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AFGHANISTAN Weekly Climate Forecast #26, July 2 - 8, 2008

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FEWS NET Afghanistan Tel: 070.15.60.60 fnajimi@fews.net

FEWS NET Washington 1717 H St NW Washington DC 20006 info@fews.net

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The authors’ views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

www.fews.net/afghanistan

AFGHANISTAN Weekly Climate Forecast #26, July 2 - 8, 2008

Temperatures continue to remain above normal across most of Afghanistan, depleting much of the country’s snow pack 4 – 6 weeks earlier than normal. Snow pack is critical because it is used for irrigation in lowland areas.

The remaining snow pack now resides only in the highest elevations of northeast Afghanistan. High temperatures have also led to increased evaporation from water reservoirs threatening water availability for crop production and pasture.

Precipitation across most of Afghanistan is below normal as well (Figure 2) and as a result underground water sources, which are used for both drinking water and irrigation, have not been replenished.. The cumulative effect of this situation will have a direct bearing on most households, who rely on agriculture and livestock for their income and food needs.

For the upcoming week, maximum temperatures will exceed 38 °C in the lowlands and weekly temperatures will average 3 to 5 °C above normal across much of the country.

1) Much of Afghanistan has received below normal precipitation during the winter and spring along with an early snow melt.

2) Extreme heat (maximum temperatures above 38 °C) will affect the lowlands of Afghanistan and continue to increase water evaporation.

Figure 1. Weather hazards in Afghanistan as of July 1, 2008

Figure 2. Accumulated liquid precipitation

Source: FEWS NET Afghanistan, USGS

Figure 3. Mean Temperature Anomaly – June

Source: FEWS NET Afghanistan, USGS

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