Conclusie en vervolg

In dit rapport is uitgelegd hoe de meetmethode is opgebouwd, wat de beoogde uitkomsten zijn en welke grenzen en beperkingen het kent. Op basis van deze principes wordt het milieukundige en economische model en de meetmethode voor de sociale impact op dit moment verder ontwikkeld. De verschillende case-studies worden gebruikt om beta-versies van de modellen en methoden te testen.

Zowel bij de milieukundige als bij de economische modellen is gebrek aan data of aan betrouwbare data een heikel punt. Om toch te zorgen voor een bruikbaar model is er voor gekozen zoveel mogelijk transparantie te bieden in de opbouw van het model en de gebruikte databronnen. Daarbij wordt ook aangegeven wat de kwaliteit is van de data. Door het model op te bouwen uit processtappen, zijn de berekeningen en de data eenvoudiger te gebruiken bij andere onderzoeken. De eerstvolgende stap is om het ecologische en economische model gereed te maken, zodat het getest kan worden in de case-studies. Hieruit verwachten we verbeteringen te vinden t.b.v. de inhoud en bruikbaarheid van de modellen. Om de sociale impact te meten wordt de methode van perceptiemeting verder ontwikkeld en getest bij de case Java-eiland. Daarnaast wordt gezocht naar andere (meer kwantitatieve) indicatoren die inzicht kunnen geven in de sociale impact.

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