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Hazards Impacts Assessment for Central America April 22 – April 28, 2010

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The USAID MFEWS Weather

Hazards Impacts Assessment for Central America April 22 – April 28, 2010

ƒ Favorable amounts of rainfall observed across Central America during the last seven days are expected to alleviate pre-seasonal dryness and benefit upcoming cropping activities.

NO HAZARDS

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MFEWS is a USAID-funded activity whose purpose is to provide objective information about food security conditions. Its views are not necessarily reflective of those of USAID or the U.S. Government. The MFEWS weather hazards assessment process and products include participation by MFEWS field and home offices, NOAA-CPC, USGS, USDA, NASA, and a number of other national and regional organizations in the countries such as, INETER of Nicaragua, Meteorological Service of Honduras, IMN of Costa Rica, INSIVUMEH of Guatemala, ETESA of Panama, NMS of Belize and SNET of El Salvador. Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-763-8000 x7566. Questions about the USAID MFEWS activity may be directed to Gary Eilerts, USAID Program Manager for MFEWS, 1-202-219-0500 or geilerts@usaid.gov.

Anomalously wet conditions observed for many areas neighboring the Gulf of Honduras.

Many portions of Central America saw an increase in precipitation during the last seven days. Enhanced rainfall activity was observed in the Gulf of Honduras and Caribbean, with high land rainfall amounts between 50-75mm for parts of central Honduras and Guatemala. In Nicaragua, less rainfall was observed, with seven-day totals ranging between 25-50mm in many local areas towards the north. In El Salvador, rainfall totals remained fair to moderate, as sowing of Primera season crops are expected in the next several weeks. In Costa Rica, an increase in Pacific moisture also brought heavy amounts of precipitation for many coastal areas, and in the Gulf of Nicoya region. Lesser rainfall amounts were received in western Panama, with little to no rainfall observed for many areas east of the Panama Canal.

Precipitation forecasts suggest a more seasonal distribution of rainfall for the upcoming observation period. The heaviest rainfall is expected for many areas in the southern Caribbean, as precipitation amounts are expected to exceed 75mm in many local parts of Costa Rica and Panama.

Further north, another week of moderate precipitation is likely for parts of El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala, with lesser weekly totals (15-30 mm) expected in Nicaragua (Figure 1).

Seven-Day Precipitation Forecast (mm) April 20th – April 27th, 2010

Figure 1: Source NOAA / CPC

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