Twitter  has  already  been  paved  by  studies  specifically  dedicated  to  taking  the  social   network  in  consideration  as  a  case  study.    Since  the  structure  of  Twitter  allows  research  

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to  real-­‐time  politics,  whereas  'classic'  political  communication  mediums  do  not,  it  was   found  that  existing  studies  are  often  paying  attention  to  immediate  audience  responses,   thus  research  to  the  public  of  Twitter.  The  body  of  existing  research  roughly  consists  of   studies  to  real-­‐time  events  such  as  conversation  during  a  particular  televised  debate,  or   research  that  aims  to  analyse  Tweets  during  key  campaigning  moments  such  as  polls   and  launches,  allowing  researchers  to  gain  insight  in  the  'backchannel'  of  a  political   campaign  (Kalsnes  et  al  2014).    

 

Research  towards  Twitter  as  a  political  medium  for  the  public  has  often  -­‐similarly  to   political  communication  in  general-­‐  specifically  taken  American  politics  into  

consideration,  for  instance  by  researching  the  use  of  Twitter  by  the  US  congress  

(Golbeck,  Grimes  and  Rogers  2010)  or  during  the  presidential  elections  (Himelboim  et  al   2012).  However,  there  has  also  been  attention  for  a  variety  of  Twitter  response  and   conversation  around  elections  and  (televised)  debates  in  other  countries  such  as  the   Nordic  countries,  Norway  and  Australia  (Larsson  and  Moe  2010,  Larsson  and  Moe  2012,   Kaslnes  et  al  2014,  Bruns  and  Burgess  2011).    

      By  comparing  sets  of  Tweets  sent  in  Denmark,  Sweden  and  Norway  during   elections  in  2011  and  2012,  Larsson  and  Moe  aim  to  make  sense  of  the  conversation  on   Twitter  during  a  31-­‐day  election  campaign  and  seek  to  identify  specific  national  

differences.  By  taking  particular  hashtags  into  consideration,  the  researchers  try  to   grasp  the  entire  cycle  of  a  campaign  -­‐  hereby  trying  to  map  audience  response  around   specific  events,  such  as  the  political  discussion  in  Norway  following  the  2011  terrorist   attack,  as  well  as  audience  response  to,  more  mundane,  key  campaigning  events   (Larsson  and  Moe  2012:  323).  

   

Bruns  and  Burgess  take  a  similar  approach  while  studying  audience  response  in  

Australia;  by  looking  at  a  specific  hashtag  (#ausvote)  that  is  being  used  throughout  the   Australian  election  campaign,  the  researchers  seek  to  gain  insight  in  audience  response   during  key  moments  of  the  Australian  elections,  and  especially  aim  at  looking  at  how  the   Australian  elections  are  covered  on  Twitter.  

      Kalsnes,  Krumsvik  and  Storsul  also  proceed  to  look  at  to  Twitter  in  the  sense  of  a   'political  backchannel',  thus  the  public  of  Twitter,  with  research  specifically  dedicated   towards  the  audience  response  on  Twitter  during  televised  election  debates  in  the  2011  

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Norwegian  election.  While  engaging  with  Tweets  sent  around  the  televised  political   debates,  the  researchers  seek  to  understand  what  'backchannel  conversation'  is  featured   on  Twitter  and  what  sentiment  this  withholds,  thus  looking  at  public  conversation  and   prominent  agenda  points  (Kalsnes  et  al  2014).  

 

Research  that  is  specifically  aimed  at  mapping  the  use  of  Twitter  has  often  been  used  as   a  tool  to  gain  further  insight  in  political  revolution  in  the  sense  of  Roger's  'Twitter  II'.   Rogers  mentions  in  Debanalizing  Twitter  (2013)  a  study  to  the  coverage  of  the  

opposition  during  the  Iran  elections  in  2009,  which  was  nicknamed  ‘the  Twitter  

revolution’11.  Despite  of  the  internet  censorship  in  Iran,  the  researchers  aimed  to  trace  

sequences  of  retweets  that  had  been  sent  during  the  elections  in  Iran,  reversing  the   sorted  order  of  the  data,  turning  Twitter  into  a  ‘narrative’  of  retweets  about  the  Iranian   revolution  (Rogers  2013).  

 

As  much  attention  has  been  paid  to  the  use  of  Twitter  as  a  political  tool  for  just  the   public  and  a  means  to  engage  the  public,  allowing  researchers  to  gain  insight  in  public   sentiment  and  opinion,  in  a  more  stable  political  environment  (as  opposed  to  what  was   the  case  in  Roger's  Iranian  study),  there  has  not  been  much  attention  towards  the  use  of   Twitter  as  a  campaigning  tool  for  both  politicians  and  users.  Research  towards  Twitter   in  the  context  of  political  communication  has  thus  been  mostly  focused  at  the  public  of   Twitter  and  their  use  of  it  as  a  political  medium;  at  the  Tweets  and  the  content  that  they   feature  themselves,  as  well  as  the  occurrence  of  Tweets  during  specific  moments  or  the   lack  of  them.  There  has  not  been  much  attention  paid  to  the  hands-­‐on  use  of  Twitter  and   the  attributes  of  the  platform  by  both  the  public  and  politicians  –  the  use  of  specific   hashtags,  mentions  or  retweets  -­‐  in  a  campaign  and  how  Twitter  can  be  used  by  both   politicians  and  public  to  organise  and  facilitate  a  political  campaign,  yet.  Especially  in  the   sense  of  the  Scottish  referendum,  specific  research  to  this  topic  has  not  been  (fully)   operationalised  yet  or  is  still  in  the  draft  or  reviewing  phase  of  publishing.    

 

Published  research  that  is  only  focused  at  the  topic  of  the  Scottish  independence  

referendum  is  thus  (yet)  of  a  limited  amount;  A  relevant  study  that  was  found  also  aims   to  map  the  responses  on  Twitter  to  a  televised  debate  about  the  referendum  (Pedersen                                                                                                                  

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et  al  2014).  The  researchers  seek  to  look  at  peaks  and  troughs  in  the  amount  of  Tweets   sent  during  a  televised  debate  and  what  specific  language  and  hashtags  are  being  used  in   the  Twitter  debate,  to  make  sense  of  the  'backchannel'  of  a  political  campaign  (Pedersen   et  al  2014).  Again,  by  looking  at  immediate  audience  response,  this  study  can  be  

considered  a  study  towards  the  public  use  of  Twitter,  since  it  seeks  to  make  sense  of  the   public  opinion  on  Twitter  during  a  televised  debate.    

 

The  research  I  aim  to  pursue  here  is  focused  at  the  actual  use  of  Twitter  by  both  

politicians  and  users,  in  order  to  organise  a  political  campaign  as  well  as  a  debate.  Based   on  the  conclusions  of  the  research  undertaken  by  the  University  of  Glasgow  in  2013,  it   seeks  to  understand  how  the  campaigning  debate  around  the  Scottish  referendum  is   being  organised  on  Twitter.  By  taking  the  Glaswegian  claims  into  account,  this  thesis  will   go  beyond  the  'Twitter  as  backchannel'  paradigm  that  is  characterised  by  studying   public  opinion.  It  seeks  to  take  the  organisation  of  the  campaign  and  the  facilitation  of  it   by  both  politicians  and  sympathising  users  of  each  side  of  the  campaign  into  

consideration,  by  looking  at  network  behaviour  of  content  and  users,  as  well  as  the   actual  content  itself.  Therefore,  this  thesis  is  focusing  at  both  the  public  use  of  Twitter  as   well  as  the  political  use  of  it.  

Since  my  research  will  thus  focus  on  networked  conversation  and  the  ‘stretch’  of   the  official  campaigning  debate  over  the  more  general  conversation  around  the  Scottish   referendum  on  Twitter,  thus  the  networked  structure  of  Tweets  and  its  implications,  the   next  chapter  will  introduce  some  theoretical  approaches  towards  the  notion  of  a  

network  and  the  theory  around  how  networks  and  their  topologies  are  being  organised.  

2.6  Networks  and  topological  theory    

It  might  be  interesting  to  look  at  the  networked  structure  of  Tweets;  due  to  the   decentralised  structure  of  the  platform  through  its  platform  politics,  there  is  a  

possiblility  of  a  skewed  distribution  of  connections  and  nodes  within  the  conversation   network.  The  study  to  political  communication  in  the  blogosphere  by  Drezner  and   Farrell,  as  was  discussed  earlier,  claims  that  the  networked  structure  of  the  blogosphere   is  skewed  in  a  particular  way,  which  has  quite  specific  effects  on  the  organisational   structure  and  thus  the  blogosphere  network  and  network  effects  (Drezner  and  Farrell   2008).  

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