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Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook November 5

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Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook November 5 – November 11, 2015

Central Dominican Republic received heavy rainfall over the past week.

During the past week, moderate to heavy rain was observed over many western provinces in the Dominican Republic.

Several provinces of the Dominican Republic recorded over 100mm of rain according to satellite estimates. Substantial rains were recorded in Centre Department of Haiti as well. Elsewhere, precipitation was light to moderate. Over the past thirty days, rainfall anomalies have indicated moderate or large (50-200 mm) moisture surpluses across western Dominican Republic and Centre Department of Haiti. Comparable rainfall deficits exist for the southern half of Haiti and along the southern shores of the Dominican Republic. Since the beginning of August, rainfall has been unevenly distributed in both space and time over Hispaniola, resulting in moderate seasonal deficits along the southern coasts of the island and the northern coasts of the Dominican Republic. Central Haiti reveals surpluses. Recent vegetation indices have indicated poor and degraded conditions over many local coastal areas near, especially in western Haiti, and average to above-average conditions across the central portions of Hispaniola. Some improvement is being observed in western Haiti. During the next week, slightly below-average average rainfall is forecast over the majority of Hispaniola. Locally heavy rain is possible in a few regions of central Dominican Republic. Areas not fortunate enough to experience a heavier shower could see soil conditions continue to become drier.

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