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(1)

Gasbalancing

Conditions for shippers Services offered by GTS

Suggestions for improvement A TSO?

RWE Gas Nederland N.V.

(2)

 Daily balance

 Entry vs exit max delta 2%

 Hourly tolerance

 Entry vs exit max tolerance 25%

 During 2002 & 2003 limited to 13%

 Extreme penalty regime on imbalances

 To comply with these rules gas shippers need (online) hourly metering data of the exit points

Daily balance

Entry vs exit max delta 2%

Hourly tolerance

Entry vs exit max tolerance 25%

During 2002 & 2003 limited to 13%

Extreme penalty regime on imbalances

To comply with these rules gas shippers need (online) hourly metering data of the exit points

Balancing rules with GTS

(3)

Information exchange in Dutch Gas Market: a disaster!

Hourly offtake data customers > 10 mio (GTS grid) daily available

Hourly offtake data customers < 10 mio (RDC‘s) very limited available. Most of the RDC‘s failed completely in their data-management. Data comes available

months after the fact

Allocations to gas shippers on a national level impossible. In Feb 2003 there is still no allocation available for Jan 2002

Hourly offtake data customers > 10 mio (GTS grid) daily available

Hourly offtake data customers < 10 mio (RDC‘s) very limited available. Most of the RDC‘s failed completely in their data-management. Data comes available

months after the fact

Allocations to gas shippers on a national level impossible. In Feb 2003 there is still no allocation available for Jan 2002

(4)

Main Shippers (RWE, & Others, etc) behaviour

I want to have my customer‘s hourly off-take data because:

I have the need to optimise my operations, and I want to comply with GTS rules

Forget about the RDC‘s, I will put in my own

(state of the art) metering equipment

(5)

Main Shippers behaviour

 At „RDC-sites“: install metering & datacommunication units

 Use of prognosis tools & software

 Wheather reports vs actuals, always differences

 Max accuracy demand prognosis at metered site 95% to 105%

At „RDC-sites“: install metering & datacommunication units

Use of prognosis tools & software

Wheather reports vs actuals, always differences

Max accuracy demand prognosis at metered site 95% to 105%

Daily Forecaster Performance (Where data is available)

0,00 5,00 10,00 15,00 20,00

% %

(6)

Dte transport guidelines

•GTS daily imbalance max 2% !

•Shippers cannot achieve this with the current data situation

•GTS is obliged to offer a flexibility service

•Shippers must be able to balance their portfolio

(7)

GTS offers Tolerance Service

Does it work?

Shipper: New

Position: 1bcm gas sales

Tolerance Volume bought at GTS: 0.5 million m3

Cost: 0.5 million €

(only possible when he spends also 1 million € on Tolerance Capacity!)

Volume sold on average winterday: 5 million m3

Day 1 2 3

Wheather Cold Warmer Average

Progn/Nom. 5,000,000 m3 4,500,000 m3 4,750,000 m3

Realisation 104% 5,200,000 m3 92% 4,140,000 m3 96% 4,560,000 m3

Long/(Short) -200,000 360,000 190,000

Start TSV 50% 250,000 m3 50,000 m3 410,000 m3

End TSV 50,000 m3 410,000 m3 600,000m3

•Did it work?

•No, on day 3 the shipper is in trouble

•He oversupplied his TSV, volume sold at half price!

•Pay 1.5 million € for TSV service, after 3 days nevertheless in trouble!!

(8)

How is the largest shipper managing its balancing?

Gasunie Trade & Supply does not do off- take prognosis nor hourly nominations!

GTS is doing this for them! As a service!?

(9)

Actions of the (new) shippers!

•Advised GTS on an other method using the TSV, namely daily “new start”

•Requested daily info on “volume in buffer”

•Requested daily info on “imbalance situation”

•No results yet!

•GTS often still acting as “old Gasunie”

•However GTS is making significant progress in cooperative acting!

(10)

TSO, a system operator for gas?

Is this real, I can hardly believe it!

Would this TSO ask us what we need?

Would it develop products together with us?

Will it share day to data with the shippers?

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