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Jun-Aug 2013, Zero Month lead Jul-Sep 2013, One Month lead
Aug-Oct 2013, Two Months lead Sep-Nov 2013, Three Months lead
Oct-Dec 2013, Four Months lead
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• Heavy rains, winds gusting to 50 kts (sustained at 40kts) possible
For Jul-Sep, the forecasts call for a slightly elevated chance for above average rainfall along coastal Senegal, western Mali, eastern Burkina Faso, and the area
For Sep-Nov, the forecasts call for a slightly elevated chance for above average rainfall over portions of Senegal and southern Mauritania, Cote d’Ivoire, southern Ghana,
** Over 70% of SPP highest anomaly category correctly verified for that category by halfway (Nov 15 th ) through the 2014 OND season. Scores consistent with other
Performance of SA Monsoon Core Rains No sign of improvements during
Current Anomaly Weekly Tendency.. GFS 7-day
Does lack of moisture lead to larger temp amplitudes or ranges in diurnal cycles. How significant is southern Africa
SPP suggests early season Feb Ethiopia rainfall historically bodes well for rest of MAM ‘belg’ season... It’s that
