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Africa's international trade 2001-2016 : boom and bust

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USA

(US)

Italy

(IT)

France

(FR)

UK

(GB)

Spain

(ES)

Germany

(DE)

Netherlands

(NL)

China

(CN)

Belgium

(BE)

India

(IN)

Japan

(JP)

Brazil

(BR)

South Africa

(ZA)

Taipei

(TP)

Turkey

(TR)

North Korea

(KP)

Canada

(CA)

Portugal

(PT)

Indonesia

(ID)

Zimbabwe

(ZW)

China USA India France Spain Italy Germany Netherlands South Africa UK Belgium Switzerland UAE

(AE)

Japan Turkey Namibia

(NA)

North korea Botswana

(BW)

Brazil Taipei

France USA Germany South Africa Italy UK

Saudi Arabia

(SA)

Japan China North Korea Spain Belgium Netherlands India Brazil Australia

(AU)

Nigeria

(NG)

Russia

(RU)

Switzerland UAE

China France Germany USA South Africa India Italy Spain North Korea Netherlands Turkey Belgium UK Japan Saudi Arabia Brazil UAE Russia Thailand

(TH)

Portugal

Rank 2001

Export Import

2016 2001 2016

US CA

ES

BR

FR PT BE

GB NL

DE CH

IT TR

AE IN

TH CN

CN TP

ID ZW

BW NA

ZA

KP JP

US CA

ES

BR

FR PT BE

GB NL

DE CH

IT TR

AE IN

AU TP

ID ZW

NG

RU

ZA

KP JP

African Studies Centre Leiden African Studies Centre Leiden

Africa’s international trade 2001-2016: boom and bust

Africa’s export to

Icecream import

Composition of exports of products (values)

Composition of exports of products (percentages)

Export and import of products

and services Export and import of products

Africa’s import from

Africa’s international trade statistics (www.trademap.org) between 2001 and 2016 (2016 data are provisional) show the enormous growth dynamics until 2014, and the crisis afterwards: boom and bust. Ice cream imports are a telling metaphor for these dynamics. It means middle class expansion, supermarket growth, cooling facilities, but also one wonders: if more than half of those imports come from outside Africa: can’t African countries produce this locally? Do they have to rely on imports from France, the United Arab Emirates, Lebanon and Italy? The trade statistics also show the continuing dominance of exports of raw materials, and the major shifts in Africa’s trading partners during these years of ‘emerging Africa’, both for exports and for imports.

2001 70

million dollarsbillion dollars billion dollars billion dollars

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2016

2001 700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2016

2001 100

%

60 80

40

20 0

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2016

2001 2005

700 800

600

500

400

300

200

100 0

2006 2011 2016

700 800

600

500

400

300

200

100 0

2011 2016

Non-agricultural natural products

© ASC Leiden 2017 / DeVink Mapdesign This information was compiled by Ton Dietz, Chibuike Uche and Nel de Vink.

0 billion dollars

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Agricultural: food

Clothing

Export

Other

Agricultural:

non food

Sources graphs and maps: www.trademap.org

“Obasanjo eats icecream with enjoyment” by Makinde, 2015

Import

Export

Import

(2)

RUSSIA

USA FRANCE

RUSSIA

INDIA ETHIOPIA

SOUTH AFRICA

SOUTH AFRICA BRAZIL

ARGENTINIA GUATEMALA

USA

CANADA NETHERLANDS

UK FRANCE PORTUGAL

THAILAND INDIA PAKISTAN UKRAINE ROMANIA

BRAZIL

ARGENTINA CANADA

MEXICO

GERMANY BELGIUM

UK

VIETNAM CHINA

INDONESIA MALAYSIA

AUSTRALIA

AUSTRALIA NEW ZEALAND

Although Africa’s production of food between 2001 and 2016 shows rapid growth (see FAOSTAT data, not given here), food imports have also become a major element of Africa’s economic reality, and in a lot of African countries food imports provide even more than half of food consumption. The graphs about food imports show the growth and shifts in composition. The maps show the geo-polit- ical shifts: for cereals the dwindling position of the USA, and the growing impor- tance of Russia. And in general: the growing importance for Africa’s food provisioning of countries outside Europe and North America: a major shift in Africa’s food alliances.

The African Studies Centre Leiden (ASCL) The African Studies Centre Leiden, founded in 1947, is the only knowledge institute in the Netherlands devoted entirely to the study of Africa. It undertakes research and is involved in teaching about Africa and aims to promote a better understanding of African societies. The Centre is part of Leiden University and partici- pates in the LeidenGlobal network. The ASCL’s work is not only of importance to researchers but also to policymakers, journalists, NGOs, businesses and other organizations.

Research The ASCL’s research programme lasts for a period of five years. Projects are multidisci- plinary, empirical in nature and are carried out in cooperation with African colleagues and institu- tions by the Centre’s researchers and PhD and Research Masters students.

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Publications ASCL researchers publish in many different journals and with well-known publish- ing houses. The Centre also has several publica- tion series of its own: Africa Yearbook, Afrika-Studiecentrum Series, African Dynamics, African Studies Collection, Langaa Series, ASC Infosheets and ASC thematic maps.

Seminars Regular seminars are held at the ASCL on Thursday afternoons on a wide range of topics. These are given by prominent local and international Africanists and are open to the general public.

Visiting Fellows Between six and nine African academics are invited to Leiden every year on three-month fellowships to promote an effective academic dialogue between Africa and the North.

These scholars use their stay in Leiden for data analysis and writing, and present a seminar.

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Wassenaarseweg 52 Postbus 9555 2300 RB Leiden T: +31 71 527 3372 E: asc@ascleiden.nl www.ascleiden.nl www.facebook.com/ASCLeiden

www.twitter.com/ASCLeiden

Trademap categories: cereals = 10; fats and oils = 15; sugars = 17; dairy, fish and meat = 01+02+03+04+16;

vegetables and fruits = 07+08+20; beverages, spirits and vinegar = 22

2001 70 80 90

billion dollarsscore

60 50 40 30 20 10 0

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2016

2001 40

%

30

20

10

0

2006 2011 2016

2001 4 6 8 10

2

0 2006 2011 2016 2001

4 6 8 10

2

0 2006 2011 2016 2001

4 6 8 10

2

0 2006 2011 2016

1 2 3

USA France Canada

France Russia Thailand rank

1 2 3 rank 2001

Cereals

1 2 3

Argentina Indonesia Malaysia

Malaysia Indonesia Argentina 1

2 3 Oils and fats

1 2 3

Brazil France South Africa

Brzil India Guatemala 1

2 3 Sugars

1 2 3

Netherlands France Australia

Brazil New Zealand Netherlands 1

2 3 Meat, dairy

and fish

1 2 3

South Africa Netherlands Australia

South Africa Ethiopia Netherlands 1

2 3 Vegetables

and fruits

1 2 3

South Africa UK Portugal

South AFrica UK France 1 2 3 Beverages,

spirits and vinegar

2016 Cereals

Net import of food needs

-22 0

unknown

Food imports as % of all imports

Cereal imports as % of all food imports -41

%

Oils and fats

Sugars Meat, dairy and fish

Vegetables and fruits Beverages, spirits,

and vinegar Total

Other

Other countries in top 10

USA, Canada Brazil, Argentinia European Union*

Russia, Ukraine India, Pakistan

Thailand, Vietnam China, Japan, Australia South Africa, other Africa France, Germany, Italy, Portugal, UK

2001 2016 2001 and 2016

In top 3 in:

Sources (except map Food deficit): www.trademap.org

Source: FAOSTAT

*

Food deficits 2010

Main cereal imports from:

2001

2016 Food and cereal imports

Food imports 2001-2016

Top 10 cereal exporting countries

USA France Russia

Top 3 exporters of major food items

African Studies Centre Leiden African Studies Centre Leiden

Africa: food imports 2001-2016

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