• No results found

An Agent-Based Simulation Study on the Effectiveness of Urban Consolidation Initiatives

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Share "An Agent-Based Simulation Study on the Effectiveness of Urban Consolidation Initiatives"

Copied!
4
0
0

Bezig met laden.... (Bekijk nu de volledige tekst)

Hele tekst

(1)

An Agent-Based Simulation Study on the

Effectiveness of Urban Consolidation Initiatives

Wouter van Heeswijk, Martijn Mes, Marco Schutten Department of Industrial Engineering & Business Information Systems

University of Twente, The Netherlands Email: w.j.a.vanheeswijk@utwente.nl

1

Introduction

With this study, we assess the effectiveness of urban consolidation centers (UCCs) under a variety of governmental policies and company-driven initiatives. The inefficiency of urban freight transportation contributes to external costs such as congestion, emissions, and noise hindrance. Furthermore, inefficient transport reduces the profitability of the parties in the supply chain. To address these problems, there is a strong interest in city logistics initiatives. For a recent literature review on urban logistics, we refer to Bektas et al. (2015). They report that most studies describe and evaluate existing initiatives. A number of papers adopts an operations research perspective, mainly contributing to (i) the positioning of UCCs and (ii) solution methods to one-echelon or two-echelon routing problems. The use of a UCC characterizes most urban logistics initiatives. The key concept is that inbound trucks no longer enter the city center, but instead unload at a UCC, typically located at the edge of an urban area. Subsequently, goods can be bundled at the UCC, such that efficient tours can be made for the last-mile distribution. Furthermore, environment-friendly vehicles can be dispatched. Particularly for independent low-volume, high-frequency deliveries, UCCs could substantially improve performance.

Browne et al. (2005) provide an elaborate overview of UCC projects, and report that only few UCC initiatives remain in operation for multiple years. A key success factor is the involvement of commercial parties that share a common objective. UCCs yield the best results when involving a sufficiently large number of small, independent shippers and retailers, where low-volume, high-frequency orders are the norm. Government ad-ministrators are typically required to cover the capital expenses of the UCC. Gains from policies could (partially) cover operational expenses. However, UCCs depending primarily on subsidies are unlikely to succeed in the long run, as profit margins in logistics are small. To achieve norms on external costs, administrators encourage or enforce the desired behavior of actors in the supply chain by implementing policies. Common policies are

(2)

vehicle access restrictions, time access restrictions, enforcing a minimum load factor, and road pricing (Russo and Comi, 2010). Companies aim to increase transport efficiency mainly for economic reasons, but also because external costs become increasingly impor-tant for them. Forms of company-driven changes are, e.g., joint consolidation (coalition of carriers), joint ordering (coalition of receivers), deliveries outside normal delivery hours, or using the UCC as delivery address (Taylor, 2005). We refer to a setting with one or more policies and company-driven changes as an urban logistics scheme.

Collaboration is notoriously difficult to realize in urban logistics. As the objectives of the actors in urban logistics are often divergent (Bektas et al., 2015), system-wide op-timization yields little practical insights. Taniguchi et al. (2013) state that agent-based simulation is the most applicable method to study the behavior of and interaction between the various actors for urban logistics schemes. Tamagawa et al. (2010), Van Duin et al. (2012), and Wangapisit et al. (2014) perform agent-based simulations, in which they study the effects of several schemes. They heuristically solve a VRP for the carriers, and itera-tively update the actions of the actors. A gap in urban logistics literature is that research tends to evaluate isolated schemes, often applied to a specific case (Browne et al., 2005). This makes it difficult to deduce generic insights on the effectiveness of existing measures. We contribute to literature with an agent-based simulation study in which we test many different schemes rather than evaluating schemes in isolation, thereby providing a direct comparison of the effectiveness of policies and cooperation forms.

2

Experimental Design

In our experimental design, we distinguish five actors: carriers, the UCC operator, ship-pers, receivers, and the administrator. The first four actors aim to minimize their own costs, while the latter seeks to achieve thresholds for external costs. In the following, we describe their roles and how their operational costs are composed.

Long-haul carriers periodically plan the transport of their received orders, subject to soft delivery windows. We consider a line-haul service with a fixed schedule; the carrier decides to which time slot they allocate the orders to ship. Their operational costs consist of fixed costs per vehicle dispatched and volume-independent costs per distance unit. They will use the UCC if this yields a financial gain or is enforced by regulation. The UCC operator periodically dispatches a subset of orders in inventory. We assume a given cost structure, which may follow from using their own fleet or hiring independent carriers. Op-erational costs follow from the last-mile distribution; handling costs and -times are fixed. Shippers dispatch orders – characterized by order size, destination, and delivery window – based on requests posed by the receivers. Shippers decide when to dispatch orders. As higher volumes yield an advantage, they have an incentive to internally consolidate the

(3)

α Administrator Carriers Shippers Receivers UCC operator (i) b a c (v) d f e,g h,i,j,k,l E F (vii) (viii) (x) (ix) (xi) (xi) C G G (ii) A Action Monetary stream Information stream Reactive agent Decision-making agent Legend Interaction ID Monetary stream A B C D E F G

Costs for joint shipment Costs handling and last-mile distribution (if UCC selected by carrier)

Costs for policies Transportation costs Costs handling and last-mile distribution (if UCC is delivery address) Ordering costs Subsidies ID Action a b c d e f g h i j k l Ship orders Combine transport Enforce advance notice Combine shipments

Select UCC as delivery address Combine orders

Adjust delivery windows Set costs road pricing Set tariff for urban zone Set minimum load size Set time access restrictions Set vehicle access restrictions

ID Information exchange (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) (vi) (vii) (viii) (ix) (x) (xi) Shipping price

Joint transportation price Report external costs Arrival time order Last-mile distribution price Transportation request Joint shipping price Ordering price Order properties Joint ordering price Policy measures α i i € i G (xi) i € i C (iii) i α € i G (xi) α i α a (iv) B i α α € i i α i i α i e D (vi) α € i i α α a

Figure 1: Actions and interactions for all agents

orders to dispatch. They may also ship their orders via a coalition. Receivers place orders depending on their demand. Their operational costs depend on order volume and the total time spent unloading. They can enter a coalition of receivers to jointly place orders. Furthermore, they can decide to select the UCC as their delivery address, e.g., to reduce unloading time or to reduce external costs. Finally, the administrator is responsible for implementing policies. Given norms for the external costs, the administrator can tailor these policies to achieve the norms. The financial gains of these policies may be used to subsidize actors. A prerequisite is that the resulting system remains feasible.

It is difficult to predict how actors will behave in a given scheme. Therefore, we model the interactions between the logistics actors in an agent-based simulation environment. Figure 1 depicts the actions and interactions of each actor. Our performance indicator is the change in costs compared to the base case without any policies or changes. These costs are given per agent as well as on a system-wide level. To quantify external costs, we consider (i) the number of vehicles per type within the urban area, (ii) CO2 and NOx emissions, and (iii) total distance covered within the area.

(4)

3

Results and Discussion

In this study, we propose an agent-based simulation environment to evaluate the effect of various urban logistics schemes. We consider interactions between five actors, distin-guishing between actions, monetary streams, and information streams. Outcomes of the simulation indicate that not many schemes significantly reduce external costs, while at the same time maintaining acceptable profit levels. We find that – consistent with the results of other studies – a combination of company-driven initiatives and government policies is likely required for feasible and sustainable schemes. However, consolidation in ordering or shipping already significantly reduces external costs, in some cases against lower costs than when using the UCC. Decision makers should therefore carefully define their goals when considering UCCs.

References

Tolga Bektas, Teodor Gabriel Crainic, and Tom Van Woensel. From managing urban freight to smart city logistics networks. CIRRELT 2015-17, 2015.

Michael Browne, Michael Sweet, Allan Woodburn, and Julian Allen. Urban freight con-solidation centres final report. Transport Studies Group, University of Westminster, 10, 2005.

Francesco Russo and Antonio Comi. A classification of city logistics measures and con-nected impacts. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 2(3):6355–6365, 2010.

Dai Tamagawa, Eiichi Taniguchi, and Tadashi Yamada. Evaluating city logistics measures using a multi-agent model. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 2(3):6002–6012, 2010.

Eiichi Taniguchi, Tien Fang Fwa, and Russell G Thompson. Urban transportation and logistics: Health, safety, and security concerns. CRC Press, 2013.

Michael AP Taylor. The city logistics paradigm for urban freight transport. City, pages 1–19, 2005.

Ron JH Van Duin, Antal van Kolck, Nilesh Anand, and Eiichi Taniguchi. Towards an agent-based modelling approach for the evaluation of dynamic usage of urban distribu-tion centres. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 39:333–348, 2012.

Ornkamon Wangapisit, Eiichi Taniguchi, Joel SE Teo, and Ali Gul Qureshi. Multi-agent systems modelling for evaluating joint delivery systems. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 125:472–483, 2014.

Referenties

GERELATEERDE DOCUMENTEN

Most notably, the power struggle among the inmates for control over the drug trade did little to reshape the negative political framing of African American young men as violent

• Mallory starts a DoS on Alice and broadcasts the old commitment trans- action (Mallory balance: 0.1 BTC — Alice balance 0 BTC) and carries out a DoS attack on Alice for the CSV

In the first phase, similarity code vectors are obtained by correlating the word representation of the word to predict with the word representations of all the other words of which

This paper argues that an investment tribunal which is interpreting the investment protection standards of an investment treaty can and should consider the rules and

Het rap- port geeft daartoe een overzicht van de studies die verricht zijn op het gebied van risico- en batenafwegingen van consumenten, waarbij er een opsplitsing is gemaakt

The aim of this study (as can be seen from the research question) is to explore whether the various empirically proven psychiatric, psychological and environmental factors that

Als u bij een vorig fluorescentie angiografie onderzoek last heeft gehad van misselijkheid of een allergische reactie, of als u lijdt aan epilepsie of een schelpdieren allergie

With this study, we provide an agent-based simulation framework to evaluate the effectiveness of urban logistics schemes that include both governmental policies and company-