Guiding consumers
towards a purchase
Investigating the effect of timing of firm-initiated touchpoints within
the customer journey
Alex Buis
Master Thesis Defence Marketing Intelligence & Management 28-01-2020
Table of
contents
Introduction
Introduction
Increasing the customer experience
Indicated by 400 managers
Effects of touchpoints not studied within a customer journey
Based on a meta-analysis
Timing of marketing effects is a top priority
Customer Journey
Consideration stage
Recognizing needs &
considering channels
Visit stage
Information search &
evaluating alternatives
Purchase
Completing the
transaction
Firm-initiated touchpoints
Banners
Pre-roll
Retargeting
Affiliate
Conceptual model
Used models:
Logistic regression -> consideration stage
Multinomial logistic regression -> visit stage
Markov Model -> entire journey
1
2
3
!"#$% & = ( + *
+,-./
0+123
+-+ /
0+143
+4+ /
0+1-3
+2+ /
0+3
+0Splitting up the data into paths
Channel attribution
Affiliate:
2%
Banner:
2%
Email:
4%
Pre-roll:
2%
Retargeting:
8%
CI:
82%
Removal Effect
92% 89% 78% 76% 71% 58% 30% 14% 11% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Comp etitor webs ite Acco mmod ation web site Foca l bran d web site Inform ation /comp arison webs ite Fligh t tick ets w ebsit e Retar getin gEmail Pre-ro ll
Bann er
Affilia te
Comparing the FI touchpoints with the 5 most important CI touchpoints
Affiliate Marketing
Increased odds of
conversion
at the end of the
consideration stage
Increased odds of conversion
at the beginning of the visit
stage
Increased odds of ending the
journey without a purchase
Banner Advertisements
Increased odds of
transitioning to the visit
stage
Increased odds of ending the
journey without a purchase
Decreased odds of
transitioning to the visit stage
Email Marketing
Increased odds of transitioning to the visit stage
Increased odds of ending the journey without a purchase
Decreased odds of transitioning to the visit stage
Increased odds of conversion in the consideration stage
Increased odds of conversion in the visit stage
Increased odds of transitioning to the visit stage
Pre-roll advertisements
Increased odds of ending the
journey without a purchase
Decreased odds of
transitioning to the visit stage
Decreased odds of conversion
to almost 0
Retargeting
Increased odds of conversion in the consideration stage
Increased odds of ending the journey without a purchase
Decreased odds of transitioning & for conversion
Increased odds of conversion in the visit stage
Increased odds of conversion in the consideration stage
Increased odds of ending the journey without a purchase
Increased odds of conversion in the visit stage
Implications/contributions & limitations
Firm initiated touchpoints are not effective when a consumer moves closer towards a purchase decision.
Assuming that all journeys are similar across all customers, no segmentation. In the travel industry, visiting a
competitors website is important for conversion.
First to examine the role of timing of touchpoints within a customer
journey.
A few strange results without a good explanation.
Disregarding touchpoints after a purchase, ignoring customer loyalty/satisfaction.